NCAAB Power Rankings: Week 16

By Zack Cimini - Covers Expert

Although the number #1 spot remains unchanged with Michigan State staying put, powerhouses Villanova, Gonzaga, and North Carolina all made big jumps this week. We also see 2 previously non-ranked teams slide into the top 25 with Middle Tennessee St. and St. Bonaventure making an appearance this week. Find out where your team stands!

ncb Power Rankings

Rank Last Week Change Team W-L (ATS) Power Rating Team Comments
1 1 same 27-3
(15-13-2)
19.5 Michigan St
Has the Big 10 prepared the Spartans as a true test for the big dance?
2 2 same 25-2
(17-6-1)
18.8 Virginia
Defensively the Cavaliers have dropped off a tad but the Cavaliers are showcasing the offense to offset.
3 6 up 3 25-3
(19-9-0)
18.5 Villanova
The Wildcats quickly atoned for a brief stretch of poor play with a dominating victory over a great Xavier team.
4 5 up 1 23-5
(17-9-0)
18 Duke
Each game the rhythm and team chemistry is growing exponentially for the Blue Devils. They look as prepared as any team in the country destined for the Final Four.
5 3 down 2 25-4
(20-9-0)
17.8 Xavier
We've seen this story before. A team can't defeat the conferences best team (Villanova) but yet they'll likely be the team to go furthest in the tournament in the Big East. No one in the country plays a style like Villanova and they will not be in Xavier's path in March.
6 10 up 4 26-4
(11-15-1)
17.7 Gonzaga
It's been another easy conclusion for Gonzaga in the WCC. The question is will they be put to the test out in Vegas for the WCC tourney.
7 13 up 6 22-6
(14-12-1)
17.6 Kansas
The Jayhawks are in a groove and doing so with a great balance of interior and perimeter balance.
8 11 up 3 24-4
(19-7-0)
17.5 Auburn
The Tigers showcased a strong week with a blowout road win over Georgia and a pull away victory over Kentucky.
9 15 up 6 22-7
(16-11-1)
16.9 North Carolina
Credit the Tar Heels for keeping themselves in a proper seed line for a team that's been to the title in consecutive years. Yet, they're likely as easy an out in the big dance as any top seed.
10 7 down 3 22-6
(14-12-1)
16 Texas Tech
Consecutive losses on the road in the Big 12 are tough to avoid. How impactful will it be for the Red Raiders with three tough games remaining plus the conference tourney?
11 8 down 3 25-5
(14-14-1)
15.8 Purdue
Three straight losses will destroy a team's confidence but the Boilermakers have a veteran team. That key attribute will be an aide to Purdue's slide to grow from it.
12 16 up 4 22-5
(12-13-0)
15.2 Wichita St.
The Shockers became the latest team to put a thorn to Cincinnati's solid season. For the Shockers it comes down to their style of play being viable enough to be consistent enough in the tourney.
13 18 up 5 22-6
(11-15-2)
15 Arizona
In a day and age where the three point shot and guards dominant hoops, it's a treat to see what DeAndre Ayton is capable of on a nightly basis.
14 20 up 6 20-7
(15-10-0)
14.8 Tennessee
The Volunteers are one of those teams that don't make it pretty as far as a regular season team goes. Yet when it boils down to a tournament format that have the key sweet sixteen quality. From there it's about matchups, which could propel the Vols deep.
15 9 down 6 23-7
(15-13-0)
14.6 Ohio St.
One had to see the Buckeyes slide coming, but now they'll get a high opportunity to grow as a team in practice. Their last regular season game is Friday on February 23rd.
16 12 down 4 22-4
(14-9-1)
14.4 Rhode Island
Last Friday was an extremely tough loss for the Rams in a game they had in hand against the Bonnies.
17 14 down 3 26-4
(11-14-1)
14 St. Mary's
Over the last couple of seasons there isn't a team that has done more damage to themselves in terms of a high win to loss ratio than St. Mary's.
18 19 up 1 20-8
(12-12-0)
13.8 West Virginia
A rugged road to home schedule has caused severe issues for the Mountaineers. The lack of scoring ability will be the same detriment that could cause an early tournament exit.
19 24 up 5 23-7
(18-10-1)
13.7 Michigan
John Beilein continues to be that veteran coach that you can bank on having his team playing at a peak level as March nears.
20 17 down 3 20-7
(14-10-0)
13.6 Clemson
Three consecutive losses have masked the effort put forth by the Tigers. They pushed Florida State to overtime, lost a tied game late to Duke, and faced a must-win Virginia Tech team.
21 21 same 24-5
(15-11-2)
13.3 Nevada
The Wolf Pack will garner plenty of attention the first weekend of the tournament for upsets. The yearly question out of the Mountain West is if the competition warrants the push.
22 4 down 18 24-4
(14-10-1)
13.2 Cincinnati
Losing streaks are bound to happen but outcomes are telling. The Bearcats were outplayed from start to finish in losses to Houston and Wichita State.
23 N/R N/R 22-5
(14-10-0)
16 Middle Tennessee St.
Veteran names from Middle Tennessee's run two seasons ago are still around. Can they generate one more run with an automatic bid out of Conference USA?
24 N/R N/R 21-6
(13-9-1)
12.8 Houston
Suddenly Houston is looking the role of a new face contender out of the American conference that use to be UConn's spot. They'll need to avoid a loss in their final four games to stay in control of an at large bid.
25 25 same 21-6
(12-12-0)
12.8 St. Bonaventure
I was shocked to see the Bonnies not make an entry into the top twenty-five in the standard polls. Nine straight victories and a big comeback win over Rhode Island weren't enough to warrant the push out of the A-10. Currently they're seeded in the play-in game from ESPN's Joe Lunardi, which could make them the latest A-10 danger team (Dayton-VCU) in that spot.

Power Ratings compute offensive and defensive statistics into one number for each team, while accounting for factors like recent performances and strength of schedule. Power Ratings can be used as a baseline for relative spread index to compare current or future match-ups between two teams. The relative spread does not account for non-statistical factors like home-field advantage, recent injuries, game time decisions, rivalries, publicity, and weather.

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