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This game has trap written all over it! The initial line seemed low and fell from -7 to -3.5 ?? I still got a +5.5 at my book and took FLAT. Take Florida or stay away from this one. Nevertheless good look to everybody!
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Covers | 11 |
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GL |
uclalumnus | 60 |
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adding: NewEngland @ Buffalo over 51 2012: |
ThomasKranked | 6 |
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nice pick - bernard pierce helped you also
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SettleDownSpaz | 17 |
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Miller (def.!) and cook (more upside than gresham, but not a great option)
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barronio | 3 |
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week 4:
(explanations on: https://tkranked.wordpress.com) Cleveland +12 San Diego +1 Atlanta -7 Seattle -1 Arizona -6 Giants +1 Chicago +3,5 any thoughts on this? |
ThomasKranked | 6 |
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enough said about the packers game.. 2012: |
ThomasKranked | 6 |
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replied to
CB jennings you dumb F-- they teach you from pop warner to just bat the ball down!!!!!!!!!
in Penalty Box You know what also can happen when you drop the ball? ask titus young: or mike thomas: https://a.espncdn.com/photo/2010/1115/nfl_ap_mthomas1_576.jpg |
ufa_kefe1 | 7 |
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MNF GreenBay @ Seattle
The Pack D played impressive against the Bears and looked a like the unit that won the SuperBowl 2011. I expect a tough night for Wilson, even if he has as much better OLine than Cutler. The GreenBay Offense struggled a bit, but mostly because of unfamiliar drops and bad routes. With Jennings back and a more focused Recieving-Corps, Rodgers should play like a MVP. GreenBay -3 |
ThomasKranked | 6 |
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replied to
Are you kidding me? I just got knocked out of my Survivor league because NO lost to KC????
in NFL Betting
How could you not take week1 as a warning? A rookie comes into the superdome and scores more points than brees - The saints D is lousy all year long - not that suprising outcome against KC
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Bling | 24 |
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KC +9 The Lions game looked good until the 2opt conversion with 7 min left and a 7pt lead for the lions - i dont know what happend then... - the steelers D was just not what i expected - badly wrong on that one... 2012: |
ThomasKranked | 6 |
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I will post my picks over the year in this threads - i like this more than creating a weekly thread - will start this week. Chiefs @ Saints Detroit @ Tennessee Houston @ Denver
Hope this works out for me, even with 5 road picks. But we'll see. Any thoughts on this? |
ThomasKranked | 6 |
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Bills D is ranked #1 in creating turnovers - tony romo is arguably #1 in offering presents to the opposing D...
Even 15 years after aikman&smith the star on the helmet is blending people! Bills +6 |
Covers | 42 |
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Jax D really improved over the course of the season - MJD will run all over IND...
Jags 24-14 |
Covers | 38 |
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recent results fool the people cause of the schedule, the chargers played way better teams than oakland - rivers throws wild with a couple of picks but also gets the bolts down the field and into the endzone
20-34 chargers |
Covers | 73 |
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i also think that Whitehurst is the better QB, but i dont understand that line. I thought it would be about +1/-1
SEA looked strong against the giants&falcons and I dont really like the browns offense... |
ThomasKranked | 8 |
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still wrong, you know what i mean
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ThomasKranked | 8 |
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"Maybe this help could someone..."
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ThomasKranked | 8 |
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I'm way too emotional for 'just' picking, so i'm using data projections as betting basis - worked fine for this season. week5: 8-3 and week6: 5-2 - week 6 was logged in my covers playbook before kickoff.
Predictions are based on yards,TO,scoring etc. and weights the strength of each teams schedule. I know, you can't just calculate a score based on data's (without coaches decisions, injuries etc.), but it's a very helpful tool to find out some bookie traps and "emotional based" lines... here my pred. for this week:HOU-TEN 19-23 (no pick) DEN-MIA 24 -21 (DEN +3 - line looks tebow-caused) im picking every team thats with points more than 2.5 pts ATS above my pred. - linemovement can cause some picks/nopicks. I'll see what the weekend brings. Maybe this could someone... |
ThomasKranked | 8 |
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I think Detroit is overrated. They are just not able to run the ball (298yds in 4 games) - Best has 60 attemps and an average of 3.2 y/a - the other backs combined about 30 att. So all the bears have to do is a way to stop Megatron. Can't imagine another 2TD performance - the bears struggling against Tight Ends, but were able to hold jennings and white out of the endzone. Cutler will not give away the game in the same way like romo did last week - just because forte will be running the ball well.
I Expect a close game, to close to pick, but if had to, small on bears! |
Covers | 130 |
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