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Thanks, Chris -- good information.
I guess tha'ts why Baltimore is favored slightly (on Guthrie.) |
-5innings | 8 |
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Seattle might be a good home dog Sunday. Better than the runline given you get ++ without worrying about the spread. Just win, baby.
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runlines | 12 |
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Yes, I know, I saw that in another thread. Thanks.
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We miss you, A.J. Covers is a great spot because of the guys who contribute to it, but the jealous little weenies who run it blow.
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AJPierzynski | 184 |
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Quote Originally Posted by iceman67: Holy shit that made me laugh... Only thing sneakier is the ol reverse reverse trap.... don't forget Dean Wermer from Animal House and the double secret probation reverse trap... |
Canada_Chris | 15 |
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Oops -- is Aramis back for Cubs? Yes, indeed -- pinch-hitter, anyway. That makes me feel a little better, but I'd rather see him back in the lineup of course.
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runlines | 12 |
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Andy -- great info and perspective as always. Thanks.
Even Harden's home split is slightly unfavorable. And no Aramis for Cubs, as we've discussed recently. I certainly won't bet Pittsburgh, but may just stay off the Cubs entirely under these conditions. There are better propositions. -- HT |
runlines | 12 |
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I'm laying off Detroit -- Kyle Davies for KC seems like one of those weird guys who's better on the road. Colorado and Florida, I don't like the possibility of rejiggered pitching assingments and the like, so that is a lay off too. Baltimore, don't laugh, but Guthrie is halfway decent at home. I suppose the over makes more sense in this game, though. Likewise I don't see what you do with San Francisco and the Mets. Both pitchers pretty bad, both offenses pretty bad. Tampa and Toronto looks like a good game. Rumplestilskin or whatever his name is for Jays is okay, but Tampa has gotten sticking again -- I like them in this one. The Reds should be able to bounce back and beat Lannan on the road, but I don't get too excited about these games with no meaning; kind of hard to pick. I don't know what you do with Tazawa and Nippert in Boston at Texas either. Maybe wish them all luck. You had two pitchers who have been pretty weak this year going on St. Louis, Richard and Lohse. Maybe the Padres pick one off but the odds don't seem very generous considering the team matchup. Cubs -- Harden has not been very good at home for them, but his last couple starts at Wrigley were fine. I think you like him over Ohlendorf. Danks (White Sox) has never lost to Oakland. For me (I tend to bet the home team, or lay off a game), that makes it a no brainer to not bet. But some of you might like Chicago. LA-Arizona, hard to figure out Arizona's Petit, and Arizona's team. Mariners -- Chamberlain is due for a loss as are Yankees; I like Seattle first 5 and for 9 innings. Phillies-Braves looks like an under, and looks like the total will be 4 or 4.5 for the first 5 -- not bad. |
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Tampa Bay and Texas too.
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Quote Originally Posted by gfoss59: Aramis Ramirez not in the lineup for Cubs -- Phillies RL looks like a good two-star play So far so good 59, and RL -- 1-0 at +125 ! |
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Rockies -- pounding LHP. Worth double units.
