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ridibets
ridibets
down to two in a survivor pool, have these games to choose from.

suggestions please?

atl vs cle
cin vs hou
kc  vs oak
dal vs nyg  (can pick nyg only)
nyj vs buf
sd  vs stl
tb  vs chi (can only pick tb)
was vs sf
Lippsman
Lippsman
pitt+2
phil -1.5
ne +5
ridibets
ridibets
i know they're winning, but this has to be one of hte most pathetic displays at the 1yd line.
cmw5123
cmw5123
There was no play yesterday.
No official play today either but there are 3 fade plays. What I post right now is the what you play and fades accuscore

Char o195
Wash -10
Rap o200
cmw5123
cmw5123
another one of those losses on a useless basket.
Galinha187
Galinha187
cousins out!
cmw5123
cmw5123
the system went 1-1 yesterday with the nyk losing and the nyk over hitting.
really think for nba the totals are the way to go, dont have the exact number but i dont ats it has done too well.
cmw5123
cmw5123
3-1 night.

but i think we should lay off the ML plays,the juice can kill you on losses with bigger plays. have to win alot more to break even.
wwtpglobal
wwtpglobal
hey wwt are you counting the juice in your units? or are you just counting wins and losses? 
ridibets
ridibets
only play today is gsw u203
KobezKing
KobezKing
didnt decide the game but robbed bell of 6 fantasy pts!
cmw5123
cmw5123
cmw5123 its upto you since you started to take over, but i personally would keep the system and fade records separate as two systems since they are technically not the same.

upto you what you want to do, ill follow, personally for my own purposes im keeping them separate.
cmw5123
cmw5123
mia under is not part of the system, its just a fade play.
system went 1-2 with lal over and det -4 losing and gsw u207 winning.
cmw5123
cmw5123
Quote Originally Posted by cmw5123:

You're getting those bc you're clicking on analysis. Just use the records given when clicking on the stars

actually ive checked both the stars and analysis, in the nba they both match, unlike ncaab. i dont know where he getting those numbers
cmw5123
cmw5123
Quote Originally Posted by cmw5123:

Accuscore has the line at 207. Anything over u take under anything under u take over. Most of accuscore a picks are only off the actual spread by a couple of points. Just how the system works.

so i addressed this in my thread, what i was saying was since accuscore projects against the original line, if the line moves significantly to actually make the play the opposite its prob best to pass unless you hope to middle. personally i would be passing.
ridibets
ridibets
it was never bulls +4. if you look at the stars and not the projected score they projected line was det -5, and the play was det -4. i know the projected score was contradicting that but i think you are suppose to take what they predict and not follow the projected final score although it does make you wondering how they come up with the projected score.
ridibets
ridibets
you know guys, when it comes to changing lines, i think you should take the play against the original line, if you dont catch that line and it has moved considerably to actually make it an opposite play you should just pass. this is just my opinion. 
if youre following a system like this which accuscore bases their predictions against the opening line. the GSW opening line was 207.5 - 208. and now its 205 to make the play over. do you really think its going to middle at 206-207? 
so either make it a no play or stick with the under. youre not going to win them all so win or lose i think the under is the play at 205 or a no play.
ridibets
ridibets
ya i know the 70% those 3 are plays. 

if the fades are 30% then the only play is the mia u197
ridibets
ridibets
figure ill help out cmw5123 early incase a game comes off the board like two nights ago. i just check ats and totals, not moneylines.
today the plays are

LAL over 199
det -4
GSW under 207.5

cmw5123 can correct me if im wrong but i think the fade plays if you want to play them are 

mia u197
SAS +2.5
phi over 207

i have fade plays at 35% or less. so to reiterate, these plays are what you should be playing if you are fading accuscore.

the two games accuscore does not have a projection on are 
por vs pho 
atl vs hou
cmw5123
cmw5123
there is only one play for today

orl vs atl u199 at 71.65%
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