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I've been following your picks for a few weeks now.  I'm always curious about the people who come on here and only give a pick without a reason.  Well whatever your "system" is it's been right WAY MORE than it's been wrong recently.  I'll be watching throughout the bowl season but keep on posting those winners.  Thanks & Merry Christmas

Quote Originally Posted by Crazyman2003:

My system is telling me that Western Michigan is the play and also Over for the total.

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Yes, Greg Ward Jr is a very good QB.  But why is nobody mentioning PJ Walker?  His stats are equal, if not better than Ward's.  This should be a great game.....maybe the best of the day.

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Tuesday Night Under ??????  Where are you Big Daddy???????

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Oklahoma may hit the OVER by themself

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There are no "trap games" when you're 8-0 and playing a quality opponent.

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Hey Myth.....for someone who has supposedly gambled for 50-some years you think you'd know that Phoenix Stadium is INDOOR's.

Boise rolls in this game.  Ajayi runs rampant today.

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Interesting scenario - I read an article today (sorry but I forget where) stating that the payout for a MAC team that made a BCS game would be about $8,000,000 to the conference.  That's $500,000 for each MAC school which is pretty significant since the average school budget for sports is $20 million (again this was from the article).  I'm not saying that NIU is going to roll over in this game but there is virtually no way they will jump from #21 to a BCS game.  On the other hand if Kent can win this game there is a pretty good chance they could get into a BCS game.

I bet and watch a ton of college games and I'll argue with anyone that there are indeed games that are fixed.  Just look back a few weeks ago to the Idaho/BYU game.  I'm not saying this game will be fixed but with 79% of the experts on Kent I think they are the team to bet tonight.  I do not bet the money line on college but I think everything points to a Kent straight up win.

Good luck everybody and thanks for your insights all season long.

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You are an idiot.  That is one of the dumbest things I've ever read on Covers.

Quote Originally Posted by MikeMagz:

Love the comments. Of course I'm going to come on here and see all the Pitt hype. How easy is it to come up with a little bs analysis on how bad KC is and how good Pitt is? Doesn't mean shit. Tomlin keeps this game close out of respect for a fellow African American coach and the Chiefs lose by 3, but give a respectable performance.

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The Tuesday Night under was prominent in MAC games for quite a few seasons.  Last year it was not a "lock" anymore.  Big Daddy - where is your input?
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Going from Hawaii to Nevada then to Texas within a week is a lot of travel time.  3 TD's may be too much to ask.  After last weeks assault Nevada should score in bunches.  Any thoughts?

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Interesting Stat I heard this morning on ESPN.  The defending Super Bowl champion has not lost it's home opener since the 1999 Denver Broncos (1st game without Elway as QB).  Take it for what it's worth but that would not make me want to take Dallas.
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Where is Big Daddy?  We need your infinite wisdom again this season.  WELCOME BACK FOOTBALL !!!!!
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Now that's a good write-up....Thanks

 

Quote Originally Posted by GoVolsKickSomeA:

***CONTINUED***

 

Nevada doesn’t really use the middle of the field; they tend to suck defenses in with the ground game then attack deep on the edges. The pistol offense features a ground attack that is more potent than anything Southern Miss has seen in a while outside of the service academies, but unlike the option, the pistol really sets up the deep ball where you can expect big lanky Wolfpack WR Rishard Matthews to be licking his chops when he sees single coverage. When the Southern Miss safeties inevitably collapse down to help with the run, Matthews has a considerable size advantage on the outside. He measures 6-2 and somewhere in the 220 range. Both starting Southern Miss CBs are each maybe 5-10, 180 lbs. Factor in wingspan and its more like 6+ inches to go along with 40+ pounds. How effective is this strategy? Southern Miss has a high octane passing offense and a great senior QB, they are completing about 60% of their passes. Nevada checks in at about a 69% percent completion rate, #15 in the nation. And they do not have a Heisman finalist on their roster as do most of the teams ahead of Nevada.

