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si1ly
si1ly
Quote Originally Posted by si1ly:


I will create an archive folder for NFL sheets inside the primary link from post #1 of this thread.  Same drill as the baseball forum.  In fact, the link in post #1 will remain constant through the season.  Each week I will move the previous week's sheets into the archive folder and post the upcoming weeks thread in it's own folder.


Gotcha.  Thank you for getting back to me Si1ly.
si1ly
si1ly
Si1ly,

Is there a primary site where we can look at your NFL archives like the following one you have for baseball? 

https://docs.google.com/folder/d/0B8gd-be68XCvcThxV0dtXzBENlE/edit?pli=1

Thanks. 
Tone10
Tone10
Good luck Tone.
Tone10
Tone10
Quote Originally Posted by Tone10:

Absolutely... a guy like Felix Hernandez would probably be the highest rated power-pitcher in the league if he were on the Yankees... instead, he ends up as a +140 dog to C.J. Wilson.

But I think people make too much of lineups... The truth of the matter is that a guy's power-rating is his power-rating, and a simple lineup change is not going to move the needle that much. At most, you're talking maybe a 10 cent movement if a superstar like Josh Hamilton or Miguel Cabrera is out of the lineup. In most cases, for above average MLB players (say, Austin Jackson for example), the line will only move a couple cents. It's way, way overblown.



Good points Tone; thanks for sharing your perspective.
Tone10
Tone10
Tone, aren't these pitcher power rating #'s subject to change based on the lineups behind each pitcher? 

Not necessarily speaking specifically about these games; more of a general question that becomes much more pertinent with these Sept. lineups.

Love the write ups man.    
Tone10
Tone10
Good luck Tone.  One of the best threads on here.
Tone10
Tone10
Good to see the write-ups again; I always learn something. Thanks.
Tone10
Tone10
Hey Tone,

Good luck on the card today and thank you for answering my question on 'WAR" a few days ago (work has been crazy). 
Tone10
Tone10
Hey Tone, when you referred to Corbin as, "the kid has been worth 1.1 WAR over only 10 starts", I was wondering how that is judged.  What I mean is, intuitvely I understand that is good but is there a basic measuring stick that can be used?  For instance, is every good start  worth 0.110 WAR or something to that affect?  
Tone10
Tone10
Tone,

Good observation.  I figured as much and thank you for sharing. 
Tone10
Tone10
Tone,

Why has the priced for favorites been jacked up recently? 
si1ly
si1ly
Hi Silly,

Just got back form work and thank you for answering my question on pitcher data. Much appreciated.
si1ly
si1ly
Hi Silly, yesterday you spoke about Zimmerman's declining K/BB rate after 75 pitches.  Can you share where you found this?

Please advise. Thank you.
Tone10
Tone10
Roger that Tone.  Thank you.  
Tone10
Tone10
Makes sense. Thank you Tone.
Tone10
Tone10
Tone,

Are these opening numbers what you think they should be or what you think the books will come out with?
Tone10
Tone10
Love your work Tone and I may be splitting hairs here but wouldn't the Nats opening -160 suggest Ross is about 40-cents better than Santana since the home team is generally spotted about 20-cents?

Please advise. Thank you.


si1ly
si1ly
Silly,

For your top 20 pitchers in the last 30 days, are you breaking them down based upon their FIP's or something like that?

Please advise. Thank you.
Tone10
Tone10
Love your threads Tone.  Keep up the great work.
Tone10
Tone10
Good to have you fully back Tone; good luck.
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