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INVESTINSPORTS
INVESTINSPORTS
I am able to get this posted a bit earlier than yestetdays +1.1 unit gain.  My last person checked in and I'm free to post ....thanks guys and girls.....you can tell its holidays..

The play
Utah St v Akron over 43 -147 with some NHL Chicago at Dallas over 5 goals -230....risk 1 unit to win 1.41 units

Utah St plays in a conference where offense is the norm and defense staysxat home. Akron is pretty solid on both sides of the ball and as I told someone earlier I'm afraid because I put both teams in a "static" category....Akron can play a decent defense especially if both clubs are semi static on offense. 

I have this score with a minimum of 24-20.....but I also can see one club getting stuck in the teens somewhere so I bet this down to 43 to increase the odds of cashing a bit. Its a bowl game and not a very important one at that....bowls like this are played a bit loose and I expect both clubs to score in the 20's.

I heard its been snowing a bit and since a few of my "backers" wanted action, I decided why not the blue turf and and over! 

In NHL action...tonight Chicago on the road has scored 2 or more goals in 9 of last 11 and the opponents have scored at least 1 in all of them. Dallas at home the last 11 have scored 3 or note goals in 7 of them and 2 or more in 10 of them. In those 11 games their opponents have scored at least 1 goal in 9 or 10 of those 11.

I'm expecting someone to win this 3-2, 4-2, 4-3 or more. But I view this game as a big important game for both and was afraid if played like a playoff game than scoring can be a bit tougher to come by. So I bet it down to 5 but rest assure there is a ton of fire power out there tonight.

I put this parlay at a 79% chance to cash.....and with a risk of 1 to win 1.41 worth the risk.....

Remember a loss on either game and you lose the unit....and a push on either game will reduce what you win....the math is up to you.

Cheers
Investinsports

PS....Hey RS IG you are reading this thanks for doing it sooner than later so I could share with covers guys...
INVESTINSPORTS
INVESTINSPORTS
Hey Z......
Its been months and months since I posted anything.....looks like I picked the wrong day....ha...

I turned this game off in the first quarter when Western Ky qb missed on a couple of long and open passes early.....odds are it goes under now....but have seen both these teams score 3 or 4 TD's in a half and gonna need it now.....

Also that's why I bid up on the points to save juice so if its a loss I lose 1 unit vs 1.1 units and as you know for me that's important ....juice kills...

I will watch the 3rd qtr to see if chances improve or its an " L" in the balance sheet...

Cheers all
Investunsports
INVESTINSPORTS
INVESTINSPORTS
Western NY is gonna pass light out and often....South Florida is going to run all over and through Western NY

I bet this up to over 71 +110 5 dimes......

Someone wins this 45-35 or more.....

Cheers
Investinsports
franz555
franz555
Soccer / Wednesday Sept 9 / View Post
Franz....

I see all is well in the soccer forum......
I just wanted you to know I keep that book "into the wild" on my desk......its an amazing story......

Have fun....
Cheers to you and everyone else.....I miss the forum but been going solo and enjoying....

Investinsports

My only play today was in Bolivia....Bolivar/Blooming Onions over 3......
DiamondJack
DiamondJack
Soccer / FRI July 3rd Pick / View Post
DJ....

And to add to your thoughts....(my fire) are really struggling for offense as when they move forward they leave their less than average defense open to the opposition.

Read somewhere in the neighborhood that theyare gonna go on the offense today....heard it all around the park......meaning they should give up goals.....

IM wagering on an over something like Houston 2-1, 3-1, 3-2.....its hard for a road team to simply out score a home team......and if (my fire) does go on the offensive....Houston wins.....but with goals......

This Fire team has the potential tovscore 3 or 4 but when a couple of key cogs go missing they look awful......in order to win....this fire team rides a very thin line and it shows in play and score.

Cheers to you and as always love reading your thoughts.....

Investinsports
franz555
franz555
Soccer / Wed June 3 / View Post
The real question is........ What year is it?
Franz, keep up the good work.......


Investinsports
padre16
padre16
Soccer / Back from H.A.C. / View Post
Padre.....

