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Baarrn -
So I am unable to place bets until i get off work and the spreads sometimes move from where you post you get them at. For instance today Pitts is at -1.5, +180. This happened to me yesterday and instead of the bet pushing i lost it. Again Pitts -1.5. The payout does increase but do you still think this bet has value.
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baarrn | 19 |
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Im going to have to go with Atl -1.5 again tonight. I see the game going similiar to last nights game but with better pitching on both sides. Atl will still have the better of the 2 pitchers but the game should be lower scoring. I would say the under is a possibillity but the bravos bats have been on fire so I still going to avoid it.
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baarrn | 16 |
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Baarrn (Thoughts of Pitt and FL) -
Looking at the stats this seems like its going to be two median to subpar pitchers against two offenses that cant put much together either. To me it seems Pitt only has a slight advantage if any. Possibly 51:49.
That being said, is this wager based on pot odds. Meaning, you are getting 1.27:1 on your money and 1:1 so mathmatically you have to take the bet.
Or do you think Pitt really has an advantage.
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baarrn | 16 |
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I like the Bravos -1.5 at even money. Hudson has a 2.38 FIP for '08. Washington's offense was only able to muster 1 run against Olsen yesterday who has an FIP of 2.6 for '08 (note Olsen is a LHand Hudson is RH). Chico has had a troubled start in '08 at 0-3 and didnt put together a winning season in '07 at 7-9.
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baarrn | 16 |
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Baarrn -
Where do you go for your statics?
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baarrn | 16 |
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Baarrn - Yea that was a tough loss on the Mets game yesterday. The only thing worse would be having the over and the Mets ML....which I did. Hopefully better luck today. |
baarrn | 16 |
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Baarrn - I have been looking at the Under (9.5) for the Braves/Dodgers game. What do you think.
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baarrn | 29 |
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Baarrn - I know the feeling. Played poker for 4 hrs yesterday and won all of $5. I try and think of it as a little gain is better than a big loss. GL Today.
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baarrn | 29 |
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Baarrn
I would like to start grinding out sports betting. I completely understand what it takes to "grind". Baseball obviously lends itself to long term betting strategy because the of amount of games and season length. I have some questions before I start making any substatial financial commitments. They are:
1. How many units should my bankroll be able to swing from your experience.
2. What do you mean by "Leans"
3. What key stats do you use when you are picking a bet in baseball.
4. Bravos/Marlins, Smoltz -155 vs Nolasco, away
I will be following your picks for a while. Thanks for the help and good luck.
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baarrn | 9 |
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