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WKU definitely is impressive on offense. However, after watching every WKU game this season, their defense is pourous. LSU has a heisman leader in the backfield with a questionable 6th ranked total D.
LSU 50th overall O. 6th overall D WKU 8th overall O. 118th overall D Now granted it was the first game of the season but WKU had trouble with Vandy, which should barely be considered an SEC squad. LSU has made some games closer than they should be on paper but have a total beast on O. LSU in a tough spot coming off a big win against the Gators. WKU was a bit rusty vs N Texas last week regardless of the score. Probably were looking ahead. With all these factors combined, I am leaning on the OVER. It is too close for me to pick a side. Based on WKU D I think the spread is about right. So no play on the sides. But OVER 66.5 looks solid. LSU 44 WKU 28
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Too tough a spot to judge Memphis for me. They "should" roll in this game, however being ranked and coming off a win against an SEC school with a pre-season top-10 ranking is a huge high. No play on the sides. For the total, however...I see this similar to the ULL/Ark ST game. Questionable if the game would go over, and it took in a decent amount of under the total bets (overs usually dominate most games just based on the sheer anxiety of betting unders as you all know). But in the end it went over. And I see this game going over as well, regardless who wins. IDK if it will be a repeat of the Memphis Cincy score (that is up to Tulsa), but I see a final similar to Longhorn's prediction. 50 something to 20 or 30 something. I am not a fan of betting weather as a factor in games (i.e. Clemson Georgia Tech game should of went under based on downpour but went way over), but for what it is worth, there are storms surrounding Tulsa. Rain isn't expected to hit the city but you never know. Regardless... OVER |
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San Fran on a high. Decent effort vs. Gmen, then a decent win against Baltimore at home. Kapernick playing well 2 straight games. Morale and confidence likely on an upswing. Seattle coming off a loss at home, in addition to the Cincy comeback prior to the loss to the Panthers. Boost is needed. Based on this spot for both teams, gotta go with the road favorite here. SEATTLE - 6. |
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Pouring rain forecasted for game time.
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Quote Originally Posted by Volstregnth: Tennessee will have difficulty this year with teams like Georgia, Florida, etc. They are young but talented, it will take a few more years of recruiting and stability to get back to the top. With that being said, they will not lose to Utah State...They are too fast, too SEC strong and the big factor, This game has sold out in Knoxville, you will have 110k fans stomping, screaming, and raising he** everytime Utah State gets the ball. Lets not forget that Utah State is a very young team also and coming to UT will be tough. If they make a mistake or 2 early they could blown out fast. Tennessee always gets overlooked, lately it has been deserved but if you look at Tennessee football history, it is among the top 5 all time. Strong program, strong history, they will rise again soon. Look at NFL rosters right now and you will be amazed at the number of UT players on those rosters. I am seeing all the posts about Chucky Keeton, Can Keeton throwing from his butt? thats were you will find him alot tonight!!! One thing is obvious about your post and that is you are a solid Vols fan, not that your screen name didnt give it away. I agree with the SEC atmosphere in Knoxville being somewhat a factor in this game, however I must politely disagree with the intangibles mentioned as well as some of the info you posted. USU has 8 starters on O and 7 on D that are either juniors or seniors. So as far as starters go I would not go as far as to say they are young. 11 of them combined are returning starters. On the contrary, the Vols basically have brand new starters on both sides of the trenches and this can be an eye opener especially offensively. USU has a very strong D, regardless of conference. The Vols O line has their work cut out for them. And to make a predicition that Keeton will be playing the game from his behind is more of a fandom statement than fact because no one knows what D Tennessee will have. I am sure their recruiting class is great, they are an SEC school, that is expected. But to say a potential Heisman candidate will be on his back with so many unknowns is a bit ahead of the situation. In the end I think USU poses a big threat to the Vols. And i feel the game will be close. That being said, as a bettor and not a fan, I will take the points in the opening game for these two teams. |
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100% chance of thunderstorms in Knoxville at game time per Intellicast weather.
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My local has the line at TN -6.5. Printed news. Day of game. Works as a disadvantage sometimes but for this game with the line dropping like a rock I am all over USU. Good luck to all.
Close one IMO USU 21 TN 17
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UNT here. Mean Green have a decent squad. It should be close as far as covering but I say Texas 38 UNT 17.
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Oahuboy I totally agree. This game is technically an 830 am start time for UCLA. First game of the season travelling east for an early start. I know UCLA is set up to be very good this year but I think this is too many points to lay for the first game. Virginia for me too. GLTA.