It will all be well. I think u actually no my name and many of the old regulars from the past do. I had my first heart attack back at 50.....had 2'stents put in that failed after a few months. Had to have triple by pass back than but have had 3 heart attacks since......but no surgery's its amazing the heart muscle can heal itself. I still walk and run......daily......although my diet is horrible as I eat junk........

It's been like 10 or 11 years since that surgery and I know I will be heading back one day.....but I still cap daily because i love it and this is what I do.

Just make sure you exercise daily.....don't baby yourself and do nothing .....I believe that is the kiss if death when you stop doing......anyone who meets me has no clue that I have been carved up....act young and keep mentally and physically sharp........if I wasn't a short old bald guy.....no one would know.

Glad u r back......skies the limit my friend!
Cheers
Investinsports

INVESTINSPORTS
INVESTINSPORTS
I always feel so sad when a posted play of mine turns out as a loss. Ironic all the other Sweden matches had goals scored......I'm scratching my head and with 5 minutes left it was 0-0.......

A loss of 1 unit and no juice

Sorry if anyone tailed ......

Wishing all much success ....
Cheers
Invest in sports

PS: there were some opportunities for goals that match especially from malmo'side......no good finishes....
INVESTINSPORTS
INVESTINSPORTS
Only one play for me today.....
Sweden and I generally dontvwager this early into the season....

Malmo vs AIK over 2 1/2, 3 goals +103

Malmo at home in league play in last 15 home matches scoredcat least 1 goal at home and in 11 of those 15 scored 2 or more. 

AIK on the road in league play lastv15 matches scored 1 or more goals in 14 of those matches and in those road matches allowed at least 1 goal to the home side in 11 of those games.

What I really like right now is Malmo's offensive prowess and seem to be good offensive minded form. In their last 6 matches mostly friendlies, cup games, and league opener they have netted like 20 goals.

AIK in their last 6 overall matches again friendlies, cup matches, league opener have netted at least 1 goal in 5 of those 6.

I penciled in scores of 1-1, 2-1, 2-2, 3-1,3-2 and havecratef this match at a 73.6% to go over the number.

The last 2 times these clubs met they have scored 4 goals orore....it's early season and I tend not to venture on sides orctotals but makingvan exception and at plus money the risk is worth the reward.


Just sharing my play and thoughts....
Cheers to everyone and happy Thursday
Investinsports
Disbarred
Disbarred
Disssss...

Thanks and I truly only comment in hopes it helps and if course I always wary of being wrong but hey....we call know this is tough to do....add some pressure and its even tougher.

Your point of motivation is well taken and I to try to incorporate that after I deal with numbers and situations....




It must sound crazy that I look back checking my notes with results and also check to see what some of the top cappers did.....compared to my notes.....I'm telling ya....I learn more every day.....even am old dog must stay sharp....



Its really cool to analize every capper and you start to see a trend....there us actually a certain method to everyone's madness....whether they take 1 gameca day, 10 or 50....there is a telling reason and all are worthy if learning from....




Now for the bad news....hey I'm more like the Mr Mom...Michael Keaton....maybe my future wife will appreciate that since my first two didn't....ha!! 

Looks like I'm gonna settle in and watch Villa vs QPR match.....I leaned over on this one....so I will watch to see what happens

John Travolta says Cheers
Investinsports






Disbarred
Disbarred
Disss...

I don't want to polute your thread....my notes and there are some similarities but differences...

Palestino -234 to win against Zamora as u stated Zamora is down and done...but I never lay -1 1/2 goals but was gonna use them in a parlay with the -234 with my only other play but since I got my play at +103 in No. Ireland why risk adding it....ha. I also agree lean on the over but I don't play leans ...if Palestino gets up 2-0 could just end there but for over players I agree it should hit just a lean to me.

Guarani at home vd Racing should be playing very hard but Racing does have quality and can be very stingy allowing goals. We knowxGuarani can score but I'm not so sure they want to get into a shootout with Racing and leave themselves open.....they will try to win as they need to but how they do it I question. Lean Guarani and lean over but again I don't play leans.

San Jose v Juan Alrich.....
My noted say one word...."under".....but when teams need a win sometimes things care forced open....just a Kean on the under....