All in all, Nevada might not pass for as many yards as Southern Miss, but make no mistake the Pack is going to be taking their fair shots down field which will either result in big plays for the Pack or lead to more running room for the Nevada ground attack which will lead to longer clock-eating drives. All together, Nevada has 6 guys who have 20+ catches and are also averaging over 12 yards per grab. Southern Miss has only 3 guys who fit that bill.

Southern Miss is getting all the defensive praise from most outlets, but do not discount the Nevada D. Their Pass D is middle-of-the-pack from a yardage standpoint, same as Southern Miss. Nevada allows about 226 per game, Southern Miss about 233. But in other areas Nevada really shines. Pass completion percentage allowed for instance. Nevada is #2 in the nation just a hair behind Alabama at 48.9%. Southern Miss checks in at a still decent but way down the list 58.2% allowed. Both teams still should be able to move the ball on each other through the air, but it would be a mistake to assume that QB Austin Davis and Southern Miss are just going to be able to bomb away at will on Nevada.

And last but not least, there is the Motivation angle, which I see working against Southern Miss in a few different ways.

1)       That Houston win was HUGE for the program, arguably way bigger than any bowl win. Will they be focused? Nevada also could be a bit disappointed after having the WAC title in their hands in early November, but they have had more time to digest things. Southern Miss could still be on cloud 9.

2)       The islands. I believe this is Southern Miss’s first trip to Hawaii? Lots of distractions for young 20-somethings. Nevada plays Hawaii here every other year.

3)       And lastly, Nevada might want to erase some bad memories of their last bowl trip here. They were embarrassed in this very same game 2 years ago and might have extra motivation to skip those luaus.

This should be a fun game with plenty of fireworks. Neither D should be able to completely shut down the other’s offense which should make the game competitive throughout. But I like the big play ability of the Pack air attack just a little bit more, all the moreso with the Nevada rushing advantage. On the other side Southern Miss has really made their season with defensive turnovers, specifically INTs. With Nevada playing a more vertical style than what the Eagles have seen in CUSA play, I think any defensive advantage Southern Miss might have by the numbers will get nerfed a little bit..

At the end of the day, I am gonna mildly call for the upset, 34-31 Nevada

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T.Y. Hilton is a difference maker.  By far the best player in this matchup and a beast on special teams.   FIU to cover for me.
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Kent wins the Punt Fest 10 - 9......doubt they'll be much scoring in this one.  Under looks like the safe play.
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As a diciple of the imfamous Tuesday Night Under, I must confess that I too the OVER tonight.  Sorry about that Under Gods but I'll be back next week......although this game isn't over yet !!!!
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Quote Originally Posted by Rockdog:

Houston is good for at least 50 pts and I wouldn't be surprised if they score 60 pts for that matter.  On the other side, Rice should be able to score at least 20 pts.  Do the math and it should go over...

Rockdog - you stole my thunder.  On games like this with a large spread I like looking at the total as well.  My thinking is Houston will score at least 49.  In that case I will bet the OVER as well.  Very, very rarely will both not hit.  There is no way Houston doesn't score at least 49 after getting beat last year at Rice.  Houston does not let up and if they take Keenum out, Cotton Turner is more that just an average backup.  Houston & OVER for me tonight.

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Quote Originally Posted by im_the_greatest:

Looking at last year, 6 of 7 Tuesday nighters went over. What's special about the Tuesday night under? It's special to give your money away?

It's called a trend and the object is to catch one when it hits over and over and over again.  Following BigDaddy's lead, many of us including myself, rode the trend for quite a few years and made alot of money.  It's not what it used to be but still hold some value.  Do yourself a favor and read the revalent posts on these board and then make your own decision on who to bet.  There is some very good info posted weekly.  Good luck.

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Is anybody else having problems with Covers not working properly showing "My Scores"?
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Quote Originally Posted by vue21849:

 For Nevada-that's after playing UNLV in the last game. I wouldn't take Nevada lightly! Any team that can, and HAS beaten Boise St., is deserving of heavy favoritism!

This makes no sense - Colin Kaepernik (however you spell his name) is in the NFL for good reason.  30 points is alot to lay in this game.

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