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YTD 2-4-1 -2.65 Units 2-4-1 yesterday and down 2.65 units. Tough day, got burned on the 2 first 5 unders. Its a long season, hoping for some better results today. Greinke -1 -115 Greinke put up some really nice numbers against SD last year going 2-0/1.44 ERA/0.72 WHIP/.157 opp avg in 25 innings while Kennedy vomited a statline of 0-2/6.62 ERA/ 1.86 WHIP/.319 opp avg in 17.2 innings against the Dodgers. I don't see much reason for this to change and as long as the freakshow stays in the Dodger pen with his warm up jacket on I feel pretty comfortable laying the 1 for reduced juice. Sabathia -1 -114 I can almost count the number of career ABs from the Houston lineup against CC on my fingers, usually advantage to the pitcher. The Yankees are more familiar with Feldman and while he didn't get lit up by them last year he is winless against them in his career. Again, I see no reason for this trend to be bucked since he's now starting for a worse team and I'm expecting a bounce back year from the Yanks. Cobb -1 -114 Cobb is a stud, Hutchison is making his first career start and I believe the Rays are overall just a better team than the Blue Jays. I expect them to get off to a hot start and contend for the AL Pennant this season. Perez -1 -103 I expect somewhat of a regression from Burnett this season after last year posting a season ERA almost 0.80 runs below the average of his previous 14 seasons. At 37 the likelihood is that last seasons numbers were an anomaly and tonight he's going against one of the most potent lineups in baseball in a bandbox stadium. Wood +107 I think the Braves bounce back today. The Brewers have had their number going 5-2 against them dating back to last season but I don't see the Braves getting swept in this series; with Harang toeing the slab against Garza tomorrow I think today is the day they get it done to avoid the broom. Laying the one on the faves to dilute some of the heavy juice. I'll gladly take a push ~26-30% of the time there's a 1 run W because I think it'll be beneficial to lay less juice in the long run. I'm pretty new to this so any advice or feedback is appreciated. Good luck everyone, let's make some money today.
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Kgdetroit | 1 |
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So overall today:
Baltimore +105 Baltimore F5 +100 Reds +119 Mariners +114 Mets +156 purely value
bet Royals/Tigers F5 U3 1/2
-120 Mets/Nats F5 U3 1/2 -145 |
Kgdetroit | 3 |
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Forgot to add all dog plays wagering 1 unit, all favorite plays to win 1 unit.
Reds +119 Cueto Last 3 Years vs STL 1-1/2.72 ERA/1.198 WHIP/.252 opp avg Wainwright 2013 vs CIN 1-3/7.77/1.636/.319 Last 3 years vs CIN 2-5/6.69/1.461/.299 Career vs Wainwright Bruce .393/Ludwick .333/Phillips .295 Mariners +114 Hernandez vs LAA 2013-2-1/2.90/1.096/.237 Weaver vs SEA 2013 1-1/3.29/.909(13.2)/.235 Sea hitters career vs Weaver Ackley 6-19/.316 Cano 12-30/.400 Montero 5-10/.500 Saunders 6-18/.333 LAA hitters career vs Hernandez Hamilton 10-61/.164 Iannetta 2-15/.133 Ibanez 2-11/.182 Pujols 5-26/.192 Sorry don't have time to add all stats, but this gives you an idea of the angles I'm using. Mets +156 purely value bet Royals/Tigers F5 U3 1/2 -120 Mets/Nats F5 U3 1/2 -145 Good luck today everyone! |
Kgdetroit | 3 |
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Baltimore +105
Baltimore F5 +100 Tillman @ Home 8-3 in 2013, 14-6 last 3 years vs BOS 2013 3-1/2.65 ERA/1.189 WHIP/.222 opp avg vs BOS last 3 years 4-1/2.21 ERA/1.147 WHIP/.218 opp avg Lester vs BAL 2013 1-2/4.70 ERA/1.478 WHIP/.284 opp avg vs BAL last 3 years 2-3/4.03 ERA/1.375 WHIP/.260 opp avg BAL hitters career vs Lester Cruz 10-22/.455 Hardy 8-27/.296 Jones 16-53/.302 Weiters 15-44/.341 BOS hitters career vs Tillman Carp 1-11/0.91 Middlebrooks 0-14/.000 Nava 4-17/.235 Ortiz 1-16/.063 Pierzynski 1-10/.100 5 of the 9 hitters in Boston's lineup today combine to hit .103 against Tillman.
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Kgdetroit | 3 |
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Hey Manassa I added you, can you accept so I can PM you my email for the RL calculator? I would greatly appreciate it.
Nice card today, on the Tigers, Brewers, and D'backs as well.
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ManassaMauler | 153 |
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Thanks Nropp, rollin with you on NW but got it at -6. Good luck tonight
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nropp11 | 54 |
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Getting shit on thus far
Still a lot of game left though.
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IAcceptCash | 27 |
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well be glad its my dough im betting with tonight and not yours.
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atl4tigerfan | 26 |
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I might be a sucker for taking USC but I've had some success going against the huge public favorite when there's been fishy line movement like this.
Good luck to all either way
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atl4tigerfan | 26 |
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Vegas insider has 93% on UCLA but the line dropped from -13 to -12. Thoughts?
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atl4tigerfan | 26 |
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on hampton ml, you have been straight killing these ml dogs
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nropp11 | 107 |
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good luck tonight
Was also curious if you had any thoughts on UofD/Valpo? Thanks for putting in all the work so we can make bank!
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nropp11 | 22 |
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on it as well good luck to us
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ryan4097 | 36 |
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good luck cuse
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Cuse4TW | 20 |
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parlayed c mich moneyline and under, thanks nropp
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nropp11 | 84 |
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A unit is just a betting amount. It varies from person to person i.e. for me 1 unit may be $25 while for someone else it could be $1,000. For consistencies sake most people just post their plays in units because the bankrolls vary so widely.
As far as advice, there are some very good cappers on here. I don't post much as I'm most assuredly outclassed in that department but looking at the number of views per thread and the person's posted record usually gives you an indication of who knows what the hell they're talking about. Hope that helps
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ThatsG | 4 |
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imagine if these kids stayed together for more than a year...
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mikeru3 | 51 |
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Quote Originally Posted by KBrick84: East Tenn St has beat them twice already...and North Florida shoots under 60% at the charity stripe. Not a recipe for success. North Florida is shooting 60.5%, E. Tenn. State is shooting 63.5%. Both are pretty awful.
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jimmynmail | 14 |
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Quote Originally Posted by shrewdie: Loyal fans then? Oh hang on a minute - no theyre not cos no box turned up last year when they were shite. Gotta love "fans" that only support a winning team. Get your facts straight douchebag, Lions sold out almost every home game last year, despite being 2-10 going into their last 4 games. You can knock Detroit for a lot of things but not having a fan base that's virulently loyal and supportive of our sports teams isn't one of those things.
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MJ2345 | 68 |
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Ford Field's attendance record for a football game, set during Super Bowl 45 with 68,206 is expected to be broken Monday night. The Lions will have a ridiculous home field advantage
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MJ2345 | 68 |
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