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It's easy to defend the favorite. People offer a solid case for the bucs and the case for texans is like "youuuuuuuuu cant STOP THEM"
A lot of people picked chargers over reeling raiders and saints over rams. Who the hell knows what will happen, but when a team is in a bad emotional spot and on the road playing a motivated dog, its a recipe for success more then not. Always one or two big upsets and this could be one, or at least a cover. |
Hollywoodturf | 30 |
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Quote Originally Posted by LeagueCapper: Out of all the coaches in the NFL guess who ranks #1 in revenge games? Bill Belichick with a 15-3 record. The Jets eliminated the Patriots from the playoffs last year and yes the pats already faced the Jets earlier this year and that was more of the revenge game but Bill loves to stick it to teams that beat them recently and you bet this game will be just as much of a 'revenge' game as the first game this year due to the playoff loss last year. Patriots win comfortably this sunday I like your trends but you're comparing this patriots team to past pats teams. That's like saying "the lions are 3-20 in the past three years following a loss so they will lose again" The fact is the lions are a different team this year so throw out their recent historical trends or follow them to the grave. Same with the pats. Can't compare them to the teams of the last 7 years, their run is winding down. I'm playing jets or nothing. All of the world is saying "the patriots cant lose 3 in a row" like its never happened in history. This team isn't the same......... That said, I'd make a -small- play on the Jets. It's still hard to pick against the pats in this scenario and the game will come down to the wire. Could be similar to last week. Sanchez leading a game winning drive while they ram the ball down the tired patriots throats.Tom did his thing last week but the defense gave up back to back td drives, if Jets are within a score late how the hell are the patriots stopping anyone? |
LeagueCapper | 46 |
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ATS Picks 42-51-4 45.16 7350units 15191 of 16168
Just plain, bad. I mean, really, really bad. A s t o u n d i n g . . . . . . |
crazyakes | 9 |
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My bad it tdidn't show up. There's his ATS record. Out of 16,198 gamblers, only 5% or less are worse then his picks. Follow him if you are suicidal only. Otherwise enjoy laughing at the losers that gets all worked up when they trail him and get burned. It's hilarious!!! |
crazyakes | 9 |
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created a topic
PrimeTimeBoys: ATS Picks 42-51-4 END OF DEBATE. Ranked 15191 of 16168
in NFL Betting Quote Originally Posted by akatdrake: Excellent call PTB, good work bud -- you inspired me for a small ML play. Again, where are the pages of haters now? I'm sure they won't come in here and eat crow and admit it. I didnt post on this, wasn't one of the haters on his most recent pick. As a huge raiders fan I felt they might cover. Didn't believe it enough to put my usual $50,000 wager on them (sarcasm.) but I was hoping they'd pull it out. Obviously though, akatdrake you COMPLETELY miss the point. People hate this loser prime time because he lives in his moms basement living off food stamps posting HUGGGGGGGGGGGE PLAYSSSSSSSSSS constantly. Instead of using units he brags about 5,000 on this game and 5,000 on that and we all know its total bullshit so we make fun of him. It's like theres a guy in every group talkin about bitches 24/7 and everyone knows he gets no ass. This guy talks big money when he doesnt even have big mac money much less a grand to throw down.
Let your record speak for itself primetime. According to your record, OVER 95% OF COVERS MEMBERS PICK BETTER THEN YOU! You have to try to be that terrible, it takes serious effort. Ultimate fade material...and he has over 9500 posts!!! LMAO! Still, people constantly thank him the very rare times he's right and act like he's actually winning money. Talk about a loser. Wasting hundreds of hours doing something you're terrible at. I don't mean bad, I mean all-time terrible. It's like Jamarcus Russell bad. It doesn't get any worse then being as bad at picking football as he is. Just shows by being a total loser with nothing better to do then brag to strangers online you can still get a following. Unreal!!!! Yet I already know his comeback. "I hit the Raiders moneyline blahblah" and the dickriders will come to his defense."" Stop embarrassing yourself, its really annoying and I had to call you out. Thanks for the entertainment though. |
crazyakes | 9 |
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Quote Originally Posted by akatdrake: Excellent call PTB, good work bud -- you inspired me for a small ML play. Again, where are the pages of haters now? I'm sure they won't come in here and eat crow and admit it. I didnt post on this, wasn't one of the haters. As a huge raiders fan I felt they might cover. Obviously though, akatdrake you are a dumbass that completely misses the point. People hate this loser prime time because he lives in his moms basement living off food stamps posting HUGGGGGGGGGGGE PLAYSSSSSSSSSS constantly. Instead of using units he brags about 5,000 on this game and 5,000 on that and we all know its total bullshit so we make fun of him. It's like theres a guy in every group talkin about bitches 24/7 and everyone knows he gets no ass. This guy talks big money when he doesnt even have big mac money much less a grand to throw down.
