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bettor2win
bettor2win
WALK OFF HOME RUN WALK OFF HOME RUN WALK OFF HOME RUN OHHH BABBYYYYYY

bettor2win
bettor2win
Quote Originally Posted by Fevernova:

First year following this system, its just bad luck the Mets will likely lose this chase series. Astros were projected to have 60 wins and they will get 1/20th of it off our bets :D I highly doubt anyone would've thought the Astros would take all 3, but its just the randomness that comes in betting on sports.

Its ok the system should be able to recover from a few losses. And it couldve been worse, at least the lines werent super juiced, imagine if it was the DET v SEA series last week, we wouldve lost 2-3 times more.


You don't have to remind me.
bettor2win
bettor2win
Quote Originally Posted by irage:

Yes, I still believe Washington is a good team and I like them for the WIN today, but I am going back to picking one game each day rather than trying to run a couple each day. Chasing 3 or 4 series is expensive.

It kills my BR when I'm spread out. San Fran is the best pick for me today and because I'm not playing the METS today they will win.



You should probably bet less.

As much as it sucks for me, I bet to win 1% of my BR.  That's it.  That's what the rules state.  I have a BR of $1000 so I bet to win a mere $10 per chase. It not only affords me a potential loss, but it also affords me multiple chases.  Not that I want to chase a lot of series, I still pick and choose, but it keeps me from getting ahead of myself.  I'll bet more $ when I make more $.  I figure I'll reward myself later by laying a proper foundation today.
Alldaygambler28
Alldaygambler28
Can someone, maybe cisco, explain to me why we skip two games??  Doesn't make sense.  We'd already be done with ARI if we didn't...

It makes sense more in the 5 run chase...make sure that the team isn't hot and dies down a bit but here? Not so much.
bettor2win
bettor2win
Quote Originally Posted by asroma123:

What's the consensus for today's bet c? Are people putting a bet to make back original bet or are you guys doing what bettor2win does at times and just putting an original bet A amount on it? 


Honestly, the system was near perfect last year.  I bet to win back what I lost plus a unit.  It doesn't make sense on paper but who cares.  We're using a computerized system, gotta bet like a computer would and take the emotion out.
The__Man
The__Man
I have two lock plays for today.  Neither make sense on paper, but then again betting CWS against BOS when Beckett was taking the mound didn't either and it was money.

Today's plays:

NYM ML

WAS ML


I calculate both plays have an approximate 98.5% chance of winning.  Enjoy the free money.
bettor2win
bettor2win
Quote Originally Posted by hammer1:

thanks b2b. how come we never take the cards ,they always win # games series


We go based on RPI.  For whatever reason, their RPI is still kinda shitty.  Coulda played them against PIT but after SEA swept DET on the road, I'm passing on series that don't qualify.  Who cares.  Better to stay perfect then get effed.
bettor2win
bettor2win
Quote Originally Posted by BookieCrusher88:

Mets "C" is a no play for me tomorrow. They keep on getting annihilated regardless of who's on the mound.


Fuck.  Remind me again why I'm betting on shit fucking teams??

They'd better pull a W out of their ass tomorrow.  Line's huge, probably gonna take em +1.5 to try and protect myself a bit...
bettor2win
bettor2win
I believe both BOS and DET are plays today. Could be wrong though.
The__Man
The__Man
Submit
The__Man
The__Man
For those who don't know me, I post locks.  Yes, there are such things. I've found a potential one today, although I'm not 100% confident so I'm not going to write lock all over it. Probably like 80%, so I added the handicap to it to make it like 90-95%.  They should win outright though, but better to play it safe since it's not 100% guaranteed.  Today's play:

CWS +1.5


Enjoy the free cash.
bettor2win
bettor2win
Quote Originally Posted by bettor2win:

I agree theman. I just might wait till monday to play anymore series. My BR is good but too many inconsistancys so far.


I just realized if I was betting what I wanted to bet ($1000/play) instead of what I am right now ($10), I'd only pick THE BEST of THE BEST because I wouldn't need to win 200 units a year...just 50 would be amazing.

Thus I should keep the same strategy regardless of my BR or my $ value of a unit.  So next year, no series bets in April and only smart series bets that not only line up with RPI but also in my head make sense will be bet.

ATL qualifies.  I don't care about any other teams they don't jump out at me like this series does.  I'll also be betting the first game -1 to reduce juice.


bettor2win
bettor2win
I think RPI is becoming increasingly important. I know it's still early but I shouldn't have been playing DET...
cisco
cisco
Is OAK a ML play today?  Or +1.5?

I noticed the O/U is set at 7...should be a low scoring game apparently.  Paying the big juice for +1.5 could be worthwhile...
The__Man
The__Man
Quote Originally Posted by jayfan:

How'd that last "Lock of the Century" of yours do? 


How do you think it did?  It was a lock.
The__Man
The__Man
The__Man
The__Man
WOW OMG CAN'T BELIEVE THIS GUYS THIS IS THE PLAY OF A LIFETIME EMPTY YOUR ACCOUNTS AND DOUBLE UP IN ONE SHOT

SAC -4

THANK ME LATER

bettor2win
bettor2win
Yeah how are ppl betting BoSox??  I know they're a good team, at home, probable to win at least one game against NYY rival, but it's not a great team against a shit team.  It's two great teams going head to head and I've learned my due lesson to stay away from those because anything can happen.
bettor2win
bettor2win
Angels are a C game today.  Lost two in a row @ home to Oakland.
bettor2win
bettor2win
Quote Originally Posted by Air1:



That is 100% accurate. I bailed on the Yanks last night cuz of the line and how bad CC had been since the end of last season. He lost last Aug a B game bet with the same line that hammered me cuz my bookie limited my action in the middle of the series!
I failed last night cuz I bailed - so -2units
Next time I won't hope to get lucky and stick to the system.


Ya I was a bit nervous too, then I remembered it's the Twins.  Bet half a unit to help keep the juice lower.  I didn't care bc there was no way in hell the Twins sweep.  Sometimes looking at the bigger picture helps restore confidence.
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