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If Jamal Charles is 100% or if Gabbert is out, I would lean to the Chiefs. As bad as Gabbert is, Henne was much worse in preseason and has never done much in years past with Miami or the Jags. Laying 3 AND 1/2 on the road is dangerous in the NFL, especially with a new system. I think that the Chiefs will improve as the year goes on, but I can not go to the window and say KC minus the points on the road. Eric Fisher will struggle in his first road game.
That being said, I will not be betting JAX until maybe week 15 or 16 when they have BUFF and TENN at home (with some points) Good luck! |
bigEsmalls | 3 |
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week 1........ 6-3 +2.7 units
all 1* Duke and Det are this year's first 2 unit plays NCAA *Hou-3 Cougars will score points and put pressure on Temple to keep up. I had a play on Temple last week vs ND + 4td, but Houston basically needs to just win for this cover. *Tulane -6 South Alabama will struggle this year. The Jaguars will struggle in the trenches and do not have the playmakers to keep up with.... even Tulane. **Duke -5- Blue Devils won by 24 two years ago and they are a program on the rise. Memphis is playing their first game, no surprises... they will still be horrible. *Tex-7 Longhorns took a while to wake up in week one. They have a big advantage in the trenches plus this year, they will not have 3 QBs and a WR throw the ball. Last week, BYU outgained Vir by 140 with an even TO ratio and still lost because Hill was 13-40 throwing the ball. *SJSU+26- (i am waiting for 28 near game time but I will use this as it is the prevolent # now) The Spartans were -2 in the turnover department and outgained the Trees last year in a 3 point defeat. Stanford has not played yet and won 8 games by 8 or less points last year. OVER/unders may come later this week when weather is confirmed. NFL, **Det -4 Minn is going to return to the pack. Vikings will miss Winfield's leadership in the secondary, especially in this matchup. Bush should have a big game against slow Vikings LBs. *Cle PK Norv Turner is back where he belongs, as an OC. I think they could approach 8 wins this year. Miami overspent on a few free agents and Tannehill will miss the checkdowns to Bush when he can not read the def's coverage. O-line struggles, this will be more prevalent on the road. *Under NYG/DALL 48- Big division matchup with Manning struggling in preseason and Brown will be missed near the goal line. Cowboys new bend but don't break def should slow the game down, meaning less times for Romo to make mistakes. Don't see both teams reaching 20. |
bigEsmalls | 3 |
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5-2
Nevada fell apart in the 2nd half and New Mexico is looking at another bad season. Not a bad day, easy unders... Good luck to all of you!
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bigEsmalls | 11 |
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Just a quick point on each game *Tol +24, 6 Fla starters out, the U on deck. Simple win and advance*Temple +30, easy boring win for ND, UM on deck. Thought about under *under 50- BYU and vir, more than 7 TDs with these 2 teams. Not without a lot of bonehead mistakes that ALL lead to def/st TDs *under 51- Syr and PSU, new qbs, lots of running, tick tock tick tock *New Mex -3, yes the Lobos giving points! NM has a surprisingly good running attack (for a bad team) and UTSA is soft against the run with their 425 def *Nev+21, a LOT of points for a bad UCLA def to cover, thought about adding the over for a missionary parlay. Not sold on Mora at UCLA, seems like I am in the minority, will fade until I lose $ *N'Western -5, will look to the more experienced spread team here. If this were in week 10 I would pass or look at Cal with their new offense and young qb having some experience. Cal will be an over team as the year progresses *Ohio +21, hard to find now, Louisville always has a knack for letting teams hang around. OU fell apart because of injuries last year and when healthy, beat PSU last year. QB Tettleton plus points is nice to have most of the time *Fla St -10, there is a reason Savage left Rutgers to go to PITT, he could not handle the pressure of playing QB in NJ. FSU's def will make him long for the days of going against the weakling defenses in the big east. It may be close at half and then FSU pulls away with a big play on def/st good luck. It is a long ride, but NCAA usually has more ups than downs
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bigEsmalls | 11 |
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Toledo with anything >21 looks nice. Florida is not a high scoring team any more. They rely on defense and they WILL NOT show anything that they want to use against Miami next week. Maybe a few different formations to make the U staff have something extra to prepare for but not much else. Win and advance in the swamp. Last year, first game -28 vs BG (a young team last year, also in the MAC). 27-14 final. 4 projected Fla starters out for this game (injury and suspension). Maybe even 3 more players (2 starters) out according to Gator Country and Scout.com
Take the 3+ TD lead and hope for no def/st TDs
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Covers | 18 |
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