Profile | Entries | Thread Author | Posts | Activity |
---|---|---|---|---|
I WONT BORE YOU WITH DETAILS. ANYONE WHO WAS INTERESTED SAW HOW THIS MANS UNFATHOMABLE STUPIDITY LED HIS TEAM TO ONE OF THE WORST LOSSES I OR HIS TEAM HAVE EVER EXPERIENCED.
IF MIKE LEACH WAS IN A HORRIBLE INDUSTRIAL ACCIDENT AND HIS FACE WAS BEING BURNED AWAY BY CORROSIVE ACID AS I LOOKED ON, AND HE WAS BEGGING ME TO HELP HIM EXTINGUISH HIS AGONY...I WOULD ONLY TAKE A HUGE WET SHIT IN AND AROUND HIS MOUTH IF I WAS AT-LEAST 90% SURE HE WOULD DIE FROM HIS WOUNDS.
|
Low-Roller | 6 |
|
|
Yah i pick games on feel and try to stick with teams i know best.Im in a bowl pool that im trying to take seriously. Some of these early bowl games are matchups I have very little feel for.
So i tried something new and resorted to the Sagarins to try to give me a starting point on looking at these teams/ As someone mentioned before, Sagarin is computer model that does not account for recent situational develpments. Like injury, coaching change, new guy getting PT or whatever. It is 100% data with no adjustment for variables that different from the past. It weighs each result of the season evenly with no emphasis on recent results over something that happened in September. The Buffalo pick is starting to concern me with all the opposite line movement..maybe it should be a comfort. |
Low-Roller | 6 |
|
|
Like it alot. My favorite play tomorrow too.
Really dont think Broadway will make a go and wont be 100% if he does. Motivation favors Tulane for sure. Good luck and thanks for the write up.
|
MattBevilacqua | 27 |
|
|
Quote Originally Posted by LETGOPACK1234:
Not an Auburn hyper, but thanks anyways... How many games have FSU ran the triple option this year? How many plays?? Thats my point....Can FSU "practice" this....sure....can they allow their defense to prepare like they need to for what Auburn will show??? NO.... Sure, they can throw backups and run triple options, but it wont be like what Auburn does....if you think it will be then you know nothing about football Just because you can run the same type of plays, doenst mean it will get your team ready....when FSU is "practing" this they wont be as fast and execute as quickly as Auburn will... Sure, teams can try to practice like Baylor or Oregon by running spread and hurry-up in practice, but that doesnt mean it will be the same thing Auburn is getting better every week since their loss.... You can throw out whatever stats you want about FSU and their defense....THEY PLAYED NOBODY THEY PLAYED ONE TEAM IN THE TOP 43 in offense BC had no problem running against them....FSU allowed more yards than Bama, and Auburn ran all over them There is no point in talking about the same thing over and over and over.... We know FSU has the best team ever in college football according to FSU fans....its a shame they will lose playing their first tough game of the year in a couple weeks
You sure showed you know more than Auburn people Thinking that because FSU has athletes, they can prep their defense for what Auburn will run |
MrDokie | 156 |
|
|
I Love the Rice play Carter. Did you happen to catch that CUSA Championship post-game footage in the RIce locker room ? They accepted this bowl bid and man were those kids friggin psyched. Feel like this team is senior laiden and the program is on an emotional high in this spot. Maybe we can get lucky and double down if the line moves to 7.5?
I dont know if you really consider A&M and Mizzou true SEC teams yet but I hope you will let us know if you have a take on their games. I like Duke and Oklahoma St to cover them. Best of Luck and happy holidays
|
CarterSECpicks | 68 |
|
|
I am with you guys. Rutgers passing game is now useless with their new QB. In my opinion atleast Nova made a play every now. This kid they play now looks like he should be in H.S. or Div III. No way Rutgers gets a running game going.
ND 38 Rutgers 10
|
jhumphrey | 6 |
|
|
Yes. Sagarin rankings would predict Wazzou -14.4 and Buffao -9.7
|
Low-Roller | 6 |
|
|
That other thread seemed to be getting pretty sloppy. Starting over with the results of this little analysis.