Let your record speak for itself. According to your record, OVER 95% OF COVERS MEMBERS PICK BETTER THEN YOU! You have to try to be that terrible, it takes serious effort. Ultimate fade material...and he has over 9500 posts!!! LMAO! Talk about a loser. Wasting hundreds of hours doing something you're terrible at. I don't mean bad, I mean all-time terrible. Yet I already know his comeback. "I hit the Raiders moneyline blahblah" and the dickriders will come to his defense. |
PrimeTimeBoys | 262 |
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You must be so bitter.
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retire_early | 8 |
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Chargers should cover and possibly win.
GB has a TERRIBLE, repeat, TERRIBLE pass d. Its embarrassing to watch. Chargers? Giving up less then 200ypg passing, a top 5 D. Don't know if I'd put much on the ML but I'm all over 6.5 thats just ridiculous....about as ridiculous as the Patriots -8.5 with that garbage defense they got. |
GunShard | 185 |
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Quote Originally Posted by doliver517: I know a thing or two about being a local...that is not the reason the line has dropped 1.5 pts...nice try tho. Try double digit dogs in the NFL...then look at last weeks gm...then realize people aren't as dumb as some would think. The public is killing it and has been. It should'nt be any different today. Sure Balt could and should cover, will they???? Probably not and why not get as many pts as possible with a weak O Balty has won by average of 22.5 points Beating pittsburgh, texans, jets, and @rams. So they won't cover???? At home vs a cards team off a physical beatdown by the steelers? Probably WILL. You watched the jags game, so their offense sucks because of that one game... Averaging 8th in points per game, number 1 defense, and cards have 22nd ranked scoring offense. Playing steelers, jets will drag down offensive numbers early in season. Flacco completing 50% and STILL win by 22.5 PPG. The ravens defense will likely outscore the cards o.... |
Artamus | 13 |
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I'm a local. Ed Reeds neck is hurting. They say its the other side, just a stinger, but if you didn't know he's been dealing with a career ending type of pinched nerve issue in his neck the last 2 years.
One wrong hit and he walks away for good. That's why he's a weak tackler now. You won't find it in the papers, but there's a small chance he won't play if it's any issue at all warming up. with zibby (backup strong and free safety) back this week from his concussion and hosting the cards, no sense taking chances. If he plays and they go up 2 score he'll be resting the 4th quarter so a backdoor cover is possible but I still think highly unlikely... Good luck. |
Artamus | 13 |
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OK, misleading headline. Last week I was gonna post my picks and use that headline saying he is on the Chiefs, because I bet the house (literally.....) on the Chiefs beating the Raiders. I am a huge raiders fan and felt it was a terrible spot for them, as the line went up and up it just astounded me beyond belief. After that bet worked out so well I figure what the hell. The lines are local.
