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I'm going UNDER 5. Arizona had a poor offense last season, they are starting a rookie on top line tonight and still trying to adjust their defense, so I think they must play conservative in this first game (and they're on the road). Kings were not effective last outing against the Sharks, but they have a stellar goalie in Quick. I think if this game is going over the TL then must be a blowout by the Kings, and considering the way things went wednesday, not very likely to happen tonight.
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Covers | 4 |
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Getty3 haha
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"Decimal odds are a simpler way of working out betting odds - and they don't give you a headache every time you want to place a bet. Do you know the difference between 8/13 and 4/7? No? Well, not many people do. But with decimals you'd know instantly. How do decimal odds work? If the decimal odds are 2.2 and you place a back bet of £10 and win, your total return is £10 x 2.2 = £22. This is equivalent to a traditional price of 6/5. Decimal odds make it much easier to figure out which price is best - the bigger the number, the higher the return. Take a look at the table below to see why." /// To know the probability the books are projecting for a given event, just put the decimal odd on a calculator and hit '1/x' button =) |
Dangerbay | 20 |
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In my opinion, picks with value for tonight are: Blackhawks at Flyers UNDER 5.5 (odds 1,71); Avs at Oilers OVER 4.5 (odds 1,6); Stars at Flames OVER 5 (odds 1,7).
. Good luck to all!
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Dangerbay | 20 |
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Red Wings are the best East Conference team considering the
last 5 games (5Ws on ML and score ratio 22:13) while Florida Panthers are 13th last 5 games (1W on ML and score ratio 11:19). I checked the mactchup on Sporting Charts
site (overall numbers), Florida just have a good edge over Red Wings at Shootout Winning % (DRW
0,222 FLA 0,455) and Hits per game (DRW 18,9 FLA 26,3). I think its an interesting
pick. |
smoothd20 | 49 |
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congrats for the winning streak, Brackson. (I'm playing odds no higher than 1,30 in several sports lately... not much profit [low bets], been lucky sometimes... but it has been fun, I'd say... I didnt manage to hit a 10 W streak yet, though). So You did a great job. I've read your interview for Covers, good to know how your experience, I will try to apply the knowledge for some of my next picks
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smoothd20 | 1515 |
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Valencia secures the W... I'm down 1.1 unit as long as Real Madrid messed all up with CR7 benched, only to enter when the team was trailing 1x0. 70% possession didn't mean a thing for RM today, showed little danger. Well deserved W for Atletico 'cause took the game more seriously (even with Torres starting instead of Mandzukic), but 2 goals margin doesn't represent well this game ...I'll try to recover that 1.1 unit on NBA card.
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Nicolas17 | 56 |
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I thought the Celtics would take advantage of Al Jefferson absence last time the Hornets played (at Boston)... they didn't.... buuuut the Pels might be way different story. I've read an article written by a Pelicans fan on SBNation that is confident Pels will fight for playoffs till the end and get a spot if they reach 50Ws. So, this is a game the Pels can't throw away. With the defenses showing similar numbers, I think the team with better pct(%), skilled players and hungry (for playoffs) must prevail. 'Reading' my spreadsheet Pels should be fav by 5. I'm taking Pelicans on ML, tho. Risking 2,5 units (odds 1,45). 102 x 96 the final score. Good luck! Thanks for your insight, FunkFreaker!
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FunkFreaker | 284 |
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picking Valencia too, but my play is -0,5 (odds 1,5) risking 1 unit. Did some research and my other soccer bets for today are Real Madrid WorD (odds 1,3) risking 2,3 units, and Total Over 1,5 (odds 1,3) risking 3 units on Madrid clash. Good luck!
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Nicolas17 | 56 |
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BOL! Happy New Year!
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LeRinkRat | 30 |
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BOL! Happy New Year!
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LeRinkRat | 30 |
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4 games today... have any play?
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rivermonsterz | 45 |
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Solid work!!! Have a great and profitable new year, bro!!
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TheBeefMan | 138 |
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Thanks to this thread, I've made some extra money this week... A Christmas gift, I'd say. FunkFreaker, great work, my friend! Keep it rolling!! Plus: I'm finishing some research and a system to make plays on TOTAL. The numbers I'm 'reading' are showing some solid results, but (system) it's still on "testing mode". I hope I can do this a strong model so I'll be more confident to post some picks/ppays here (on Covers) and help us all to make money (extra cash). Good Night, Gentlemen!
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FunkFreaker | 319 |
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Kyrie Irving, who suffered a knee contusion near the end of yesterday's game in MIA is expected to go tonight v. Orlando. https://twitter.com/CavsJoeG/status/548609405668044800
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Covers | 7 |
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Hey, TheBeefMan I add you as a friend and the request is pending. I ask you to accept the request so I can keep following your picks and posts better. You're doing a good work, I can see it by your record; keep it rolling! I'm having problems to understand the system, maybe because my English isn't so good (neither my math) but I will insist till I cacht it. Wish you best of luck!
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TheBeefMan | 138 |
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Dracul, I add you as a friend and the request is pending. I ask you accept the request so I can keep following your picks and posts better. You're doing a good work, keep it rolling! Best of luck!
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Dracul | 344 |
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Double overtime and I lost by 0.5, just like yesterday on Utes @ USC game. This betting world is incredible.
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Covers | 11 |
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Arizona 5-17 Over-Under ... Arizona State 8-13 Over-Under... Between 130-139.5pts Arizona has a strong record 2-8 - Under prevailing... Also, Arizona's record playing away is 2-6 Under the total... I think those are solid numbers to stick with the Under... the books opened at 132.5, and they are now at 134.5... I think it's a good oportunity to play the Under here!
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Covers | 11 |
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Hey, Alan. Good read. You're really aware about the Pacers. I agree with you on Lance, he is the guy that can pull away the team from the hard moments during the game pointing at some light if the team is in a bad situation. Tough player who doesn't give up of the game. I like to read some good blogs about the Pacers, but many times they talk about numbers/stats a lot... your insight is interesting putting the human side on the process to consider. Truely insider/blogger, I'd say as well. // I made some mistakes managing my bankroll (over extend the bet) and now I'm trying to come back (though, it's being pretty hard to make the [right way] adjustments you've mentioned). I'll be looking at the Totals. This is a crazy league, dificult to predict who will end with the W... Even on moneyline. I'm still a 'roockie' on Gambling and I apreciate your tips. // Are you following any other thread about other team somehow as knowledge (and profitable) as this one you've created? #LetsGoPacers
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alangrrbs | 954 |
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Thats how the posts should be done in this site/forum... with the picks and the REASONS... then you can measure better if its worth the play/bet or not. Good job, by6. Keep your interesting posts coming.
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by6 | 31 |
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