Profile | Entries | Thread Author | Posts | Activity |
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@AC_28 Thanks AC. Off to a pretty good start. GL going forward. |
AC_28 | 215 |
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@AC_28 Thanks AC. Appreciate it. I don't cap but have had some success tailing professional level cappers on this and other sites. You seem to possibly fit that mode and just would love to see your longer term record. Great job so far and again truly appreciate your willingness to share. thanks, Mike |
AC_28 | 215 |
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@AC_28 Nice work AC. 3-1 since I started tailing. thank you. I saw an earlier post where you offered to send your tracking info website to someone via PM. Would you mind sending to me too please? I've been playing 1/2 units but you seem professional level and I'm thinking of upping to 1u if you have historically won over the long term. thanks again for sharing. |
AC_28 | 215 |
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replied to
People are so dumb its absolutely astrounding to me. No it wasn't rigged. Mahomes is a smart heads up QB for not scoring there.
in NFL Betting haven't read entire thread. Mahomes smart, not rigged. This just happened early last season in the Cleveland/Jets game. Cleveland up 6 late and Chubb decides to score instead of taking knee like Mahomes did (Jets were out of TOs and under 2 minutes - game is over if he takes knee as they would have had a 1st down and run out clock - like KC did). So Cleveland is up 13 with less than 2 minutes left and Jets no TOs. Over right? Nope. Jets get ball and get long TD pass almost immediately as Browns secondary had busted coverage. Jets now down 6. They do onside kick and recover. And then drive down and score another TD and kick XP to win game. Chubb took blame after game for NOT doing exactly what Mahomes did. Now, is that a 1 in a 1000 type comeback - of course. It was a miracle comeback and win. But it happened. I know because I was laying points with Cleveland and lost. The odds that a major Pro Sport is rigged is pretty much 0 because the players and coaches make millions - and the league makes billions. They won't risk that to rig a game. Even the refs make damn good coin now. College is getting close with great players now getting NIL. |
JimmyGape | 140 |
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@AC_28 just read for first time and decided to tail. thank you |
AC_28 | 215 |
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thanks LA. Great to see you back. Not that you are, but I wouldn't worry - you get back to your usual, standard level of success and you'll have more views than you know what to do with. GL today. |
LAGameofInches | 2 |
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@LAGameofInches LA, great to see you back. Figured you were recalibrating after the slow start - always sucks to start slow but does happen. Don't know a thing about soccer but always tail your picks. With your track record, willing to take that risk. My standard bet is .66% of my bankroll (i.e. 150 unit bankroll) so I'm always able to sustain losing streaks. Long term is what matters. thanks again for posting.
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LAGameofInches | 3 |
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@LAGameofInches Thanks LA. Congrats on start and hope you sweep. I saw this post about 13 minutes after you posted and missed the Herenveen Over 1 1H. Was about 5 minutes into game and the LIVE bet had the Over 1 at +100 so it just didn't feel right vs your -170 post line - should have taken it I guess but it was only like 10 minutes into game and didn't know if it was the same bet - +100 that early made no sense to me. I know you're doing your best and need to wait for line ups and us non-cappers will take whatever we can get from professional level guys like you who are willing to share. But if there is any way possible, I'd say posting about an hour before game time would be great, even 1/2 hour. I know I'll be checking often in the mornings here PST. I didn't play the others either - so that is probably a guarantee you go 4 0. I have BOL, BM and Heritage and seem to be able to find your numbers or close to them so far. So it's just getting that first game in on time. Again, I'll adjust to whatever you do. thanks again |
LAGameofInches | 6 |
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@LAGameofInches Thanks LA. No worries. I'll adjust to whatever you do. I'm in Vegas on PST too. Truly appreciate it and I look for you in other forums too - you are professional level and I am truly thankful for your sharing (I don't cap). We didn't get that 1H Over, close - long season. Looking forward to it. thanks again |
LAGameofInches | 15 |
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@LAGameofInches Thanks LA. Watched you all last season and plan to tail this year. Played Rayo LIVE at +101 about 4 minutes in - glad I got it in time. That was posted close to start time - do you have a time you usually post or is it pretty random?? Just trying to plan as best I can. thanks again for sharing your knowledge. GL this year |
LAGameofInches | 15 |
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@JozKnows I played it under for pretty much the reasons you state. Those 4 games they could lose. They have to replace Stroud. Their D has been very average in big games. They seem to be slipping slightly under Day though they certainly could have beat Georgia in playoff last year and probably should have. But replacing a stud QB is huge to me. Right now Michigan, PSU and ND will have the better QB on the field. Bama has same issue with Young and also losing 2 other top 12 picks. Also played Michigan Over same total - their OOC is a joke and think they could lose only to @PSU and OSU - just have to win one. Also took PSU +10 at OSU. Just 1u plays - not going to get rich going against such talent level. GL |
Bridge1 | 266 |
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@steponaduck Hey Duck, yeah it was crazy that year (unfortunately I wasn't on it), though they couldn't shade the 1H #enough. It's valid for them to shade 1H lines on heavy favs though - remember one Bama game - think they were 49.5 favs over Army or some scrub and it was 49 0 at half. Ended that way - Saban decided not to score anymore. But I don't think I've ever seen a coach call off the dogs before halftime. But that was an exception - books usually catch up really quick as you well know. Yeah Kent sounds like they'll be really bad. Lets watch it. Seen 35.5 already at BM on their 1st game. Think it opened 31.5. |