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Ravens -13.5 I live near the heart of bmore so this lines always a little inflated. Still love the Ravens here though. They are 4-2, with the only losses vs subpar teams with a strong front 7 and caught the Ravens on the road on letdown weeks. It takes a very specific set of circumstances for this team to lose. Flacco threw 38 times and they ran 8 last week, expect a VICIOUS ravens d and a focused/balanced offense to carry them in a blowout. In their four wins vs Jets, Steelers, Texans, and @Rams, the margin of victory was 22.5 points. Note also I am a Raiders fan, not a homer pick here by any stretch (I could care less). A final thought, the steelers and cards had a physical game last week and now the cards travel. They don't have the front to hurt ravens weak o-line. Ravens 27, Cardinals 12 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Rams +14 Saints dominated a colts team that quit, at home, during a night game, fired up to impress their hurt coach.....good job. The browns could have laid 40 on the Colts with that lackluster effort they gave (ok lets not go that far). This week the Rams are home and fired up, the Saints will be taking them lightly with a trip to play the bucs next week on their minds no doubt. Let-down spot + trap game on road + 2td spread = easy choice for me. I HATE taking Rams or Dolphins but sadly, this is one of my biggest plays. Saints 26, Rams 13 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Texans -9.5 Last time the Jags won, they lost by 29 the next week. This is no different. Texans want a 3 game winning streak to show they turned the corner and despite a blowout win, they will be hungry facing a jags team that raped the ravens. Common sense says.....jags beat ravens....ravens crushed texans...jags should beat texans. I say horseshit, thats what the masses want to believe. Truth is, jags heard about how good they are all week. Crawled in bed after the home win feeling confident in a young core. Now they head on the road, on a short week, after a VERY physical game against a rising AFC team. Texans 17, Jaguars 3 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Seahawks +2.5 Wish I got them at +3 but oh well, I feel strongly that they win SU. Tarvaris jackson is game-time but he will play. The lockout hurt his chemistry with offense but it's coming together now. Don't read into the browns game too much, they have a stellar d and with a backup rb and qb on the road what did you expect. Now the shoes on the other foot. Bengals come in with a first-year QB and a backup RB (bernard scott filling in) and are favored in Seattle? Shocking. Let's see how well he does blitz pickup and hot reads before we consider him an upgrade over benson as some critics are claiming. 88% chance of rain here will slow these pathetic offenses to a crawl but the hawks will make plays at home as always. Seahawks 17, Bengals 13 I made a trip to delaware to visit a friend and swung by a casino to play a few parlays. Gotta say it always feels good to have that slip in your hand, official and legal and 100% sure you'll get paid on your command. Can't wait for the day every state lottery will have slips just like keno/mega millions that you bubble in some numbers and place bets at any gas station. Imagine the convenience....heaven on earth, eh? Most of my plays are decent bets on 3 or 4 team parlays, big money on a big parlay is just stupid IMO. Here's a parlay I threw $5 at in case I go 10/10 ATS in 10 picks. Spreads are halfpoint only and inflated (public loves the faves and spread locks on wed) Texans -10.5 Rams +14.5 Ravens -13.5 Dolphins +10.5 Bills -6.5 Lions -3.5 Seahawks +3.5 Eagles -3.5 Chargers -3.5 $5 for 1875 7 faves 3 dogs...but the Eagles arent a true fave with less then 50% (I call it a phantom fave) and Rams/Dolphins are HUGE dogs so it evens out. The 3.5's are killers though I gotta say. |
crazyakes | 2 |
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Damn lookin back, guess it actually -was- an essay, my bad.
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wde | 25 |
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Quote Originally Posted by wde: NO -13.5 over PITT MIA +9.5 over NY BAL -12.5 over ARI CAR -3.5 over MIN TEN -9 over COLTS JAC +9.5 over HOU DEN +2.5 over DET WAS +4.5 over BUF SEA +1 over CIN CLE +9 over SF NE - 2.5 over PITT PHIL -3 over DAL Monday Night KC +3 over SF MY BEST BET CAR bol every one -I love the ravens, they have won by 15 points or more all 4 wins this year. Both losses were against subpar teams that the team overlooked (titans and jags). -Also with the seahawks, bengals are in a bad spot with a rookie qb going into seattle and benson suspended, they will rely on bernard scott (a solid backup but lets see how he holds up on hot reads, blitz pickup etc) -I like the dolphins... they have played terrible at home but just plain bad on the road so they can keep it one score. Tuck back (limited) will help the giants but I'm not sold on that D, marshalls got 4 inches on webster and he goes beast mode in NY, while I actually think the dolphins own defense will hold up vs eli and company. They have to cover eventually....so it'll surely be them OR the rams at home this week (with everyone jumpin on the saints rape of the colts at a night home game) I won't write you an essay on all the picks but there's my thoughts. I also feel strongly that philly covers but the jaguars lose by 15 or more. They are on a short week after a physical game on the road after a huge home win. Heard about how great they were all week and enjoyed win number 2. Texans won't throw 38 times and run 8 as the ravens attempted, they'll use a balanced offense and quick passes to pick apart the jags drive after drive at least hitting field goals. I like your picks, good mix and I feel like more dogs then favorites will cover this week, it may even be as many as 8 dogs and 5 favorites. Everyones jumpin on the favorites and those spreads just grow and grow, vegas will strike back we'll see if its this week or next. Way too many consensus 65%+ picks this week IMO. Good luck!! I'll post my other picks in my own topic tomorrow but your plays look pretty solid. |
wde | 25 |
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What a ripoff contest. Uses whole points only. Any tie = an automatic loss for everyone. Costs $5. Just venting here I played it maybe 3 or 4 times in the last 2 years but I see people in the lobby filling em out by the handful.