Atlas really needs to win vs Colo Colo....we agree....plus Colo Colo sitting OK so as u mention they sitj a few soldiers but they areca quality team......this was the hardest of the 4 games to cap for me.....over/under and a side were really hard for me to figure so of course I passed....

Just my take on those matches...
I figure you are good at Copa Lib and So. america so I know you will cash most....but ya know the way I run shop...if I can't put a 70% + chance on what I think is a winning ticket I just don't pull the trigger....

I do like to check after the fact....I compare my notes with results and check back with most of you good cappers to see how comparrisions ended.....believe it....I learn more about stuff after the fact than before....its something I wish I could teach all serious cappers.

Cheers my friend
Cash many tickets...
Invest in sports

PS hope I didn't over step my bounds or welcome on your thread with my comments......
Disbarred
Disbarred
Disssss...

I will be cheering you cash those tickets. I capped those 4 matches last night and I find it always interesting to see I much we agree, or agree to a certain degree, or even disagree. Ha....

Looking at my notes from last night regarding Copa Lib. I look forward to lookingvafter the fact to see and learn....

Keep cashing....
Cheers
Investinsports
INVESTINSPORTS
INVESTINSPORTS
Just sharing another play and again sorry I don't post often as I'd like to in order to hopefully help out....

One play for me today
Northern Ireland.......I must ask....where is Northern Ireland? Oh I know....North of Ireland!!! OK lame joke.

Northern Ireland....Premier League Championship Round matchup

Glentoran vs Linfield over 3 goals at around +103 

Glentoran has scored at least 1 goal or more in 22 straight matches at home and in 17 of them they scored 2 or more. Actually they had scored 1 or more goals in 25 straight home/away matches until their recent 1-0 loss on road. 

Linfield had scored at least 1 goal both away/home in 29 straight matches until their last match a 1-0 on the road. Before that last goal less road match they had scored at least 1 goal while on the road in the previous 11 matches.

The last 3 times these clubs have met there has been 3 goals or more scored in the match.

Both clubs know how to score. These championship just like the the relegation rounds can be tricky and often can end 1-0, 2-0 but these two clubs are skilled and Northern Ireland soccer breeds goals....

I penciled in scores of 1-1,2-1,2-2, 3-1,3-2 and I rated the match as a 71.4% chance to go over the total and at slightly plus money +103.....I'm wagering its worth the risk. 

I have posted a few winners in a row .....so thread lightly......but as I always say....if I'm putting cash down on them I'm expecting to win them.....I just wish it worked like that.

Cheers
Investinsports
Disbarred
Disbarred
Quote Originally Posted by franz555:

Disssssss........Crime fighters never sleep.

Fight the power 

Neither do us villans!!  Just kidding....
Seriously.....good luck.....happy hunting

Cheers from
Investinsports

INVESTINSPORTS
INVESTINSPORTS
England PremierLeague
Crystal Palace vs Manchester City

Over 2 1/2, 3 goals at about even money +100

Crystal P at home last 14 matches has scored at least 1 goal or more in 12 of those matches and vs clubs with any type of offense will concede at least 1.

Man City on the road in Premier League play had a run of 20 straight matches where they scored at least 1 goal or more on the road....until that last match at Brunley when they lost 1-0....but hey they were involved and thing about that Barcelona club about that same time.....was that an excuse....probably.

Crystal P middle of table really has nothing to win or lose except to try and beat the "big boys" in front of that home crowd. Man City with a win catapoltes up the ladder....and although they play stingy defense it is usually a result of the opponents are so afraid of their offense they play back....ha!!

I penciled in a final of 1-1, 2-1, 3-1, 4-1, and a chance to cash this ticket at 73.7%.....and at even money.....even cashing half a ticket is a positive!! I'm expecting some free flow action....we should get some quality chances....

Cheers from
Investinsports
tedwalsh7
tedwalsh7
Ted.....

Its my opinion soccer is one of the easier sports to wager on and win more wagers than you lose. The keys are actually simple......when wagering "overs" clubs must have good offensive form home and away and it doesn't hurt if one or both clubs have questionable defense or missing key defensive components.

When wagering unders the keys are both clubs must be offensively challengedcand posses a good defense or their style of play is 2 passes forward and 2 passes back.

