After a flurry of contests in a short time span, English Premier League bettors can finally catch their breaths this weekend (for better or worse), with just one game featured over each of the next four days.
And while only one top-five team is in action during this stretch, there’s still plenty of intrigue to be found, with Man United and Wolverhampton looking to nail down Champions League berths and Aston Villa hoping to climb out of the relegation zone.
Here are our top Premier League picks and EPL predictions for June 27-30 (odds courtesy Bet365):
Premier League Predictions for June 27-30
Aston Villa vs Wolverhampton (Saturday, 7:30 a.m. ET)
This is very nearly the best matchup sixth-place Wolverhampton could have hoped for in its quest to qualify for the Champions League. It’s also one of the worst for an Aston Villa side that sits in a three-way tie on points for one available spot outside relegation territory. Aston Villa can only hope that one bit of recent history repeats itself: the home side has won each of the last five head-to-head encounters, most recently a 2-1 Wolves win back on Nov. 10.
That said, it’s not looking good for the hosts in this one. They’ve scored just one goal in three games since returning from COVID-19. Meanwhile, Wolves have been on an absolute defensive tear, registering six clean sheets in their previous seven league matches. That includes back-to-back shutouts since resuming play – and with Aston Villa struggling to do much of anything on offense, we like that streak continuing this weekend.
Pick: Wolverhampton clean sheet (+125)
Watford vs Southampton (Sunday, 11:30 a.m. ET)
Watford are far from in the clear as they host Southampton on Sunday looking to avoid being sent down to the League Championship. No. 16 Watford are only one point clear of the three teams behind them in the table and have just one victory across all competitions since Jan. 12 (a span of 10 games). Southampton are also treading water with losses in three of their past four matches, but are unbeaten in each of their last five tilts with Sunday’s hosts.
What’s notable about this matchup is how both teams have displayed stunning discipline since returning to the pitch. Watford have been handed a single yellow card in two games, while Southampton have had zero (though they did pick up a red card in their previous game). They also combined for a single yellow in their prior meeting back in late November. Don’t expect these teams to change their stripes in a game that should be as clean as they come.
Pick: Under 3.5 yellow cards (-125)
Crystal Palace vs Burnley (Monday, 3 p.m. ET)
Goals could be at a significant premium in Monday’s largely meaningless battle between Crystal Palace and visiting Burnley. The teams are smack dab in the middle of the Premier League table, level on points and separated by just two goals in the differential column. Crystal Palace will be looking to bounce back after a 4-0 loss at Liverpool halted their four-game winning streak, while Burnley are on a high after stealing a 1-0 triumph at Watford.
Games at Selhurst Park Stadium have trended heavily toward the Under in recent months, with Crystal Palace falling below the 2.5-goal threshold in five straight home matches. In fact, those games produced just seven goals total, good for a bottom-basement average of 1.4 per outing. Further, these teams have converted the Under in their last four meetings at Selhurst Park. We’re recommending the Under 1.5 at a far better payout than the U2.5.
Pick: Under 1.5 goals (+162)
Brighton vs Manchester United (Tuesday, 3:15 p.m. ET)
Upsets have been few and far between since the Premier League returned from its break, but this one could be a candidate as plucky Brighton welcome Manchester United on Tuesday. The hosts have earned four of a possible six points through two post-hiatus games, snagging a big win over Arsenal before battling league power Leicester to a scoreless draw. Next up: a date with a Man United side that also has four points in two games but has looked uneven.
Under normal circumstances, we would be leaning in the visitors’ favor despite their intermittent lackadaisical play. But Tuesday marks Man United’s fourth game in 12 days since returning, and their third away from Old Trafford. Considering that a competitive Brighton will have had a full week between games, we’re confident that the home side can at least pull out a point.
Pick: Brighton win or draw (+100)
Premier League Betting Card for June 27-30
• Wolverhampton clean sheet (+125)
• Watford-Southampton Under 3.5 yellow cards (-125)
• Crystal Palace-Burnley Under 1.5 goals (+162)
• Brighton win or draw (+100)
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