You may have read the story on covers about the guy that won for the first time in the games 2 year history. They have really made the damn thing impossible the last 2 weeks since then. I play it occasionally when there aren't very many 3's or 4's but this is just ridiculous. This card is guaranteed to have multiple ties from the looks of it.... Panthers/Vikings +3 Lions/Broncos +3 Patriots/Steelers +3 Bengals/Seahawks +3 Eagles/Cowboys +3 Chargers/Chiefs +3 Steelers/Ravens +3 Out of 15 picks, 7 are field goal spreads and 3 are at 10 points. https://www.delpark.com/pdf/delaware_100000_parlay.pdf Heres the link if you're curious about the full selection. The halfpoint parlays are more interesting, I enjoy them. https://www.doverdowns.com/mylinkfiles/ParlayCards/delaware_hlf_pnt_parlay_1_1030-1031.pdf They don't move after wednesday at noon so they offer some opportunity when there's a late injury/steam move or other news. ---------------------------- That pick 15 really bugs me though. The payoff blows.....a 10 team parlay in delaware pays 800:1 (4,000 off a $5 bet) so you would think at the LEAST 11 team = 8000 12=16000 13=32000 14=64000 15=128000 They give you a weakass payout AND rig it to tie 12/16 weeks. How that guy won I'll never know, he's crazier then me for throwing his money away at such a tough game. Bet they make a killing off it. |
crazyakes | 2 |
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Quote Originally Posted by reddog6008: You have been a member since march 2006 and you are asking this question now? I now see why you lost your 16 streak (MN really?) and most wins for September yeah, take it from reddog. his GENIUS, amazing (aka stupid-lucky) streak was based on taking the biggest favorite and getting lucky 16 games. Good strategy man. No strategy at all really, straight luck. Watch out for those Royals though, lmao that must still sting man how embarrassing. I now see why you lost your 17 streak
Just play the biggest favorite before it goes over -130 every day. That way you get a good record (though you'll never get 20 in a row etc doing it). Pick a few hundred like reddog and one day you'll get lucky for a while. |
JMatthew | 14 |
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Quote Originally Posted by TomE: A proclamation with no accompanying analysis or reasoning. That's because all the evidence is pointing to a blow out and there is absolutely nothing you can squeeze out of all the known information to support your bold claim. Nice job! Thanks, but don't even bother next time. Quote Originally Posted by TomE: Also, if you are comparing Pit to Balt with Jack coming back vs Pit in the 2nd half when they were already down 17-3 at the half and Pit walking the dog the 2nd half sitting on the lead, you are again way off base. Balt throttled Pit to the tune of 35-7 already. Balt is much better than Pit! Finally, you are wishing for a lot if you think Jack is mistake free tonight. Balt is +8 TO and Jack -2TO. Are you serious that doesn't come into play MNF? I wouldn't bet against it..... Ed Reed, Ray Lewis. Sacks! Fumbles! Interceptions! Oh My! Your analysis is severely flawed. Great call supreme. I actually forgot to make a pick in a survivor league until monday morning. I had already used Baltimore so I was stuck with the Jags. Luckily they pulled out the miracle, but if I hadn't used Balty already I definitely would have jumped on them as well as all signs pointed that way. I live just outside bmore (but consider myself unbiased as a raiders fan) and I fully expected a blowout win. I knew the jags D was nice but the single biggest surprise to me was.......the ravens handling off the blitz. Their oline sucks, we know this. However the receivers did not break off in hot routes to beat the blitz, even when protection picked it up they were running deep double moves nearly every time after a while it just gets ridiculous. Torrey Smith played like a rookie. He didn't break routes off and guys werent coming back to flacco, thats what killed drives IMO Ravens: 38 passes and 12 runs. = Cam Cameron is a moron. I included a few quotes, not bashing tom e or nothin, just shows why you don't attack someones picks. Any given sunday anyone wins so you can never be too sure of your reasoning, good luck next week. |
kingofgamble | 53 |
