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Quote Originally Posted by TRAIN69: A system to consistantly hit 10 team parlays you say? Yes its a combination of open parlay and hedging system-
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TheDrizzle77 | 37 |
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Hitting 10 team parlays has become very common- once you get a system in place- at least once or twice a month- 5-8 about once a week- 25 I have only been able to do once- but I am working on making it a once a month thing-
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TheDrizzle77 | 37 |
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Quote Originally Posted by Vegas1311: Vegas1311 10-6-1 +$340 DAL Mavs +3 HOU Rockets +4 Under 192.5 BRK Nets vs TOR Raptors Bad night last night. Time to rebound Hopefully trolls stay away. Keep up the good work guys! Trolls sometimes keep the energy up- but I read ya- I am on the opposite side of your picks based on my current outstanding tickets- although the first two would be my hedges today I may double down on the current tickets as expressed before and hedge live- Good luck-
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SportsMavin | 272 |
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Quote Originally Posted by nba_expert_: killed it last night 3-0 didnt even break a sweat the best part i didnt do any cappingh if u know what i mean lol waiting for some final picks to come out. will def materialize some plays as usual nothing personal all business Good stuff keep rolling in the in the end that is the name of the game. Have some plays on today as you can read up but more looking forward to how series close out tomorrow- I didn't go perfect as your picks- but can't say am not happy about 15-5 and up 12units last night-
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SportsMavin | 272 |
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As for todays games we have the same scenario as last night- I really doubt that every gets saved again today- the Hawks and Clips game were a bit "funny" OKC ruled and with conely potentially out this could be the edge they need to get over the hump.
It was really impressive how the Nets came back from that large deficit to almost win the game specially after having no FG's in the last 6 min or so of the prior game- I think we get a better performance from them at home tonite- I am on ML not sure on spread yet- series bet at risk on Nets which is bigger than the Raptors Series bet- As for the Spurs they have been in control most of this series and then at the end they seem to forget that the time is your friend- Dirk was Dirk last game and made it too close for comfort- I had a nice middle in that game and expect this to provide same opp- I am on ML and Spread Spurs for now - even though I have some series bet going- those are not at risk- being that the Hawks as an 8th seed failed to send home the 1 seeded Pacers this may be the 1-8th combo that ends today- As for the last game I am on Blazers I have a series bet and if someone is going home is either the Mavs or the Rockets- I am on ML and Spread Rockets- series not at risk- don't have a rocket series bet- Same as the Spurs the rockets seem to forget that when up a lot eat some clock- I think if Rockets fall behind and start the jacking the three they will live or die by the jumper- hopefully the latter.
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SportsMavin | 272 |
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Interesting day yesterday- all the dogs covered and won and no one went home with their tails between their legs and an end to their season- I was really counting on clippers to get it done to avoid having to hedge to positions today- I do however like how high the lines are and for me it becomes a no brainer to do the spread B2 on Grizz to protect the larger payout of the OKC series. If OKC does win hopefully win not cover- then same scenario for the clips- here is one of the tickets at risk with OKC first then Clips tomorrow...