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Marshall was awful on the road in comparison to at home last year. Granted it is a new season but for a mid major conference matchup first week of the season Im taking the points. GLTA
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I wrote G ay and the site auto corrected happy lmao. Rudy G ay is not in the discussion in these forums ha
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Quote Originally Posted by 337: ON 2-27-13 THEY PLAYED .. CAVS 103 TOR 92...THAT DAY KYRIE WAS INJURED TOO.. THE SPEAD FOR THAT GAME WAS THE SAME TOR -4.5 O/U 196.... CAVS WIN THIS.... Going back not only 4 games but different seasons holds no water for me. Toronto finished in 10th last year with a .415 win %. They are now with the same squad - happy (which makes them better imo) gelling and playing above .500 ball in 3rd place with basically the first trip to the playoffs since '09. What happened last year means nothing. If Cleveland covers, it has nothing to do with 4 games ago, especially last season. Good luck to you with your wagers tonight. I am not questioning your pick, just your reasoning. BOLTA
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After that home loss to Cleveland I am losing faith, at least the little I have left, in NY. And I am a New Yorker as well as a Knicks fan. In NY I say Knicks cover, but 7.5 of chalk at the Staples? Ugh, small play Lakers.
Knicks 105 Lakers 102 |
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Poor call by me on OKC last night vs. Denver. Dallas is reeling from the OT loss to Brooklyn 2 nights ago after having a substantial lead through much of that game. Dirk was completely off as well. No way Dirk doesn't show up for this one. Back and forth all night for this match up. Dallas needs to get this one done to start off on a foot in the playoff direction to help take Phoenix out of that 8th spot. If Denver doesn't win straight up I feel this is a one point game. Denver +3
Over the total as well. Denver 117 OKC 116 |
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Toronto is tied with Chicago in 3rd. This is a must win for Toronto here when it comes to falling behind in the playoff race. Cleveland can be a pain in the behind, but Toronto pulls away IMO...Toronto -4
Toronto 106 Cleveland 97 |
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OK, well SA has been a covering machine as of late. How do you bet against them? When they are giving 3 touchdown with the extra points? IDK. Philly has covered decently over the last 10 because they really haven't played any teams that are blowing other teams out.
+ 12 vs the Knicks + 19 vs Indy (been flat the last 3 weeks) + 15.5 vs the Knicks + 19 and + 16 vs Chicago (they are good but in a gritty way, don't really blow the doors off teams) San Antonio is 9 of their last 10 covering. But look at the spreads they covered and against what teams: - 8 @ Sacramento (always a girl at home) - 13 @ the Staples Center (always a tough place to play regardless) - 15 vs Utah - 3.5 vs Miami (dominated) - 7.5 vs Portland (dominated) SA is completely healthy for the most part. Tough to lay that kind of chalk but if any team can do it SA can. Until they don't cover I am on them. SA 112 Philly 87 |
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OKC may be 37-31 ATS but they are over rated as a team IMO. Defensively they have been exposed, especially since the return of Westbrook (yes I know he is out tonight). They win, but they do not cover 11.5 points. Denver has been playing well lately. Very much a strong second half team. OKC leads by 15 going into the half, Denver catches up and makes it a game in the second half. OKC pulls away in the last 2 mins and wins by 6-8 points.
OKC 109 Denver 102 |
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This game screams Nets based on NO giving Bkn points, which is why I am taking the Pelicans. They are playing well, Anthony Davis has been lights out. Brooklyn has been playing incredible since the AS break, but are now on a road trip. Knocked down 5 in a row and had an exhausting, difficult OT win in Dallas last night. 3 games in 4 nights for the Nets on the road. Points are there for the trap.
NO 102 BKN 95 |
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Quote Originally Posted by WRECKEDEM: probably gonna lock in the under(197) BIG. Memphis is home. Memphis has allowed 1 opponent in past 10 games score over 100 pts. Memphis is best or second best defense in the league. Memphis is peaking. Memphis is coming on one of their most complete wins Saturday night by shutting down Pacers. Minnesota scores a lot of points, but not against memphis. Minnesota has come off two very deflating losses with playoff hopes on the line. Completely agree. Minnesota has played struggling defenses in their last 10. i.e. Houston, Phoenix, Detroit...Memphis is definitely playing well down the stretch, just like last year. The only reason the O/U is set at 198 is because of Minny's ability to jack up the scoreboard. I see Memphis rolling here and stifling Minny's O. Under...Especially after that awful awful awful let down vs Phoenix, which I loved because I bet Phoenix. Memphis 96 Minny 89 |
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Heat win, Brooklyn covers. Brooklyn is hungry, Miami has been exposed.
Heat 101 Nets 96 |
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