Sagarin Rankings would forecast a line that is 3 or more points off from the actual betting line in 9 games. Those nine are listed in order of the greatest difference between Sagarin and the line. THE team listed in the team with the "advantage" ATS according to the Sagarin rankings. (+9.9 Wash St.) (+8.72 Buffalo) (+6.13 FSU) (+5.44 Washington) (+4.31 Duke) (+4.04 USC) ( +3.52 Navy) (+3.25 GT) (+3.05 Houston) I like Buffalo, Navy and Duke the most cause I think they have appreciable motivational edges on their opponents. Thoughts? Good Luck to all. |
Low-Roller | 6 |
|
|
Quote Originally Posted by MrDokie: You do realize this FSU team might be the deepest team in CFB history? There isn't a single player on Auburn's defense that would start on FSU -- and on the entire team, the only player of Auburn's that MIGHT start at FSU is Tre Mason. Of the 20 or so players on FSU's 2 deep depth chart, I'd say 16 or so of them are guaranteed draft pick pros. If you think a one dimensional offense is going to score 66 on this elite defense, you haven't watched a single snap of football this year. No they wont score 66. But I say they get to 30 minimum, and probably more. I know FSU is the better team but laying more than a TD to this Auburn team doesnt feel good to me.
|
MrDokie | 156 |
|
|
I agree that FSU will score its points. 38-52 if you want numbers. I also feel you correctly identify the critical matchup as FSU's ability to stop the run.
Basically nobody has come close to stopping or even containing this Auburn running game. From what i see Malzahn's attack is unique in the game of football right now. The long layoff may give an advantage/opportunity to give their athletes a scheme that will slow it down considerably, but that is big IF by my estimation. FSU wins the game, I do not see it being as easy as you do. I will agree with Omerta that the coaching advantage is with Auburn. FSU is more balanced and more talented, naturally this is why they are laying the points they are. Good luck though If i play the game it will be for nominal amount to make it more interesting
|
MrDokie | 156 |
|
|
San Jose St. and USC? Could they be more different?
|
jhumphrey | 15 |
|
|
I agree that Texas A&M might be laying a few too many. Duke with edge on motivational Factor.
Also like Rice who has alot of Seniors and will have a motivational advantage in my opinion. For what its worth, If you happened to see the post game of the C-USA championship in the Rice locker room they accepted this bowl bid on the spot and the kids were fKing psyched
|
Low-Roller | 23 |
|
|
Texas AM v. Duke |
84.04 – 75.85 = 8.19 (+4.31 Duke) |
|||
70.37 – 63.41= 6.96 (+.46 UNLV) |
||||
83.80 – 74.22 = 9.58 ( +.58 Georgia) |
||||
86.21 – 88.32 = +2.11 Wisky (+1.11 Wisky) |
||||
86.96-79.43 = 7.53 (+.03 LSU) |
||||
93.24 – 89.56 = 3.68 (+.82 Michigan St) |
||||
91.04 – 77.17 = 13.87 (+2.63 UCF) |
||||
97.46 – 83.27 = 14.19 (+.81 Oklahoma) |
||||
87.89 – 86.61 = 1.28 (+1.22 Clemson) |
||||
88.37 – 87.31 = 1.06 (+.06 Mizzou) |
||||
75.46 – 75.51 =.05 UH (+3.05 Houston) |
||||
70.62 – 59.88 = 10.74 (+2.24 Ball St.) |
||||
104.95 – 90.32 = 14.63 (+6.13 FSU) |
87.64-79.20 = 8.44 (+5.44 UW) |
79.98 – 61.61 = 18.37 (+2.87 ND) |
74.70 – 71.56 = 3.14 (+.14 UC) |
80.98 – 76.70 = 4.28 ( +.78 UL) |
79.76 – 77.56 = 2.20 (+1.1 UM) |
72.16 – 62.68 = 9.52 ( +3.52 Navy) |
78.58 – 78.80 = +.25 GT (+3.25 GT) |
91.67 – 78.51 = 13.16 (+.84 Texas) |
88.81-74.22 = 14.59 (+.59 TT) |
82.32 – 72.39 = 9.93 (+2.93 Zona) |
87.41 – 78.55 = 8.86 (+1.86 UCLA) |
76.52 – 70.16 = 5.36 ( +2.36 Rice) |
If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so. It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly. Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality. Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it. As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.