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Thread Author plopez14325 Post Entries
AFNfootballnerd
AFNfootballnerd
Alright time to call your uncle up and get this Weeks picks. Also when's the last time you used, your system? Maybe with more info things are going to start heating up
AFNfootballnerd
AFNfootballnerd
Im going to cry... Fell asleep before I could put the cowboys game in... And I put in all the plays except I took Seattle... Im the worst
WicketStats
WicketStats
However I teased Houston BC they're 4-0 ats and I hate betting on teams that covered every game BC its j a matter of time until they don't cover.
WicketStats
WicketStats
Interesting fact teams that won their previous game, are coming off a bye and are playing at home have covered 11-3 on the season... the teams that fall into that scenario this week is: duke, unlv, Houston
AFNfootballnerd
AFNfootballnerd
Well glad I didn't have to wait until week 15 to cover the giants, but I understood that based on math alone I would have to multiply my bets by 2.5... Afn I like every pivk this week except tenn @ Seattle... IMO seatlle has the best home field advantage in the NFL and Fitzpatrick is a gun slinger who will turn the ball over at least twice, I could see this one being a route, however wtf do I know I was crushed in the NFL last week
jdnmoney
jdnmoney
careful washington is one of the few teams thats defense has held their opponents to their least amount of yards on the season.  That plus Bishop Sankey and Washington might really slow this game down. 
AFNfootballnerd
AFNfootballnerd
i understannd the numbers could point to the 0-5 giants being ranked 31st... but theyre 0-5 ats so I am going to ride them each week until they cover, doubling my bet every week they dont... so it may take a few weeks but I figure I will eventually make money on the giants,,,  anyone else agree with my logic?  lets just hope its not week 15 before they cover
gridironguy
gridironguy
this is a tough game to play... but when you look at the facts, Oklahoma's defense looks elite... i know they allowed 17 points against TCU, but anybody who watched the game saw that TCU was lucky to score that much, Oklahomma held Boykin to 17 yards passing at half.  While the Iowa State offense had no problem running all over Texas... if I was betting this game Id have to go ou -14.5.... but that is a big spread
AFNfootballnerd
AFNfootballnerd
Alright afn I respect your plays, I probably bet 20 cfb games yesterday and I was down like $750... So Washington and $425 on San Jose stat...
AFNfootballnerd
AFNfootballnerd
Hey what websites do you degenerates use to wager, I cant find a good site to withdraw money, but there's benefits of prop bets, getting better lines, 1h & 2h and you don't have to wager a ton of money, so honestly what's the best one out there?
HeadOverHeart
HeadOverHeart
Betting day*
HeadOverHeart
HeadOverHeart
Well im had the worst being day in my life n although I have Washington +10 for $125 even if I win i'm still down big, so I did what any degenerate gambler would do and put $300 sjsu -3.5
lazers97
lazers97
I got murdered today
plopez14325
plopez14325
Ok so hindsight is 20/20 but after having the ability to watch the first 5 weeks of the NFL, which rookies would be in your top 10 and which rookies are looking like early busts.. this is what my draft would look like.

1. Kiko Alonso (Buffalo Bills)
2. Luke Jockel (Jacksonville)
3. Ziggy Ansah (Detroit Lions)
4. Sheldon Richardson (New York Jets)
5. Barkevious Mingo (Cleveland)
6. Star Louteili (Carolina)
7. Kenny Vaccaro (New Orleans Saints)
8. Eric Reid (San Francisco)
9. Kyle Long (Bears)
10.Robert Woods/ Deandre Hopkins (Bills, Texans)

(honorable mention: Gio Bernard, Tyrann Mathiu, Eddie Lacy, Tyler Eifert, Cordarelle Patterson, Geno Smith, Jarvis Jones, EJ Mauel, Alec Olgetree, Dj Fluker.


now for the players that are under performing has to start with 
1 Eric Fisher
2. Dion Jordan
3 Lane Johnson
4. Tavon Austin
5. Sylvester Williams
6. Dee Milliner
7. Justin Hunter
8. Desmond trufant
9. David Amerson
10. Margus Hunt

Late road picks who could have solid NFL careers
1. Tyrann Mathieu
2. John Jenkins
3. Larry warford
4. Sio Moore
5. Terrance Williams
6. Kenny Stills
7. Terron Armstead
8. Bennie Logan
9. Jordan Reed
10, Shmarko Thomas
11. Keenan Allen
12. Markus Wheaton
13. Corey Lemonier
14. Brandon Williams
15. David Bakhitari
16. Armanti Bryant
17. Devonte Holloman
18. Mychael Rivera
19. Denard Robinson
20. Andre Ellington.


