NFL Week 10 kicks off with a game that’s actually worthy of attention beyond betting, with two squads that appear playoff-worthy. Covers checks in on the action and line movement, with insights from John Sheeran, risk manager for FanDuel Sportsbook at the Meadowlands in New Jersey, and Will Bernanke, lead analyst for CG Analytics in Las Vegas.
There’s still no Le’Veon Bell in Pittsburgh’s offensive backfield, but the team is going along fine at this point, winning and cashing four in a row and five of its last six games. In Week 9, the Steelers (5-2-1 SU, 5-3 ATS) dropped Baltimore 23-16 as 1.5-point road underdogs.
Carolina is on a good run as well, at 5-1 SU in its last six games and 3-0 SU and ATS in its last three outings. The Panthers (6-2 SU, 5-3 ATS) had a Week 9 blowout in progress against Tampa Bay, taking a 35-7 lead at home, but then had to hang on late to win 42-28 as 6-point favorites.
“We’re currently about 50/50 at 3.5, but any volume we took earlier this week was on Carolina,” Sheeran said in explaining the pointspread dropping from Steelers -5 to -3.5. “The total is at 51 now, and a huge majority of what we are taking on that number is on the Over. The total was as low as 48.5.”
CG sportsbooks, including at The Cosmopolitan and Venetian on the Vegas Strip, also opened Pittsburgh -5 and were at -3.5 by Wednesday night. The line briefly dipped to 3 Thursday afternoon, but quickly went back to 3.5.
“Despite the line move down, the pointspread betting is a win-win scenario,” Bernanke said of two-way action at CG books, while noting the total ticked up from 50.5 to 51. “We do have liability to the total, as 85 percent of the cash is on the Over.”
Patrick Everson is a Las Vegas-based senior writer for Covers. Follow him on Twitter: @Covers_Vegas.