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Lmao. Double down on the spread because your ML bet is
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begginerboy | 40 |
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Just asking, you laid -800?!
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-EliteLegends- | 24 |
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Quote Originally Posted by Namtrid: What an awful thread... Possibly one of the saddest things ive seen on here is the fact the OP has numerous usernames here and talking to himself.pathetic. Lmao you're joking right? I mean you've been here since 2011, first time seeing LC? Kid might not have been killing it back then hut his NFL & NBA stretch the last year is well documented. You're a clown bro.
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LeagueCapper | 35 |
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The best bets to make are the ones most people are uncomfortable betting. This one has puke written all over it which is why I love it.
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LeagueCapper | 88 |
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How hasn't 5dimes cut you off yet between NFL and NBA?! Honestly. The other day you said you're gonna start focusing on the good/better teams, what were you doing playing the Suns tonight? Good work as always my man.
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LeagueCapper | 35 |
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Quote Originally Posted by LeagueCapper: Listen up mate, don't come in here anymore. My style of betting that you and others keep trashing on has led me to 170k of profit since September. I don't need you to tell me not to take the teams I wanna bet. Pros don't bet teams. The name Knicks, Wizards, Grizzlies means nothing to me. I've gotten extremely unlucky in the NBA this year, but I am perfectly fine with the style of bets I make. Get em LC! Keep doing what you do.
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LeagueCapper | 67 |
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WTF LC?!? I thought for sure one of the big $100k bets on ESPN were gonna be from you! Great year my man! Enjoy the game, you deserve it. Let's go Pats!!
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LeagueCapper | 86 |
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I added this to the last leg of a small 3 team ML parlay for fun. 0.25u to win 9u! Lets get it!
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HEDGEHAWK | 33 |
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Lmao covers should automatically delete any post that contains the words "rigged" or "scripted". Like yeahhhh these guys are definitely conscious of the total of 207 and didn't wanna lose their bet. I mean come on guys lol. Grown adults losing money on a bet need this kind of justification for closure or something? You must keep your money in a shoebox under the bed so the government doesn't know how much you have in the bank?
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Kovy | 13 |
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The Chiefs haven't given up 30 points in 35 home games huh? Where was that elite pass rush? Justin Houston, Chris Jones, Dee Ford? Did this game show you guys this team is lazer focused and not as bad a road team as you were to believe?
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LeagueCapper | 202 |
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Well done my friend, great fcking win!!! Those Pats had no chance!
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LeagueCapper | 202 |
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Quote Originally Posted by Wizerguy: Gave up 21 to Green bay ...in pre-season ?? You said the first 4 games win or lose for NE ..don't even count ?. .KC played SF in week 3 / Denver in wk 4...but you want to count them and a pre-season game vs Green Bay.. You're right about one thing..no team is the same team from.wk 1-17 and no one is looking at the final number of entire season and making an argument..Concentrate on the final 4 road games..was n.eng the same team @ Pitt @ /@ Tenn / @ Miami where their fake defense gave up 34 twice.and 6 yards during that span....oh maybe it was Miami's and Tennessee's and Pitts Superbowl then to... My fault on GB. But this defense and team has been distracted, even in the last 4 road games. You'll see a different defense on the field tomorrow. You guys are not giving the NE offense on the road enough credit because you have seen the old team. And Brady was dealing with a sprained MCL. The bye week helped him out, he looked real good last week.
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LeagueCapper | 202 |
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And lastly, sorry for the hi-jacking LC, this team is playing the underdog role in a legit underdog situation and the mental makeup of this team is that of Philly last year where they will ride that all the way to the championship. I understand and respect KCs offense, it's their fake defense at home I don't respect. 17ppg against to the Bengals, Jags, Cards, and Raiders in 4 of those. Gave up 27 to SF, 23 to DEN, 21 to GB, and 28 to LAC.