Obviously I am sure many will disagree with Kiko Alonso being the number 1 pick, but just look at the kids stats.  Im interested in hearing everybodys thoughts,,,


AFNfootballnerd
AFNfootballnerd
Quote Originally Posted by imsparty1:

Lopez,

The $90 was with New Or pending. So the $90 came from wagering $3650. Now, mind you, you were all over AFN's jock for going 2-2,so I d/n understand your attitude.

By the way, New Or M/L play paid off $5500 wagered and $2000 won. So, yay all we had to do was risk $9150 to win $2090. Horrible system; especially consdering associated risk of wagering on M/L favorites as opposed to wagering on favorites ATS. 
                           


Honestly I am not rooting against you and I do think that its a solid system, however you need a serious bankroll to make significant money, and I am not in that situation... one bad week and I would have to sneak out of town... BOL to you though, and I have done moneyline favorites for the past 5-6 gsp and mayweather fights and it obviously works, its just that I dont have enough to wager, but can you put your plays for this week back up, and AFN is providing analytics to average bettors, which has helped me be a more effective gambler... He deals with numbers, and then i add in the eye test, injuries, home field advantage and match ups.
AFNfootballnerd
AFNfootballnerd
Believe me I understand the logic and I did see the New Orleans play was your biggest, and I am sure it is a great system but you have to have a serious bankroll to make any kinda decent money, and you have to have the money to withstand the surprise upsets.  I am rooting for you to win as well, but I dont think its fair to come in and knock a guy who's providing analytics to help the average bettor.  I dont go w/ every team he suggests, but I think with his numbers and my knowledge it is helping and it's week 5 and i am still up on the season.  Honest;y can you put your picks on here for this week?   the: Originally Posted by imsparty1]
Lopez,

The $90 was with New Or pending. So the $90 came from wagering $3650. Now, mind you, you were all over AFN's jock for going 2-2,so I d/n understand your attitude.

By the way, New Or M/L play paid off $5500 wagered and $2000 won. So, yay all we had to do was risk $9150 to win $2090. Horrible system; especially consdering associated risk of wagering on M/L favorites as opposed to wagering on favorites ATS. 
[/Quote]
AFNfootballnerd
AFNfootballnerd
honestly if the 2013 draft was tomorrow, based on what we know now, do you think kiko alonso would be the #1 pick?? if so lets hear your top 5... Last night i wrote an entire article about how utah st was a bad bet against byu with their returning stars.  I made great oints and I was dead on.... but the degenerate in me took utah state bc i like to root for chuckie keeton, but honestly that byu game was such an easy pick im so pissed i didnt take em for $150 and instead took utah st for $25... I then wrote how theres no way nevada should be getting 7 with their superstar qb, and that I expect the score to go over... well I didnt bet the over, and ended up getting nevada +6.5 so im just hoping that I can make it until sunday because I am an idiot and put close to $550 on tomorrows noon games.
AFNfootballnerd
AFNfootballnerd
ya honestly i think the bills was a good play but, honestly you can not account for 197 punt return yards, which probably was the deciding factor in the game... no wonder the bills cut him immediately after the game.  As far as Tuel goes he came in and gave the bills a 24-17 lead in the 4th quarter... but then it sarts raining, stevie johnson and cj spiller were both out of the game, so the bills kept getting pinned back inside their 15 and since Tuel is an UDFA rookie qb the browns knew freddie jackson was getting the ball and then he had to try and convert 3rd and longs with an excellent browns defense in his face... the guy was set up for failure, il be interested to see how he looks against cincy w their solid defense but 10 days prep plus stevie and spiller.
Werker
Werker
honestly if they draft was done over tomorrow, who goes number 1? kiko Alonso in my opinion
martymcfly31
martymcfly31
nice wager, may have gotten a lil lucky but you're obviously doing something right when you can lay $5k on a tough game.... too bad you didnt wager -4 and won $4900
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