PARLAY (7 TEAMS) 05/03/2014 @ 12:00 PM NBA [884] THUNDER SERIES -410 05/03/2014 @ 07:35 PM NBA [888] CLIPPERS SERIES -375 04/28/2014 @ 06:18 AM NHL [686] DUCKS SERIES -350 04/26/2014 @ 12:05 PM NHL [696] BRUINS SERIES -325 04/18/2014 @ 09:05 AM MU [8123] G GARCIA LOPEZ +1½+540 (G GARCIA LOPEZ vrs N DJOKOVIC) 04/18/2014 @ 08:42 AM OPEN PLAY 04/18/2014 @ 08:42 AM OPEN PLAY 50.00 3039.60 |
SportsMavin | 272 |
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Quote Originally Posted by sabonis: Well said. I've been an avid MK fan from the days he introduced the format later picked by Mavin and now continued by phixer. Every season some new addition makes it big. Last season it was Turbovtk, Phixer and Kingmidastouch and now there anew stars like blue-bird and vegas 311 and the next season there will be new once but the profits are made in fun and respectful way. Something very unknown to some like our dear Watson...ooops, nba_expert_... Thats well said
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SportsMavin | 272 |
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Quote Originally Posted by sabonis: What happened pal? Difficult childhood? No father model? Looking for a daddy? or may be a sugar daddy? What's wrong with you? You like to make people angry? The word F..ck makes you feel good? So here it is: F,,ck you and feel good Let him be its all good and in good fun… if you really analyze his post he tailed my big plays and faded my small plays- thats a smart play he just does not know that he did that because reading is not his strong skill. somehow the parlay did not post on my post- said too many characters- |
SportsMavin | 272 |
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Quote Originally Posted by nba_expert_: thx turbo, i faded u and hit big with indy and okc. i appreciate it. was gonna take clips myself but warriors is the plays. thx again for all your hardwork If you faded me you either don't know what fading is or you have trouble with reading comprehension please read my reasoning and how I clearly stated the first two were protective or correlate plays to my series bets and so far I am up 5 units live after the two unit loss on the first two games. While you can't back up how much $ you made on those play which maybe is one unit I can def back mine up so keep fading if you know what that is! |
SportsMavin | 272 |
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Hawks could not close the deal guess the too perfect a trend read was a good one and should have sided with a totals 1/2 bet which I did have but not posted because it was live countered by an over 1H that was a good middle- it seems to be that points are easy coming so far today- sets up a very interesting situation for game 7 for those with series bets. Need to work out the numbers to see what my play will be. The hedge to try and middle a close game in OKC today seems to be on the downhill way which is good as long as OKC can win the series-
Clips are the only team left on my pre game picks today- the live hedges worked well- so now the potential short day pattern is do all three at risk advance? v. do all the away teams win. I have Clips series and since not at risk have my clips pick today-
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SportsMavin | 272 |
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Turbovtk 7-3 + $370
ATL Hawks +1 MEM Grizzlies +2.5 LA Clippers -1 |
SportsMavin | 272 |
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Turbovtk 7-3 + $370
-Plays pending more analysis- The public won all three games last night and all home teams won last night which has been rare in this years playoffs- today all home games series are 3-2 with two of those having the home team in a position to close things out. Grizz I am in a position where if I was torn with OKC - MEM I can't back OKC because of my series bet on OKC- The only good situation was last game where I teased MEM- here it is a bit difficult to middle because the spread is so small- I am buying the two points for my own protection but for the contest goes at +2.5. in order for OKC to seek a game 7 they will need a monster game from Durant and play anything that sort of resembles a defensive attempt. Can OKC will themselves to a victory, sure anything can happen, but if they are down big and they have been in four of the first five games I can see MEM going to their staple play which is ground grind and pound. I really don't know why more teams don't do this, including the Spurs who are up by 20 in most games v. Mavs and keep trying to run them out the GYM- when you are up by double digit prevent defense can prevent you from winning they say... but it is a timed sport and when up huge the clock is your friend. These would all be subject to live hedging but I have a very creative parlay which you can see below- that hinges on OKC winning the series and while it is 1/2 a unit play it has lots of credited wins and thus makes the potential loss quite significant to the tune of a 60X multiple, which means my play on the Grizz while it has good data to back it up it is mostly a hedge play on that parlay. Hawks This for me is simple, I have prop bets of a 4-2 Hawks series win, series win hawks and series ending in 6 and Pacers not winning the Eastern conf that was -170 but when parlayed its valued at +235 all one unit plays which have been covered by the Hawks wins so far so now its all the houses money sort of speak. Which means that Hawks ML today is an easy pick for me because not much too lose and its more of an add on bet. Stat that stands out is this that the Pacers have a series record of 0-10 when trailing into a game 6 and a game 6 record of 3-7 and while I don't like perfect trends as the 0-10 the circumstances here are not looking good for the Pacers its just a bad match up- if they go big for the rebounds they can't run to defend the smaller quicker Hawks, if they go small then they can't rebound when the smaller Hawks miss the three. This series as pointed out before is a mirror image of the Bulls Wiz series where it would have been better series if the Bulls faced the Pacers and the Wiz faced the Hawks oh wait that is where we are headed. Clippers Here we have a matchup that on papers appears to be a very evenly matched series and so far the games have been wild where you had two close games and two blowout games one of each by each team- I guess that can be considered an even match- However I think that we can physically see that the Warriors will live and die by the hands of Curry and Thompson and as good as the tandem is- maybe best ever, def best I have seen but am not by any means old, I can't bank on them having an on or off day, down low it seems that the Clippers with Jordan and Griffin have the edge and the Clippers job is to guard the three point line and for them to drive to the basket to create bonus situations- leaning Clips here- I also have Clips series on two tickets one pre series and one after the game one loss.