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DoubleUp4Life, you pick 40% against the spread. I'm in 2800th place you're in 12,547. That's a pretty bad ranking if you ask me, especially since you obviously spend like hundreds of hours typing these ridiculous posts. Why do people post mad picks and do insane research and people compliment them when they pick 40% ATS. I swear every time I read someones picks and look up their record they're terrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrible. I mean just total garbage. If I faded all your picks I would be makin some damn good money, I'll be doing that now. Thank you. Good luck and please man stop wasting your money on football with your poser picks your family needs to eat and you need to get out of moms basement and support yourself. Of course you'll make up some excuse. Anyways, lookin forward to your picks next week. |
DoubleUp4Life | 35 |
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Quote Originally Posted by Gapper20: Hey chau you obviously have your bankroll rolling around in the red area...There's a reason why your labeled a prospect under your profile...My advise to you would be to shhhh and listen to people who know what there talking about before you make dumb comments like this....Anyone who bet MSU was looking for a cover and not a str8 up win, but Whisky was not that big of a lock as you say they were...please spare some space on future threads and don't post..let someone who knows what there talking about post.. chau's advice will lead to Hey gapper how about you shut the hell up. You got two black stars dumbass. That means you SUCK. The fact that you attack someone elses pick actin like you're the shit is garbage. You're a fucking loser dude, here's your record since you wanna call people out and act badass.
Thats your rank in the NCAA contest, ALMOST 10,000th!!!! GREAT JOB! 46% ATS? LMAO I fucking suck at college picks. Unfortunately I only got 60% last week and I'm at like 52% for the year. I don't go around blasting people when they feel confident and call a pick out. You take it to far and its not the first time. It never fails, when morons like you attack someone I look at your records and inevitably, the jerk attacking is TERRIBLE AT PICKING. You are an ignorant little shit for blasting someone elses pick when yours are obviously total garbage. Funny thing is hes better then you.
Over a thousand places higher then you in the rankings and 5% better ATS, he's significantly better then you. So shut the hell up. Take some of your own advice.... from gapper- "please spare some space on future threads and don't post..let someone who knows what there talking about post.. gappers advice will lead to """" |
sparty444 | 164 |
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Quote Originally Posted by ShaunP: He wins more often than he loses?? You mean he loses more often than he wins...he is 16-32 in NFL picks this year. And that doesn't even include all these dumb teasers he is supposedly throwing 5,000 on. Blindy tail one pick?? This guy is almost -10000 units on covers and your treating him like he is Billy Waters...oh wait you idiots don't even know who that is. This guy can't even prove that he has really made this $15,000 worth of bets this week. Your the deadbeat for believing he is a sharp. By the way real handicappers live in vegas and we have never had to use a bookie our entire life. You kids have a lot to learn. ShaunP good job brother you're dead on. I laugh my ass off reading all these """great""" cappers talk about putting thousands on games. Total horse shit. People always brag and act like they got it made then you look at their RSI and they fucking suck. people keep saying they're way up in posted plays then you check the contest and they are 34-59 and STILL people believe they are something special. So many dickriders on this guy you cant even get the facts because every other post is someone defending his shitty picks. I learn a lot of small tips and trends sifting through the forums. I never, ever just trail someones pick. If I really like the write up I'll check your record in the contests and consider it good supporting evidence or trash your info right there. Thanks for the trash. |
PrimeTimeBoys | 272 |
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VIKINGS +3
TEXANS +9 49ERS +4 I dont see how ANYONE takes the Ravens. I live in Baltimore, this game is bad news. |
WillBetAnything | 142 |
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