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Any stick out as play considerations for you? |
Footballbiker | 12 |
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@MudPhud3 I was going to say the same. It’s at -6.5 with my book |
Mark_Bellhorn12 | 22 |
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Thanks for putting this together….great info. Appreciate the effort ???? |
Footballbiker | 10 |
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LIke both the picks & write ups...personally, and just to lower the juice, thinking of taking both of them (parlaying) and playing the 1st 5 inning RL's...haven't seen what the juice will be but I'm sure the value will increase big time. Probably will bet them straight & parlay them w/ adding another team or 2 or total if something else looks good/worth it. Thanks for the time you put into the write ups...it is appreciated. GL & Make that $$$$$ Quote Originally Posted by Tm0n3y916:
Posted YTD: (8-3-0) +$775 (ALL Posted SU Plays NO O/U's) *** Wednesday JULY 3rd *** Tuesday Results: 0-1-0 (-$100) STL (Lynn) 100/115 - Did not really like today's card. After all of the Faves winning on Monday, the books really juiced up all the favorites I liked (BOS, TB, ATL, OAK). So many games to choose from on Tuesday, and I kept my control on not betting and stuck to one play. BECAUSE I really love Wednesday's card... Todays Locks... DET (Scherzer) 230/200 -- I know that Miggy might not be in the line-up tomorrow (and that's WHY the line is so low). I also know that he has been practically their entire offense lately. BUT, I do LOVE the man the Tigers have on the mound tomorrow. Max Scherzer is 12-0 for a reason. This man is NOT a fluke. Check his stats on the year: (12-0, 3.10 ERA, *0.90 WHIP* and *131 K's with only 23 BB's*) on top of that, he has been EVEN BETTER on the ROAD this year: 7 Road Starts (4-0, 2.08 ERA, 0.69 WHIP, .149 BAA with 63/10 K/BB ratio). And ON TOP OF THAT, he OWNS the Jays in 5 Career Starts vs TOR (3-0, 1.59 ERA). Max has also been on FIRE lately pitching 8 Quality Starts in a row. -- On the opposing mound for the Jays is Josh Johnson. He was an absolute beast before his injury but he has not shown signs of a full recovery based on his last start (3.1 IP, 8 H, 2 BB, 5 ER vs BOS). In his one career start vs DET, he lasted JUST 1.1 innings giving up 7 Hits, 2 BB's and 6 ER's in NOT even 2 innings. -- Detroit has won 6 of the last 8 in this series. -- Even though Miggy "may" be out tomorrow (he said after the game that he doesn't want rest, and expects to be able to go), and Encarnacion is "expected" to be in (even though he's missed the last 2 games after a late scratch on Monday), Toronto's streaking hitter Lind is questionable to play after also missing the last 2. In conclusion, I believe that with (hopefully) or without Miggy in the line-up, Max Scherzer will go for 13-0 after this game and stay riding his extremely hot streak in his breakout 2013 campaign. He is up against a Toronto team that he has owned in the past, and also the fact the struggling Josh Johnson is on the mound, I feel that the Tigers can put up enough runs on the board to get Max the W. Yankees (Sabathia) 140/100 -- CC has NOT been himself this year, and neither have the Yankees depleted bats (minus their last two games). But, he has won NINE in a row vs Minnesota, and after watching the "weak" Yankee bats come to life the last two games, I strongly feel that the Yanks will come out victorious in this one... ESPECIALLY facing PJ Walters (2-4, 6.03 ERA, 19/15 K/BB, 1.81 WHIP). And it's not like Walters is any better AT HOME (1-2, 6.23 ERA, .333 BAA). In his last 3 starts (Total combined 9 innings: 3.0, 0.2, 5.1 IP), he has given up 16 ER's. I believe that Red HOT Robinson Cano will FEAST on him IF he gives him anything in the zone, and hopefully the rest of the Bronx Bombers will to. -- Yankees have won 4 of last 5 IN Minnesota in the series. -- CC's last 2 starts vs MIN: (@Min: 8-2 W, @NY 8-3 W) -- CC's past 9 starts vs MIN: (8-0 with 1.79 ERA) -- Twins top batters STRUGGLE against against Sabathia... (Morneau 6/43, Mauer 6/35, Doumit 3/17) -- Yankees hit Right's (Walters) better than Lefties... (vs Right's .239, 4.09 R/9, 0.8 HR) > (vs Left's .234, 3.9 R/9, 0.2 HR) -- We know Yankees are banged up, but with their 44-39 record, we all know they are still a good ball club. Minnesota (36-44) just placed LF Willingham on the DL. All of these stats can mean nothing once that first pitch is thrown tomorrow, but I'll take my chances on the -140 Juice and believe in the statistics between CC and this Twins' ball club. Locking it in now because I believe it may jump tomorrow once more betters catch on to these stats. I will be adding another play or two tomorrow (with Write-ups included) so stay tuned! BOL to everyone and let's all beat these books! |
Tm0n3y916 | 23 |
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I believe he's already locked in the over, at least that's what his breakdown shows. I actually agree with the over play on it but will probably bet the under for the 1st 5 innings depending on what my book offers..won't know till tomorrow am...hope it's at 4 no no lower. GL Quote Originally Posted by HeadOverHeart:
Good luck. You know how hard these are to hit. Tigers Under is the right play, but if the Tigers get their bullpen in there, that Under could go up in smoke really fast. Angels/Cards is a coin-flip. Brewers/Nats Over 8 is also a coin-flip. The rest I like. |
doggydog | 9 |
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That game was fixed....who throws on 1st and goal on the 1 yrd line with 1:20 to go in the game?...and then throw it right to the other team? Of course I'm pissed because I had Buff teased up to 10.5 but even if I hadn't, I'd still think & feel the same way. For some reason & of course money was at the root of it like always...I'm fully convinced that games are fixed from time to time at one level or another. People just can't be trusted because of greed... |
Covers | 17 |
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There's quite a few interesting points of view put out there on this game and being a pretty big Detroit fan, I'm a little surprised to see this much interest in this game. Normally, I won't bet on a team I route for but if I had to and there was a gun to my head...I'd take the points...and not just because I'm a Lions fan.
I think Sammy put out a few solid points out there and I agree...being patient and waiting until next week against the Bears is wise. The one thing about these 2 teams in my own opinion is that they could have similar records. This season Detroit has been excellent at beating themselves and discipline wise, they have been horrible. With just a couple breaks here and there and if Schwartz knew the rules and didn't throw the challenge flag, etc..they could have 9 wins themselves at this point...but they don't and they are where they are. No doubt the were embarrassed last week...I think they accounted for 28 of the 38 total points scored by Arz. The key in this game, like others have mentioned is whether Stafford, special teams, etc, can protect the ball and limit turnovers. If they do that, they should win outright...and even with being banged up a bit, they're are capable of doing so. IMO...Vegas put the # right where they would get more $$$ on the favorite (ATL) because the public and even the experts are all on ATL's side and my gut's telling me that Vegas will clean up with this one. I'm taking a small piece on the over 50.5 but will just sit back and watch the game because there seems to be other games on Sundays ticket that look to have more value. I wouldn't be surprised though if by game time the line comes down to 2.5...think some out there are seeing how high they can get that line up to and then go large with the pts. GL....make $$$
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Covers | 63 |
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