NCAAB Power Rankings: Week 16

By Zack Cimini - Covers Expert

Back-line seeding for the NCAA tournament is appearing to be the weakest since tournament expansion. That's noteworthy, as bettors likely will see a higher variance in double-digit post-season spreads similar to 2014. As we head into the final weekend of the regular season Zack Cimini gives his latest power rankings in college basketball.

ncb Power Rankings

Rank Last Week Change Team W-L (ATS) Power Rating Team Comments
1 4 up 3 27-2
-19.5 Virginia
The Cavaliers two-year dominance in the ACC tournament will get overlooked once again if they falter in the tournament. Yet this year the talent is unquestionable. The Final Four should be a shoe-in for the Cavaliers.
2 3 up 1 29-2
-19 Gonzaga
The Zags ended their season a week earlier than the majority of college basketball teams. Will that be a detriment or bode to their advantage?
3 1 down 2 26-4
-18.8 Duke
If minus Zion Williamson the Blue Devils will be challenged greatly in the round of thirty-two and beyond.
4 9 up 5 25-5
-18.5 North Carolina
Teams that are going to grow beyond their capabilities do so with the youth of their roster flourishing. That's by the case for UNC as Coby White has been their best player down the stretch.
5 2 down 3 27-3
-18.3 Tennessee
After a disappointing loss the Volunteers bounced back in a big way with a blowout win over the Wildcats.
6 8 up 2 26-4
-18 Michigan
Michigan has been the team people can count on for deep runs in March. They seem to be able to find the baskets when needed in Big 10 play. One has to wonder if that will transfer to March Madness?
7 5 down 2 25-5
-17.8 Kentucky
The youth of the Wildcats could have faltered in two consecutive road matchups against the Vols and Rebels. Earning a split will keep them as a top seed line barring an inexcusable loss in the SEC tournament.
8 10 up 2 25-5
-17.5 Louisiana State
Wednesday the Tigers yet again won in comeback fashion via overtime. Five losses on the year could easily have been closer to the double-digit range for LSU.
9 14 up 5 25-5
-17 Texas Tech
The Red Raiders continue to flourish ATS and dominate the Big 12. A key noticeable factor for the Red Raiders is they've grown stronger offensively in-conference while the rest has diminished.
10 15 up 5 24-6
-16.8 Florida St.
Depending on the Seminoles region for March Madness they can end up being just as dangerous as last year.
11 12 up 1 24-6
-16.5 Michigan St
The Spartans have won six of seven and have a chance Saturday to win the Big 10 title over Michigan.
12 6 down 6 27-2
-16.2 Houston
One had to know that Houston's run in-conference would not last. Central Florida answered every challenge from the Cougars on multiple occasions in the second half to earn a hard fought victory.
13 7 down 6 27-3
-16.1 Nevada
Two losses in the Mountain West have put the pressure on the Wolf Pack. They don't have the strength of a top team but they're scoring ability should offset that in March.
14 20 up 6 27-3
-16 Buffalo
A mid-conference dip put the Bulls off the radar. Since that stretch they've become refocused and won eight straight games.
15 19 up 4 22-8
-15.8 Villanova
The Wildcats were able to correct a mini stretch of losses and seem to be ready to do-or-die based on guard Phil Booth's experience.
16 22 up 6 23-7
-15.6 Kansas St.
Pesky teams that don't have a high skill advantage often times get looked over in March Madness brackets. The Wildcats can get it done on both ends of the floor and with an A-team game they can beat anyone.
17 N/R N/R 22-7
-15.2 Virginia Tech
The Hokies nearly followed a huge win over Duke with another quality win over Florida State. After jumping on the Seminoles they weren't able to sustain a double-digit halftime lead.
18 25 up 7 25-4
-15 Cincinnati
The Bearcats likely have the weakest overall schedule of any team in the top twenty-five. In all likelihood that will affect their seed line tremendously. Yet with a Mick Cronin coached team there is a great chance to advance in March
19 24 up 5 26-4
-14.8 Wofford
The Terriers have been inside our top twenty-five power rankings long before they entered the official top 25. They play with pace and have 3-4 capable double-digit 20+ scorers.
20 13 down 7 23-7
-14.5 Marquette
Three straight losses from Marquette has torn apart a strong regular season. The good thing for the Golden Eagles is the majority of college teams have their amount of losses. They also have time to correct their errors in the Big East tournament.
21 16 down 5 22-8
-14 Kansas
Bill Self's Jayhawks finally faltered and will not win the Big 12 title. It's not the losses that look detrimental to the Jayhawks it's the inability to adjust.
22 17 down 5 21-9
-12 Maryland
The Terrapins are one of those teams that could have been a top-tier team with a grad transfer on their roster. They appear to be too young to make a run this post-season.
23 N/R N/R 20-9
-11.5 Wisconsin
The Badgers biggest strength comes with senior Ethan Happ and his ability to do it all on the floor.
24 N/R N/R 22-6
-11 Central Florida
Coach Johnny Dawkins got it done this season with an old school mentality. The core nucleus in seniors in Tacko Fall and BJ Taylor were recruited and played key minutes since their freshman year. That's the payoff for a program that likely would take pride in any post-season tournament.
25 N/R N/R 21-9
-10 Auburn
A former top ten team Bruce Pearl's team faded in the middle of SEC play. Having won five of their last six they've got a chance to gain big momentum with Saturday's showdown against Tennessee.

Power Ratings compute offensive and defensive statistics into one number for each team, while accounting for factors like recent performances and strength of schedule. Power Ratings can be used as a baseline for relative spread index to compare current or future match-ups between two teams. The relative spread does not account for non-statistical factors like home-field advantage, recent injuries, game time decisions, rivalries, publicity, and weather.

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