There are two games on the WNBA’s Tuesday docket, neither exactly riveting. But hey, that’s where sports betting comes in. We break down the odds for both matchups, and give you our best bets and predictions in our daily edition of “Lady Luck.”
Minnesota Lynx at New York Liberty (+5.5, 158)
New York is having a disappointing season that might end early if it doesn’t get it together, as only the top eight teams by win percentage make the WNBA playoffs. The Liberty are 10th in the 12-team league at 8-15 SU (9-13-1 ATS), three games out of eighth with 11 games remaining. New York lost its last five SU and its last four ATS, including Sunday’s 84-69 setback to Seattle as a 4-point home underdog.
The issues for the Liberty are many, as they rank in the bottom half of the league in nine of 10 key statistical categories. Most notably, they allow a league-high 84 points per game.
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Minnesota (12-12 SU, 13-10-1 ATS) is part of a loaded Western Conference, in which five of the six teams would make the playoffs if the postseason started today. The Lynx, currently fourth in the West, followed an impressive home blowout of Connecticut by getting thumped Sunday at league-leading Washington, 101-78 catching 8.5 points.
The Lynx lean on their defense, yielding 75.3 ppg (third) and 31.5 percent 3-point shooting (second), while allowing 32 rebounds per game (first).
Minnesota is mediocre against the spread, but New York is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight games overall and 1-5 ATS in its last six at home. Swallowing points on the road is the better play.
PREDICTION: Lynx -5.5
Atlanta Dream at Las Vegas Aces (-12.5, 153)
Since July 21, Las Vegas has been without one of the league’s top players, as A’ja Wilson continues recuperating from an ankle injury. But the Aces (16-9 SU, 10-15 ATS) are just percentage points behind Los Angeles for first place in the West. On Sunday, Las Vegas beat Connecticut 89-81 laying 2.5 points at home, moving to 5-2 SU (4-3 ATS) with Wilson out of the lineup.
Two big keys for the Aces continued success are their 3-point shooting, No. 1 in the league at 37.4 percent, and their field-goal defense, also No. 1 in the league at 38.8 percent. And Vegas crashes the boards, too, at 38.7 rebounds per game, tops in the WNBA.
On the flip side, Atlanta is having anything but a dream season, dumping its last nine games SU while going 3-6 ATS. The Dream (5-19 SU, 10-14 ATS) were competitive Saturday at Atlanta, coming up short in an 87-82 loss while covering as 5.5-point pups. However, Atlanta suffered five double-digit losses during its current slide.
The Dream rank 11th in scoring (70 ppg), 12th in shooting (36.6 percent) and 12th in 3-point percentage (28.2).
In the only meeting this season between these two teams, Las Vegas rolled 92-69 giving 4.5 points on the road June 6. Neither team has been good against the number this year. But the Aces were on a 7-1-1 Under run before their last two went Over. With a good team vs. a bad team, consider the Under in this one.
PREDICTION Under 153
Sunday’s picks: 0-2
Season to date: 54-38-1
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