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SportsMavin | 272 |
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Quote Originally Posted by nba_expert_: i care to tell phixer to stop promoting this thread and that corny rainmaker365 promotion. stop bumping no one cares about some euros and canadians We are all friends here- and some of us are neither of the above.
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SportsMavin | 272 |
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Quote Originally Posted by phixer: it would be a much better without my "contribution"( me). i cost us -$740. except me almost everyone is on a positive. blu-bird proves to be a little more than a lucky shot and if he/she will also format the picks - we'll have a new star on covers Blue-bird 6-0 +$600 so is vegas1311 who is modestly but surely gaining respect as a solid capper - and formats his picks from a day one proving maturity in all levels Vegas1311 10-4-1 +$560 SunDevils follows closely SunsDevils 8-3 $470 and Turbo as always stable Turbovtk 7-3 + $370 but the biggest applauds go to Mavin for inventing all this last season and setting up for us this season Thanks to all that have contributed and hope this is helping others follow suit. Well said Phixer the new guys to the thread are showing vegas what happens when they drop the soap. I have not been able to post a lot because of time constraints and because I have been working on live bet systems for the playoffs that are working very well. I just don't know of a way to make this work since you have to be watching the game and ready to bet live to take advantage- last year we used to add 2H plays to help others not as part of the contest- for NBA mostly working the totals and the divergence of the original lines and movement based on the game flow, shooting percentages and other factors- last year a friend an I developed a 2H totals system which still works to date- I am using that as well as trying to work out the full live totals and 1H live totals- so far it is 30-4 in the playoffs some of the games have been won in OT which I am still trying to map out and some have been lost by OT- since I can't account for OT specially how crazy it is this season the adjusted non OT records would be 25-2 with 3 wins being done in OT (not saved by OT) and 2 lost because of the last OT in OKC and the last game OT in Rockets - Blazers. Two losses were caused by OT in the last OKC game and the last Rockets OT where two under where taken. Maybe a tweet scenario could work, but better would be to get the formula right although there is an element of feel that goes into the calculations based on the game flow which is taken from another site. As for NHL still working on how to do that systematically but that is mostly a feel thing and hedges to my Series plays- |
SportsMavin | 272 |
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Quote Originally Posted by nba_expert_: no one cares The fact that you read, are here and posted means you do care- even if we don't care that you care to not care that you care about caring! |
SportsMavin | 272 |
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Quote Originally Posted by Blue-bird: A+ Great picks nice- Sucks from phone posted twice once without putting anything in lol
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SportsMavin | 272 |
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Quote Originally Posted by Blue-bird:
A+ |
SportsMavin | 272 |
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Quote Originally Posted by SunsDevils: Quick question, so every loss is -110, not matter what the odds were? I guess I get less juice than that, but i have no problem readjusting. That's how it was done last year for simplicity sake- I also get reduced juice but easier to track when we all have the same juice- Keep up the good work guys-
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SportsMavin | 272 |
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Quote Originally Posted by Vegas1311: Turbo, Correct....7-3-1 Pushed okc -3 the other night. Yes so that will change our TT Sundevils your $ is off a bit- should be just like mine at $380 at two losses of $10 a piece-
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SportsMavin | 272 |
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Turbovtk 6-2 + $380
WAS Wizards +4.5 Over 89.5 WAS Wizards TT Again these are easy numbers to hedge- on a side note I took a half unit on the ML for Wizzards as I have them in a series bet and it can easily close out today. Also have series clippers and thunder- for thunder so far I booked a teaser of 5pts- Thunder are a big part of my open parlay system for series and need to make sure that the right play is made- i may add thunder ML to an open parlay and the teaser of 12.5 Grizz will be the hedge.
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SportsMavin | 272 |
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