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runlines | 22 |
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I'm also really thinking hard about Detroit-Boston over -- a lot better than I like either side in this case. Verlander is worn out, and Buchholz is terrible -- may as well have Smoltz and Mark Fidrych out there. Boston is such a different team at home and with J. Bay back in the lineup. No Yuke, but everyone else -- and there won't be any funny business keeping guys off the plate, they will be able to crowd away for both sides. I've got to believe they get to 5 runs quickly. |
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Quote Originally Posted by gfoss59: Yah, Marquis is on my "list of 9 guys" that are better over the game than in the F5 -- it includes Buehrle, Pettitte, Beckett, Chamberlain, Sabathia at last check, Wakefield, and some others. (As you might suspect, mostly guys with pretty good hitters behind them... decent bullpens... i.e., their teams fish out a lot of wins late in games. Guys much better in 5 include Greinke, Halladay, Romero, and so on -- per expectation, weaker teams, weaker bullpens, declining team mojo.) So really, you would take Marquis-Colorado for 9 innings, right? I know this is the 5-inning thread, but I'd just as soon make the best bet, regardless of what box it fits in. |
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Guys -- re Aramis / Cubs I will post anything I find out. Sportsnetwork.com will post the lineups around 60-100 minutes before game time. |
runlines | 22 |
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Quote Originally Posted by gfoss59: Goalline Bob's 5 Plays of the 5-inning Day (You'll be sorry if you bypass these wagers) Here's my 2 cents guys. Looks like you all only have love for the roadies tomorrow, so what I have to say may sound critical, but what the heck -- we were all like 1-57 yesterday; it's time to critique ourselves and bounce back. 1. Lee-Phillies -- I love this pick. I won't bet it to stick with my discipline, but I'm definitely off the Cubs. 2. Feldman-Rangers -- I sorta like this. Sowers has actually done well and the Tribe is at home. I may take Cleveland a little. 3. Vein-lander-Tigers -- Verlander is pitched out and pooped, like Jackson. Check their pitch counts. I will lay off. 4. Coronary Corpuscle Sabathia, for the Yankees, will try to pitch a third straight Yankee win for only the second time this year. (The first time he did it, two of the starts were against Baltimore.) Should be able to hold Seattle down. 5. Hampton-Astros -- ehhh. Ahhh.... Ehhhh... As you may suspect, I have trouble picturing the Astros taking this series. Nobody has mentioned my favorite play, Marquis and Colorado. I know he's not the best first 5, but Pirates starters terrible on the road, and Rockies have mojo. Take that and get out of Denver ! And thanks for the good news on BOB ! |
-5innings | 36 |
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The Houston-Florida over looks really good, zu Anfang. Both teams scoring, and two of their weakest pitchers going. Fly in ointment: Last 10 games, Marlins score 4.2 runs per 9i versus lefties; Astros, 1.9. (Both starters LHP). Of course, Berkman's return changes the whole lineup.... but something to consider. |
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Phillies -- no injuries, lineup will post at SportsNetwork.
Cubs -- Aramis listed as "out." I doubt they would shove him in a day game against Cliff Lee, but I suppose it's possible. |
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Quote Originally Posted by -5innings: Also, here are some results from the Wednesday picks people liked: Toronto -- lost Kansas City -- lost I know it's a cliche, but we have to be very careful about betting against certain teams at home. There are some teams like the Twins and Yankees that I simply won't bet against at home -- I may lay off betting for them, but I like having every bounce in my favor. By the way, this is not an I told you so, not exactly. I kind of liked the Royals enough to lay off that game, and I didn't take the Yankees because I don't like the way they close home stands. So, coulda shoulda woulda. Keep up the thread, guys. |
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Good stuff. I say the Indians pass the Twins, and eventually, the Tigers --
Sox win the division. Just about the time the oddsmakers start giving the Tribe lots of respect (like you say, as with Texas tonight), they'll be more human. But in handicapping terms, they're definitely a team to be reckoned with that I think will play above .500 the rest of the way. |
gfoss59 | 13 |
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Yankees -- Yep, I laid off -- Burnett, not that great, especially in the day. Romero, soso lately, but not strikingly worse. Boston -- This is the best one according to the numbers -- I mean, the way Beckett covers at home. StL, Atl, Colo -- all pretty similar picks. I will do all three as mild favorites on the RL, hopinig to hit at least two. Twins -- I would lay off again. Or go with KC (except I don't bet road teams). With Liriano, you know KC is going to get 4-6 runs -- that's pretty steady projection of Twins bullpen plus Liriano. KC actually preforming better offensively of late, and tend to win in Metrodome. Then you have Bannister, who's had great outings and terrible ones. If he's great, KC wins. If he's awful, they still have a chance of winning vs. Liriano. |
runlines | 18 |
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