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Quote Originally Posted by McShady:
I was just playing around on my MLB numbers board and I just saw the best % so far this year on my hometown team and I can't believe I didn't catch it earlier. When the PHILLIES are a FAVORITE, the OVER is 34-14...that's 70%.
Easy CHASE %
Playing that trend here |
McShady | 143 |
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McShady - with that record that has to be a total for Home and Away games - any difference on that % in Home vs Visitor ? Thanks for this thread and all you and Semper do - and please fellow tailers/posters - keep it positive here. A true oasis in the middle of the madness. |
McShady | 143 |
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replied to
Tiger's get another aging RHP to go against tonight. You know the drill...
in MLB Betting
Been following for about a month and know its been a tough stretch for you but have admired your persistence, belief in yourself and most importantly your honesty. Your write up on this game was spot on - maybe the best I've read. Only the 4th inning but no matter what happens from here - you nailed it. Way to go Dad !!
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oddsbuster | 48 |
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Tailed and tallied. Some peeps got some poligizin' to do. Thanks. Keep up the anaysis and GL today
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pucku27 | 200 |
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Quote Originally Posted by ShadowWarrior:
I see the reasoning. I can't see Yanks losing three in a row to TX even as hot as Rangers are. Nor visa versa but if the Series odds are a factor - Rangers are bigger favorites (-135) to win the series than the Yanks (+115) which means that Yanks should have more favorable vig as we go along ??? Am I slightly getting it or no? |
semperfi19 | 535 |
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Semp - where did you get +110. I'm with 3 books and best I can get is even ? (other 2 are -102 and -110)
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semperfi19 | 535 |
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CRAZY STUFF - Gotta Love It. Thanks |
semperfi19 | 535 |
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thanks L IV
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Louis_IV | 26 |
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Winds are blowin in pretty crisply at Wrigley - U6.5 @ E a good bet? Thanks.
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Louis_IV | 26 |
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Is there a website that I can go to and print off the upcoming series with expected starters or do you just piecemeal the info together ? Thanks. |
semperfi19 | 535 |
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Quote Originally Posted by semperfi19:
WOW! If you are asking me would I switch to the other side of the bet. I would most likely just cut my losses and not play the third game. If Verlander is the fav against Joe SMoe the line would be -180 or higher and I will nevr lay that kind of juice.
No - not switch to the other side of the bet on the same series that you have been betting on BUT would you switch to a totally different series and bet on the team that was 0-2 because you thought they had a better chance of winning. (Verlander and Halladay probably bad examples because of the juice) Lets say all things being relatively equal odds/juice wise - would you consider, for that 3rd game bet, betting on an 0-2 team from a different series that what you have been betting on if you felt it was a better bet ? Again - just for sake of discussion. I like your premise and it has certainly gotten me thinking. Another thought - lets say you lay off of game 1 of a series and then you bet on the loser of game 1 in game 2, and then game 3 if necessary. This would give you two games to make your $unit but limit your exposure to only 3 units while keeping the odds of a non-sweep factored in. If I'm overthinking this tell me to shut up and I will. Thanks for your input. |
semperfi19 | 535 |
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Just for the sake of discussion. Lets say there are (5) 3 game series that start on same day. Games 1 - 5 with teams a & b for each game. For the first game you bet on team 3a and it loses. And to keep it simple lets say all the "a" teams lose in the other 4 games. You bet on team 3a in the second game of the series and it loses again. But teams 1a and 2a both won game 2 of their series leaving teams 3a, 4a and 5a as being one game from being swept in their series. And lets say team 4a is Detroit and has Verlander going and 5a is the Phils and they have Halladay going. Team 3a has Joe Schmuck going. Since all (3) teams are 0-2 would you consider going with either 4a or 5a instead of 3a whom you have bet on ?
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semperfi19 | 535 |
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anybody know ?
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Daddiojoe | 5 |
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