The problem is if you are an action junkie than all picks will be of the over sort and % wise its close to 50/50 depending on game circumstances. You must be selective and pick your spots. Most -2 goal favorites win their matches but not always by two goals as the other team plays conservative and most dogs that are +2 the dog will rarely win or cover and the reasons are obvious.

Every game has its own flavor and things happen during the course of the match that can swing thatvwager to a favorable or unfavorable situation to both you the wagerer and to the clubs themselves who are playing the match.

Its not easy but soccer can be and is profitable if you lose the "mindset" of what you want to happen vs what is most likely to happen....

When it comes to soccer the most dangerous and hardest matches to cap are the big games like Europa and Champions League or those exhibition type Friendlies .

Soccer is as easy as college football to make some cash.....but there are plenty if year round opportunities so pick your spots!!

Cheers
Investinsports
INVESTINSPORTS
INVESTINSPORTS
Went to see one of my local books this past weekend and was overtaken with sadness.....

No it wasn't that I owed.....matter of fact just a small collection from that sources this month.......but the fact that we met in a parking lot of a Buffalo Wild Wings on a sunny afternoon......than I realized that we always meet outside somewhere....and or since the advent of offshore books we collect via online, transfers, checks, etc.......it just gas become so modern.

I remember the days some 35 years ago + back in my 20's.....go to a local neighborhood bar in Chicago ...which was dimly lit, the guy in the back corner taking wagers, paying, collecting .......I mean that was the norm......you'd go see him ...than spend time at the bar with a drink or two......

I kind of miss that ........it makes me sad to think of that guy....always alert but somewhat out of shape but always in control......doing his thing.....taking our action......it was all so exciting but yet mysterious.....maybe mainly because it was so dark. Illegal, and uncertain......

Than the age of computers hit and what once was working out of a closet......became open and public and based on an island......

I miss the old way.....but would never go hack.....and that coming from an old dog like me.....be thankful for offshore and hopefully in the USA legal in all states.......that guy from yesteryear thatcsat in the corner now gets plenty of sun....

Cheers
Investinsports
franz555
franz555
Franz.....

Sorry missed your posts......its Friday and hadn't checked the post.....my friend is mad at me right this minute for checking the forumn....she is mad ...ha

I see Racing is kicking but last look 4-1.....this is why I hate commenting.....but I don't hesitate to share my comments.......I didn't play as I mentioned....

Hope whatever u did.....u made cash......

Cheers

Investinsports 
franz555
franz555
Franz...

I'm not the "Did" or the "Beer"......just me.....ha..

When I capped this game last night.....and I'm going off memory......didn't Racing play 3 days ago and after this match will be playing a more important match 4 days from now.....

If you really look at Racing at home more often than not their scores are 1-0, 2-0, 2-1.....and to me that means the other team gas a chance....weird thinking ....well maybe!!
Colon when they were a level below just a few matches ago when they played on the road had a lot of 1-0, 0-0, etc type scores and their only chance up here is to play close to the vest......

I haven't read up on possible starting line ups or anything but if 3, 4, or 5 Racing players are rested or even if some of them "take it easier on the pitch than normal to conserve"....it could mean a close game


You are right that the line seems a little to generous for Racing.....but knowing what I know and my thoughts I passed on any wagers in this match.

When u write down possible scores mine came out 1-0, 2-0, 3-0, 3-1.....so it could go over or under I feel Racing should win.....but due to circumstances....Colon Santa Fe has a chance...

Just sharing my "thoughts" and not trying to swade in any way......it would be hard not to take Racing but if you gave investinsports $500 for free.......it would stay in my pocket......and if Racing wins 4-0 that would be OK.....I'd still have the $500..

Investinsports (not to be confused with brothers DIS and BEER)

Cheers

RWPatten
RWPatten
Rw.......

I like that concept of risking $1 to win 900+.....so if it doesn't hit......than its 1 less drink........or 1 less smoke....or 1 less snack.......all of which are good....

I will be cheering you hit......


The way I think........I'd risk that $1 and try to win $500 range thinking it might increase my chances to cash the ticket with less games.......

Cheers
Investinsports 

PS.....nice job yesterday.....keep it going
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