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Thread Author NoSoLucky Post Entries
JEFFTHEHAT
JEFFTHEHAT
while you're correct about 5 game chase systems being over rated, a system that wins 93% after only 2 is worth something provided years of backtesting holds up.
JEFFTHEHAT
JEFFTHEHAT
At 93% on A B games I would just run this as a 2 game chase and increase unit size temporarily after a B loss. Anyone can play a 2 game chase without too much nail biting I would think.
bDnews
bDnews
Quote Originally Posted by bDnews:

So far so good...

Are you sure? Isn't florida state in trouble if I'm not mistaken?
bDnews
bDnews
CHI Bears -6
N.O. Saints -3 (currently at -3.5 but you can buy 1/2 point)

OAK Raiders -6
DEN Broncos ML

Submit
JEFFTHEHAT
JEFFTHEHAT
why take 2 for a time slot? why not 1?
bDnews
bDnews
Quote Originally Posted by bDnews:

(New Orleans/San Francisco) 


seems a little random to me for the NFL. I have no back to back games on a single network yet you do. Does this mean we all bet it anyway?
JEFFTHEHAT
JEFFTHEHAT
Just to be clear, you're only betting the first half and not the second?
JEFFTHEHAT
JEFFTHEHAT
Quote Originally Posted by JEFFTHEHAT:

Bonus question:

If it takes 7 men 7 days to dig 7 holes how long does it take for 1 man to dig 1/2 of a hole?  

1/2 a day
bDnews
bDnews
Quote Originally Posted by dallasm:

Cleveland (C) today??

I was going to ask the same thing. Some books had them as the fave some the underdog. It was one of those rare times where you could take both sides of a bet and get plus money and win no matter the outcome.
CKP22
CKP22
anyone else had to delete a rant they were about to go on?
CKP22
CKP22
phew
JEFFTHEHAT
JEFFTHEHAT
BeefMan, if you look at jeff's picks you can see a somewhat obvious pattern to his plays. Its clearly not random.
bDnews
bDnews
Quote Originally Posted by bDnews:

San Francisco - A
San Diego - A
NY Yankees - A


I thought Arizona was on the banned list? San Diego to win is a fade on Arizona correct?
bDnews
bDnews
I would consider paying the extra $$$ on an alternate runline on the D and E bets when the team is super shitty just for peace of mind. That would have kept the Mets loss this year from occurring.

Maybe a rule for any series involving an RPI difference of more than 32 on the D and E bet should use the highest possible alternate runline your book allows as a stop loss. The odds would be horrific but losing is always worse. Just a thought.
Danrules24
Danrules24
Quote Originally Posted by rp-rt:

Danrules24,

To win a $1000

Game-1, -195, $1950 to win $1000, if "A" game loses then

Game-2, -200, $5900 to win $2950, if "B" game loses then

Game-3, -170, $15045 to win $8850.

I believe the max MLB bet in Vegas is $5000, That means you would have to spread your "C" game bet over 4 separate bets to make a $1000 profit on the series. Does this seem correct?


Yes, but risking $22895 to win $1000 seems stupid to me. I would rather valet cars part time for 3 weeks to make that money if I needed it.
bDnews
bDnews
Quote Originally Posted by NoSoLucky:

I'm new to this system so correct me if I'm wrong. Fading STL starting 7/5 after an 8 game road trip, they win 5 straight at home. They were the favs every time. This is a loss, no? Or does the system start later than that date?

Who the hell would take STL to lose to MIA and HOU anyway.

Nevermind, found my own error. Runline runline runline
bDnews
bDnews
I'm new to this system so correct me if I'm wrong. Fading STL starting 7/5 after an 8 game road trip, they win 5 straight at home. They were the favs every time. This is a loss, no? Or does the system start later than that date?

Who the hell would take STL to lose to MIA and HOU anyway.
Danrules24
Danrules24
Quote Originally Posted by puppetm716:

It has been an amazing run for all the crap teams which have become so pesky when going up against these systems.

Hou, Minn, Cwsox you're killing us.


Don't these teams know they are hurting their chances at a higher draft spot? Thats why I like the NFL. When they see no hope in a season they don't try as hard in a game or two so maybe they get a better pick in the draft for next season.
JEFFTHEHAT
JEFFTHEHAT
Quote Originally Posted by Danrules24:

That was a crappy way to lose the under. Seriously? You have a closer, use him!


I was thinking the same thing. That manager should be fined by his own team. Leaving a pitcher out on the mound because you want to "give him his shot" at a complete game is unprofessional. His job is to win games. He can't believe that 100+ pitch count pitcher whom is starting to give up hits and walks is a better alternative than the closer.
DegenGamble
DegenGamble
Quote Originally Posted by JEFFTHEHAT:

CINC clears, might be on to something Degen

Don't let it distract you from any NFL systems you might have in the works

I'm gonna need all the help I can get. I don't think I'll be as lucky as I have been so far in the preseason (11-1 as of right now)
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