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Thread Author modogg Post Entries
LuckyGuy
LuckyGuy
MLB Betting / Wednesday / View Post
Quote Originally Posted by LuckyGuy:






looking good lucky. i have to get in earlier with these early games, but glad to see you are doing well
LuckyGuy
LuckyGuy
MLB Betting / Sunday / View Post
could use a nice win after getting wrecked with the A's and Giants
sawman
sawman
Quote Originally Posted by MR219:

I think a lot of your thoughts are bang on...

I am pretty sure Stephens is going to be a significant fav over Yves Edwards (at least -250, if not higher)

Prater is absolutely dreadful!  I think Levasseur is still a top prospect, will shake off the octagon jitters loss to McKenzie, and make a strong showing of himself.


God I hope so. Still pissy at Levasseur from that McKenzie fight, if i/we get burned by him again and i will be real salty
LuckyGuy
LuckyGuy
MLB Betting / Saturday / View Post
Quote Originally Posted by LuckyGuy:

Blue Jays +164

Rays +118

Red Sox +166


I hate getting behind the Red Sox, but I will be tailing all of 'em anyway. Good Luck Lucky!
LuckyGuy
LuckyGuy
MLB Betting / Thursday / View Post
Quote Originally Posted by LuckyGuy:

Wednesday 1-1 Hit my POD w/A's


Current Card...



Oakland +181  POD


Looks good bud, thanks for posting it!
oOoBRICKzz
oOoBRICKzz
Quote Originally Posted by T_Rav1088:

Albeit for me to question the logic of a guy who's been here 3 years longer than I, which more than likely means gambling longer than I, but how do you figure there's no such thing as a trap?  Last weekend, 5 different games with 70/30 splits or more (depending on which site you prefer to check) all lost, most of which outright.  Vegas knows more than all of us, but knows a boatload more than most of us.  When they release a number like Dallas -3 last week against seattle, or drag-ass oakland against Pitt -4, they know good and damn well they're not going to get the 50/50 split like so many like to claim is the goal.

Let me be clear, I do NOT believe in fixes.  But I do believe those who are paid to make this business run are well informed.  So the original counter point is correct, the general betting public's perception (and possibly the OP) is skewed.  But when the masses view a line in one way as off, when its actually dead on correct, does that not define a 'trap' for the betting public?  I've seen it, I've heard it from the mouthes of industry workers on all types of media, and i've read it.  Vegas does draw lines in the sand, and they aren't afraid to take a side against public perception if said perception is wrong.  The last 2 weeks have been riddled with examples. 



I would point to the Giants-Eagles line as a good example. That is an awfully sneaky line, and has moved quite a bit already. for all intents and purposes, Giants should be the favorites coming into this with the Eagles getting detroyed by Arizona, and barely beating Cleveland. Add 2 main guys on the OL out, and we have a suspicious line
SJSharks99
SJSharks99
Quote Originally Posted by SJSharks99:

Final

Rays RL (-110)


Cubs/Rockies O 10.5 (-115)


O's/Jays U 9 (-115)



3-0 Sweep!!! 2nd day in a row with a sweep 7-0 and 18-3 in my last 21 bets, which has to be one of the best runs I have ever been on. Hopefully it continues


Thanks San Jose for posting your picks. Helping to make up for the money the NFL stole from some of us last night.
LuckyGuy
LuckyGuy
MLB Betting / Saturday / View Post
Quote Originally Posted by LuckyGuy:

Current Card...

Going LARGE on these plays... 2X each


Pittsburgh/Houston  Over 8.5 -102

Kansas City -1 +101

LA Angels -1 -121

San Diego +149

Texas -1 -136






good luck!
LuckyGuy
LuckyGuy
MLB Betting / Friday / View Post
Quote Originally Posted by LuckyGuy:

Final Card...


Toronto +191

Arizona -1 -112

Cleveland/Kansas City  Over 8.5 -111

LA Angels -1 +111


SD/SF  Over 7.5 -101


Jays At least won't have to sweat out this game, crooks


always get nervous relying on the Padres bats, but looks like it could be another good night Lucky. Nice job
LuckyGuy
LuckyGuy
MLB Betting / Thursday / View Post
Quote Originally Posted by LuckyGuy:

Final Card...


