Recent Posts

Thread Author scotth69 Post Entries
KongKiller
KongKiller

If you are playing all series of 3 games or more, you have a busy Columbus Day.

  • Game 1 - Vancouver @ Columbus ML
  • Game 1 - Coloradao @ Boston PL
  • Game 1 - Calgary @ St. Louis PL
  • Game 2 - Phoenix @ Dallas PL

I'm running a 2 Labby lines for Game 1 and Game 2. I split my loss on G1 Phoenix to both lines. I have to go back and read this whole thread later. Both Calgary and Phoenix are very small dogs +115, so the PL is very high.

KongKiller
KongKiller
Rangers are not a 3 game series either.
KongKiller
KongKiller
TB is a 5 game series.......post # 31 states we only play 3 game series.
KongKiller
KongKiller

crap betus has -220 for +1.5

this could get pricey

dj_destroyer
dj_destroyer

Quote Originally Posted by paul_scholes:

This thread needs goombas with no avatars frothing meaningless platitudes and asking if there's plays today (as if DJD wasn't going to post them until your dumb ass asked) about as much as it needs me typing this shit.

Let the man do work.

go fuck yourself you piece of shit - look around and see how many people on covers think you are a total moron

 

Sorry DJ - Good Luck today.

dj_destroyer
dj_destroyer
any plays today?
therizz
therizz
Quote Originally Posted by roguewager:

How about LAD@MARLINS  opened at -140 but has been above -145 last 2 days? Confirm?

Read Post #1....(this is NOT a play)

Here is the plan:

Play on teams that open at -145 or higher in the first game of a three or more game homestand

scotth69
scotth69

Speechless, Clueless and Done..........

When your best game of the night is a rain out, you know it's time to hang it up.

Good Luck Guys

scotth69
scotth69

Friday - 4/15 - 7 Plays - I'm playing them all to win 1 Unit

  1. Game 2 LA Dodgers (3-2 Home)
  2. Game 1 NY Yankees (6-2 Home)
  3. Game 1 Philadelphia (5-1 Home)
  4. Game 1 Cincinnati (5-1 Home)
  5. Game 1 Boston (2-3 Home)
  6. Gamet 1 Atlanta (2-4 Home)
  7. Game 1 Chicao White Sox (4-3 Home)
therizz
therizz

Quote Originally Posted by roguewager:

I'm going to throw this out there. I like the system but today look at the huge favorites.  7 bets. How many do we need to win today to break even.  I'm playing Oakland because its a "B" bet but waiting to see who loses today and then play the "B" bets tomorrow. What are the chances of winning? Last year "A" bets were about 63%.  If  we hit 63% today on "A" bets, At this Vig we will still lose for the day.  I'm just suggesting this for today only because of the volume of bets. Any thoughts on this?

 

Nothing wrong with waiting, but unfortunately 63% over the long haul does not translate to 63% for each and every day. Today could be that 6-1 day. By definition the odds are going to be high because of the system. IMO, once you start to get selective and afraid of the odds you are asking for trouble - it's like trying to time the stock market - it doesn't work.

scotth69
scotth69

Boston rained out - perhaps not a bad thing

Game 1 on Thursday, LA Dodgers Home vs. St. Louis -130

Trigg
Trigg

Quote Originally Posted by HECTAR:

No he'll just go bankrupt playing every game!!!

Should we assume you have data to back that up?

scotth69
scotth69

Just realized that the Yanks are now a 2 game series with the rainout on Tuesday. So I am NOT playing the Yanks and the series will not count in the record keeping. I did not look at any numbers from previous years for 2 game series.

therizz
therizz
Quote Originally Posted by roguewager:

Confirm?

gm3 Tam@BOSTON -150

Atlanta won last nite (add another win to system record), NYY rain ppd so not a play today since no longer 3 game series, If you played LAA as gm2 bet you won, If you played Minn despite it being a 2 game series you won. BTW Boston blows

Yes on both counts...

  • Boston is a Play
  • Boston Blows!
  • And thanks for pointing out the Yanks are a 2 game series.
scotth69
scotth69

I don't have time to post everyday, so I'm only going update this when I have time. I made up almost all my losses from 4/11 on 4/12, going 5-1. A few random thoughts...I am not chasing, but adjusting my bets after losses...meaning I'm somewhat using aggressive labby lines, but using my own discretion when i get cold feet with higher bets and high lines. I feel confident I can make some $$$ on this thing and I don't want to take a big hit with a big bet on a -270 line at any point. Sooner or later a team will get swept and a chase on some of these high lines will kill you. Boston is our problem child this week, losing 2 in a row to a shit team. I had them -150 on the first loss and about -175 yesterday and I see them about -150 again today. IF you were chasing you would have +22 Units, but laying 10.5 units today to win 1 unit on the Boston Series, having lost 1.5 units on the first game and about 4.5 units on the second game. Here are the teams I'm playing right now and I'm not going changing anything as of now.

  1. Boston
  2. Yankees
  3. Cincy 
  4. LAA
  5. San Francisco
  6. LAD
  7. Chicago Whitesox
  8. Texas
  9. Detroit
  10. Philly
  11. St. Louis
  12. Atlanta

Updated Record: +$224 (+11.2 Units)

  • G1: 14-9   (56%)
  • G2: 7-2     (77%)
  • G3: 1-0     (100%)

Yankees are a Game 1 today and Boston is a game 3. Played all games yesterday to win 1.64 units and doing the same today.

scotth69
scotth69

Monday 4/11 (0-5) -6.3 units

Updated Record: +$120 (+6 Units)

  • G1: 13-9
  • G2: 3-1
  • G3: 1-0

Detroit Game 2 @ 1:00 and a bunch later tonight. Haven't figured out my Labby Lines. Probably the Tigers to win 1.5 units. Will look at the rest of the games today.

scotth69
scotth69

Updated Record: +$226 (+11.3 Units)

 

4/11 - One Early Game Chicago White Sox -135 1 Unit

scotth69
scotth69

Updated Record: +$226 (+11.3 Units)

  • G1: 13-4
  • G2: 3-1
  • G3: 1-0

4/9 LA Angels -107 $21 to win $20

Back on Monday

scotth69
scotth69
  1. San Francisco -158     $47.40 to win $30.00 
  2. Atlanta +104               $30.00 to win $31.20
  3. Detroit -167                 $41.75 to win $25.00
  4. LA Angels -125           $31.25 to win $25.00
  5. Boston -124                $31.00 to win $25.00

Updated Record: +$206 (+10.3 Units)

  • G1: 13-4
  • G2: 2-1
  • G3: 1-0

4/9 LA Angels -107 $21 to win $20

scotth69
scotth69

Today was the start of the 2nd round of "Home Openers" for my top 12 teams. The White Sox made it look very easy, bringing the record for the Home Openers to 6-1 (St. Louis the only loser). Five series this weekend and I'm still trying to get a little back (slowly) before getting back to my base bet of $20.

  1. San Francisco -158     $47.40 to win $30.00
  2. Atlanta +104               $30.00 to win $31.20
  3. Detroit -167                 $41.75 to win $25.00
  4. LA Angels -125           $31.25 to win $25.00
  5. Boston -124                $31.00 to win $25.00

Updated Record: +$126 (+6.3 Units)

  • G1: 9-3
  • G2: 2-1
  • G3: 1-0

Let's see how the day plays out with the 0-6 RedSox and going against the Phillies after they put up 7, 10, 11 runs against the Mets. First game is Boston at 2:00 ET

Desktop View: Switch to Mobile View