The Winnipeg Blue Bombers head to Mosaic Stadium to take on the Saskatchewan Roughriders in Week 13 of CFL action this Sunday.
This is the first time these West Division foes have clashed this year but they'll face off three times this month starting with Labour Day Weekend. The Bombers have owned this rivalry in recent years and oddsmakers expect them to prevail again with CFL betting lines opening with the Riders as 3.5-point home pups.
Here are our best free Blue Bombers vs. Roughriders picks and predictions for September 4.
Blue Bombers vs Roughriders odds
This odds widget represents the best odds available for each betting market from regulated sportsbooks.
This line hit the board with the Bombers at -3.5 with the Over/Under at 44. As of Thursday morning, you can still get Winnipeg at -3.5 at most books but others have moved the line to -4 while the total has ticked up to 44.5 or 45.
Use the live odds widget above to track any future line movements right until kickoff and be sure to check out the full CFL odds before betting to ensure you get the best number.
Blue Bombers vs Roughriders Week 13 predictions
- Prediction: Blue Bombers -3.5 (-110)
- Prediction: Over 44.5 (-110)
- Best bet: Blue Bombers -3.5 (-110)
Predictions made on 9/1/2022 at 10:15 a.m. ET.
Click on each prediction to jump to the full analysis.
Blue Bombers vs Roughriders game info
• Location: Mosaic Stadium, Regina, SK
• Date: Sunday, September 4, 2022
• Kickoff: 6:00 p.m. ET
• TV: TSN
Blue Bombers at Roughriders betting preview
Weather
Key injuries
Blue Bombers: Michael Couture C (Out), Demerio Houston DB (Out), Janarion Grant WR/KR (Doubtful), Greg Ellingson WR (Out), Brandon Alexander DB (Out), Kyrie Wilson LB (Out).
Roughriders: Duke Williams WR (Questionable), Anthony Lanier II DT (Out), Rolan Milligan S (Questionable), Justin McInnis SB (Questionable), Jamal Morrow (Out), Dan Clark C (Out), Godfrey Onyeka DB (Out), Micah Teitz LB (Out).
Find our latest CFL injury reports.
Betting trend to know
The Blue Bombers are 4-1 against the spread in their last five trips to Regina. Find more CFL betting trends for Blue Bombers vs. Roughriders.
Blue Bombers vs Roughriders picks and predictions
Our side and total predictions are based upon our analysis of the line and total in this game. Our best bet is our favorite pick across all markets.
Spread analysis
With his back against the wall, Cody Fajardo came through with his best performance of the year vs. the Lions last week completing 19 of 24 passes for 321 yards while adding another 38 yards on the ground.
Fajardo gets some good news with the return of deep threat Shaq Evans but Duke Williams is again listed as questionable and he faces a Bombers defense that has been a nightmare for opposing quarterbacks.
Keep in mind that the reason fans were calling for Fajardo's head before last week was his lackluster play throughout the year and now he'll be going up against the team that shut him down twice during the regular season in 2021.
A big reason for the quarterback's struggles has been the terrible play of Saskatchewan's offensive line and that weakness will be exposed by a fearsome Blue Bombers front.
The two-time defending champion Blue Bombers are 10-1 and are almost odds-on favourites to repeat as champs with a current futures price of +115.
They are coming off a 31-29 win against the Stampeders where they rolled up 475 yards of offense and although they allowed 409, they are typically much better on the defensive side of the ball. They allow a league-low 19.2 points per game and rank second in the league in yards allowed per pass attempt (7.9) and opponent pass efficiency rating (86.2).
The Roughriders have a stout stop-unit that generates a ton of pressure but it won't be easy to slow down Winnipeg's attack.
Zach Collaros is the reigning Most Outstanding Player and is second in the league in efficiency rating (106.4) and yards per pass attempt (9.0). He does an excellent job of spreading the ball and running back Brady Oliveira has overcome a slow start to the season by rumbling for 346 yards on 6.3 yards per rush over the last four games.
The Bombers are too balanced on offense and defense and their advantage in the trenches and at QB should lead to a cover.
Prediction: Blue Bombers -3.5 (-110 at DraftKings)
Over/Under analysis
At 44.5, this is easily the lowest total of the week and while both of these defenses are very good, this number might be a tad too low.
With the exception of a let-down performance against the Als in Week 10, the Bombers have been lighting up the scoreboard recently and have averaged 30.1 ppg since Week 5. With BC's Nathan Rourke sidelined by an injury, Collaros is once again the best passer in the league while Oliveira is now the leading rusher.
Saskatchewan is also coming off its best offensive performance of the year after totaling 485 yards against a Lions defense that has been very good this year. The Riders won't have quite as much offensive success in this one but if head coach Craig Dickinson continues to open up his playbook, they should be able to push this game Over the total.
Prediction: Over 44.5 (-110 at FanDuel)
Best bet
Betting trends can be misleading at times but with how often these rivals face off against each other and how similar their lineups have been over the last few seasons, recent meetings are a relevant source of information.
The Bombers are 7-2 straight up and ATS in the last nine games in the head-to-head. They also won all three meetings last year, dominating the Riders twice during the regular season before edging them 21-17 in the playoffs.
Mosaic Stadium is a very tough venue to play in but the Bombers tend to travel well to Regina and this is a relatively short line for the Grey Cup favorites to cover.
Although the Riders are coming off a much-needed win, they did it against a team that had just been gut-punched by losing its superstar quarterback (and likely the best player in the league in Rourke). They won't find it anywhere near as easy to get the job done against Winnipeg and Collaros.
Pick: Blue Bombers -3.5 (-110 at DraftKings)
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