UNIMAN | 9 |
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good thread. It's about seeing an unexpected winning trend and getting on it early (not after it's gone 10-0). Good example was Alabama vs. 1H spreads a few years ago. Went undefeated I think or close to it. Books never fully caught up to it. Try to find team books won't catch up to for at least 6-8 weeks. Hard to find but happens. GL |
UNIMAN | 9 |
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@Bridge1 Good info Bridge. I need to look into Caesars and BetMGM as I should obviously be able to get them here in Nevada. might be able to pound them for a year. Surprised on your issues with BM. Have a friend who has made a six figure living doing sports arbitrage betting with BM and some other offshores for 10 years. He's long gone using accounts in his name and has had to figure out work arounds for years. But he says BM is by far the sharpest book (in general, he loses his bets there, wins bets at the others) and is the one book that lets you win the most before limiting your $ play. Says they're usually good for letting an account win up to $50K while others are usually much less. It's definitely an art form as no book or casino in the world will let anyone beat them bad consistently in the long run. That's why when someone claims to be a big winner my first ask is always how are they allowed to play?? the US based books are a joke and since they are in bed with the State Governments and Sports Leagues the consistent winning bettor will never have an advocate. anyway, so you hit as hard as you can as long as you can. All you can do. GL on the RSW - was looking at FSU and some others and numbers look especially tight this year to me so far. FSU has LSU and Clemson and if they win one of those then I can't see them losing more than 2 with Florida seemingly down this year. But your record on RSW is incredible and Under is the only play to be considered. GL |
Bridge1 | 266 |
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@Bridge1 Thanks Bridge. Live in Vegas and you can't get FD, DK, Bet365 and BAS here in Nevada. Not that I have much interest in a US based book - none of them will allow consistent winners (unless maybe they bet $50 a game). Their CEO's have said as much publicly. I have BOL, BM and Circa (local but good CF lines). Probably will add Heritage for this season. GL this coming season. PAC12 actually looking loaded this year with good, experienced QB's coming back - see if any of them can play some defense. |
Bridge1 | 266 |
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@Bridge1 have only seen 9.5 at BOL. Hopefully gets back to at least 10. thanks for posting |
Bridge1 | 266 |
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@SammyKnows Thanks. No worries. I'm a professional level bettor but don't cap. I'm always looking for pro level cappers to tail but I track them for a full season in the particular sport - about 99.5% don't make the cut over the long haul, which is all that matters. In all my years I've seen very few cappers who can beat Baseball for an entire season, tough sport. I'm sure you realize your 71-43 record is a loser if say your wins are at an average juice of -110 and your losses are at an average juice of -200. That's an extreme example I know and I'm pretty sure you're highly net positive right now. But straight W/L record means nothing in a ML betting sport. Anyway, hopefully your Angels hang on. GL rest of season. |
SammyKnows | 29 |
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@SammyKnows Much respect. But along these lines (i.e. playing heavy ML favs) I'd suggest adding Net units won/lost to your YTD record. W/L record is almost useless in a ML betting sport like Baseball, where one can bet heavy ML favs. Again, much respect and GL - just a thought. thanks |
SammyKnows | 29 |
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@fubah2 Congrats on a great season so far. One suggestion - since you play heavy ML favorites like this @ -330, you might include net Units won/lost in your record. When you play ML's, W/L record is almost meaningless, especially if you play heave favs like this. My 2 cents. Congrats again and GL rest of season. |
fubah2 | 2424 |
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@Redlad thanks. yeah I laid off your Calgary wager because it was -180 at BOL and BM. Wasn't going to lay that and knew you had gotten a line at Heritage. I don't cap - wish I did but too old and busy now to start. I read the forums and look for pro or pro level folks like you who are kind enough to post. And I tail them blindly once I determine they are pro level. I have done well with this. I tract anyone I tail for a full season before starting to follow them - takes out about 99% of folks I initially look at. I monitor this site and the other well know site for betting forums. I was reading this Hockey forum at the beginning of the year but didn't notice your thread until I circled back a few weeks ago. Great forum but doesn't seem like anyone wins, especially long term. My standard bet is 1 unit out of a bankroll of 150 units (.66%). The most I'll put on a game is 5u (i.e. every capper I tail is on the same game, etc.). Probably too conservative but I bet with great comfort. Agree with you on gambling online - most of them will not tolerate LT winners, especially big players like you. I'm still betting in the 2 to 3 cents range so I haven't ever been banned yet. As you know, I could bet here locally in cash too if i needed. When I first moved here got to know a guy who was a Runner for Walters. Had some good stories. Don't worry I'm not doing the Arb. Don't have time - it's a full time job. My friend trades the stock market in the morning and does the Arb in the afternoon/nights and during day on the weekends. NBA is his most profitable sport. Works about 60 hours a week. Been making a living doing those for 20 years now (Arb about 10). And yes they HATE him. He's been doing it about 10 years and has been banned so many times he can't count. He might have 20 bets on the same game sometimes so there is no way to disguise it. Luckily he's a good guy and has a ton of friends and he just has friends open new accounts for him. He obviously gives them a cut for their trouble. Knows crypto like crazy and has all the money moving down pat. He definitely agrees with you on BM and Heritage being the sharp books. Anyway, thanks again. Pleasure reading your thread.
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Redlad | 36 |
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