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LeagueCapper | 202 |
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Now Brian Flores isn't officially the DC, but he technically is, and the defense needed time to adjust and better as the season went on as they integrate more into their play calls. I think in week 6 in their matchup with KC they started to use the 1 down DL with 7 other players, a mix of LBs and DBs, hovering all over the LOS. And they used it more against the Vikings and Steelers, holding the 2 best WR duos to a COMBINED 18/166/2. Also let's keep in mind Gilmore graded as the #1 CB in the NFL this season, opposite him, #17 CB Jason McCourty, who most season was in the top 10. What most people don't realize is, while we were wondering who and how good our CB2 would be, the emergence of our nickel CB has quickly become one of the best. JC had 2 games where he played 30%+ of the snaps from weeks 3-11, and hasn't played less than 79.2% of the snaps from weeks 12-16. Read this link for an idea of what I'm talking about. Let's dispel this notion of "Historically the Pats are terrible on the road in the playoffs." Small sample size of 7 games, the last 3 from 2006, 2013, & 2015. I mean how much water does that even hold? A team plays most of their playoff games at home and it's held against them. You know the common denominator in those games? Peyton Manning and injuries for NE. In 2006, the Colts had an amazing offense and the Pats were up 21-6 at halftime before pissing it away, a team with talent as Reche Caldwell, Jabar Gaffney, and a retiring Troy Brown. 2013 the Broncos with Manning broke records offensively and 2015 the defense was rated as one of the best all time. Meanwhile go look at the IR for the Pats in both of those years. I'm not understanding tchamps point about the Pats D in noisest and toughest stadium to play in when the crowd is a lot more quiet when they're on defense and louder when they're on offense. We've faced tougher defensive lines then this while not as healthy as this. Never hear about Watt and Clowney or Bosa and Engram when we play them. NE will run on that defense and the ball will be coming out so fast it'll neutralize that DL. This game is gonna be a tough close game and both teams wanna get out in front and play their game, that will be the key. Kelce is great but he's soft and the Pats can rough him up with chips and tight coverage and keep 2 guys on Hill. They're gonna make Williams and Watkins beat them and people can't see the KC offense isn't the same without Hunt no matter how well Williams has stepped up, Hunt killed NE in both games this year and last. Can't keep comparing this matchup from the previous one because they're both different teams. Let's also remember, the better team doesn't always win. Rams were better in 01, Pats were better in 07 & 2012 and so many other instances. This team is healthy, well rested, and lazer focus. Keep the 3, I'm riding 7u on the ML, Pats pull it off 27-26. |
LeagueCapper | 202 |
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I'm a Pats homer myself, but I don't let it effect my thoughts as I usually bet against them or lay off if I'm leaning their side. Point being, you and I know this team pretty well and everyone wants to dumb the handicapping of this game down. "Mahomes > Brady, Hill > Edelman, Kelce > Gronk, KC DL > NFL" Like come on you simple fcks. Let's rip all this nonsense apart. Let's talk about the Pats first. You nailed it on the head in the entire write up, the road struggles are largely over rated. The season as a whole needs to be dissected into 4 parts, not sure why people look at the final number over the entire season and make that their argument. No team is the same week 1-17 and numbers can be skewed. The first 4 games, win or lose, doesn't even count. The offense and defense was finding themselves with no Edelman for 4 games, defenses doubling Gronk, and Jeremy Hill & Rex Burkhead as their main running backs with Sony only getting started earlier than anticipated because of injuries. The Jacksonville game on the road was their Super Bowl and playing back to back road games in Detroit against the guy who knew how to attack the defense were obviously bad spots. So NE identifies that the initial WR depth they went into training camp with didn't pan out the way they expected it and need to add some talent and they trade for Gordon. Developing a WR in NE's system has been their biggest flaw over Belichick's entire tenure, and even when they acquire talent and give them an entire offseason to get familiar, the success is few and far between. Last year Cooks had 65/1082/7, a pretty decent season, but local radio, beat writers, and even team officials have said it wasn't a great fit. So Gordon has limited time to get acclimated to the playbook and catch onto the offense but they essentially force fed him in games to get practice reps with targets of 2, 4, 9, 7, 6, 9, 12, 5, 3, & 