Oakland/Detroit   Over 8.5 +111 

San Diego +101

San Francisco -1 -110

Milwaukee -101

Tampa Bay -1.5 +110

Kansas City -110



LuckyGuy
LuckyGuy
MLB Betting / Wednesday / View Post
Quote Originally Posted by LuckyGuy:

Blue Jays +192 

LA Dodgers +134 

Brewers -1 -102 

Braves -1 -107 

Cardinals -1.5 +105
 

Orioles +137 

D'backs -1 +102 

Rangers/LA Angels  Over 8.5 +101 

LA Angels -1 +107 

Giants -1.5 +100


6-4


   Looks good Bud, looking forward to seeing what you have tomorrow...
LuckyGuy
LuckyGuy
MLB Betting / Friday / View Post
I don't even care who is playing Boston anymore, -1.5 the opposing team. The entire team looks like it has given up and has already thrown the towel in, am i wrong?
LuckyGuy
LuckyGuy
MLB Betting / Friday / View Post
Quote Originally Posted by modogg:

enough for a small profit, thanks luckyguy


whoops, just saw the other 3. Back on the train, good luck lucky
LuckyGuy
LuckyGuy
MLB Betting / Friday / View Post
enough for a small profit, thanks luckyguy
LuckyGuy
LuckyGuy
MLB Betting / Thursday / View Post
Quote Originally Posted by LuckyGuy:

Orioles -103

Mets +102


GL


thanks bud, good luck
LuckyGuy
LuckyGuy
MLB Betting / MLB Wednesday / View Post
Quote Originally Posted by LuckyGuy:

Final Card

LA Angels -116

Chi.White Sox -117

Colorado Rockies +147

Sf Giants -104




missed half of them, but nice job
PapaShango
PapaShango
Quote Originally Posted by PapaShango:

(Tuesday 8/14/12):
Rangers/Yankees Under 9 +105 (1 to win 1.05 Units)
Orioles -105 (1.05 to win 1 Unit)
White Sox/Blue Jays Under 9 -110 (1.1 to win 1 Unit)

Astros +110 (1 to win 1.1 Units)
Athletics/Royals Over 8.5 -105 (1.05 to win 1 Unit)
Twins +150 (1 to win 1.5 Units)
Tigers/Twins Over 9 -105 (1.05 to win 1 Unit)
Diamondbacks +100 (1 to win 1 Unit)
Diamondbacks/Cardinals Over 9 -105 (1.05 to win 1 Unit)
Brewers/Rockies Over 11 -110 (1.1 to win 1 Unit)
Indians +180 (1 to win 1.8 Units)
Rays/Mariners Under 7 -110 (1.1 to win 1 Unit)
Nationals/Giants Over 6 -110 (1.1 to win 1 Unit)

9-4 +5.1 Units


Much appreciated
LuckyGuy
LuckyGuy
MLB Betting / Saturday / View Post
Quote Originally Posted by LuckyGuy:

Final Card

Mariners/Yankees  Under 8 -102  (((POD))) 

LA Angels +118 

NY Mets +125 

Blue Jays +156 

Royals +146 

Twins/Red Sox  Over 10 +110


4-1-1




Nice job. That Min/Bos was a doozy....
LuckyGuy
LuckyGuy
MLB Betting / Thursday / View Post
Papelbon   Phillies were the right call, just caught a bad break from the bullpen. Which, as a Phillies fan, is really getting old. Hopefully the Dodgers and Padres finish well for you
remember1118
remember1118
I think Franklin wins this, and am quite confident in it. Franklin just came from Thainland where he was learning Muay Thai for a long time. I also think the fact that Wandy is fighting in Brazil may actually hurt him, because he may come out super aggressive and all pumped from the crowd, and leave himself open to get hit.

Only thing that has me worried a bit is the judging in brazil. there will definitely be some home favortism for the Brazilian fighters, and it could sting Franklin a bit if the fight is close
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