9. In a short period of time caught on faster than any WR NE ever brought in. And then Gordon gets suspended... The Pats quietly knew this was coming, there were reports of him being late and was going to be disciplined for it by not starting against Buffalo on Monday and not only did he start, but caught 4 passes. Later reports come out they had a tail on Gordon during the bye week that he eluded. The writing on the wall was there and they were trying to acquire a WR at the trade deadline. They offered a 3rd round pick for Golden Tate but the Lions felt the Eagles pick would be better. This was an offense that all season long was in transition, a team with distractions tied around the time of their loses. The offense had looked awful on the road up until the Miami game and they had no problems putting up numbers offensively, defensively I have no idea what happened, but that's exactly what happens to NE in MIA every year. But there's 2 games left and they have their health and identity. They can scheme around their lack of stars and keep you off balanced. |
LeagueCapper | 202 |
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Quote Originally Posted by NinjaNight: The guy claiming Pats have no shot is the same one who claimed Colts had no shot when everyone here was saying Colts will cover. He was super on point with his analysis of that game. Well geez by that logic it's a fcking lock!! I mean, NE beat KC, but NE lost to JAX soooo JAX is better than KC right? Isn't that how it works?!
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LeagueCapper | 202 |
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Lmao at this thread. I can't wait to see the responses late Sunday night into Monday if these fools come back and admit they fcked up not only backing KC but saying the Pats have no shot haha. LC, where you from bud? |
LeagueCapper | 202 |
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Because they're two guys who haven't played many meaningful snaps all season and/or recently and their impact could be just as minimal as it could be significant. Ware played 2 games after Hunt was thrown off the team and hasn't played in over a month, they might be better off with Williams. Berry has played 99 snaps in 2 years and might not be anything to what people remember him as.
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bpickin | 15 |
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Instead of just popping off nonsense such as "team x has no shot" or "this card is a winner/loser" why don't you guys back it up with some legit handicapping. Picking a dog doesn't make you sharp, and squares win too. I've been on the Colts when they were 1-5 and will love if this line moves to 6 because I still don't understand why it's 5.5. They can match KC point for point on offense because their offense is balanced and the Chiefs defense is garbage. The Colts have been the best team over the last 10 weeks and the Chiefs haven't been the same since Kareem Hunt went Ray Rice on a girl. Also their defense has improved as the season has gone on and to say they don't have a chance is ridiculous. I have them in an upset, 31-28. The Chargers are a better team than the Pats this year, they're more balanced, they're 8-1 on the road, they've won in tough places like KC, Pitt, Balt, Sea & London and they have great edge rusher. But this is a terrible spot for them and sometimes there's a situational advantage that can't be quantified. They've traveled 10,000+ miles since their victory in KC. From LA to KC, back to LA. Played in LA then to Denver in altitude, back to LA. Played in LA, went across country to Balt, back cross country to LA, and back across country to New England. None of those games have been easy and going against a Ravens team that plays hard smash mouth football on both sides of the ball will wear a team down. Meanwhile the Pats have traveled 0 miles in 3 weeks, there last road game coming 500 miles away in Pittsburgh almost a month ago. Let's also factor in the weather. This Pats team hasn't played much this year in the cold but overall this team has cold weather experience over the years. LA has been practicing in 50-60 degree weather and the Pats are practicing in 30 degree weather. The opening line of -5 tells me if this game was in LA it would be LA -1 which says NE is a better team than LA and I'm not sure you could make that case. But I'll lay the points with a focused and rested team at home. Haven't spent enough time on the NFC games yet but my initial leans are Cowboys and Saints but we'll see. BOL LC and everyone else! |
LeagueCapper | 146 |
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Right, but a future bet commits you to the full process too. So with all things equal in that aspect you're better off aiming for the higher value for the same risk.
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scalabrine | 16 |
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