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49'rs have an extra weeks rest, the better defense and home field advantage but I don't think they can win or cover. The Saints are clicking on all cylinders right now . Over the last 3 games NO is AVERAGING 547 yards and 45 points per game. In those 3 games Brees has combined for 12 TD passes. The Saints will cause match up problems for the 49rs. They will attack the flats with Sproles and hit Grahm on short yardage routes to open up the long ball. NO -3 |
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Quote Originally Posted by Spccmdd87:
box person Dude your avitar is the construction guy from YMCA. I wouldn't be calling anyone a person if I were you.....Just sayin |
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Quote Originally Posted by AcesBooted:
Urlacher was at halas hall practicing today. Pretty sure he will play! And if he does hes gonna be a monster!! Yes he was and I couldn't agree with you more. I am retracting my earlier post to take the over. |
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Urlacher will not play this weekend. His mother passed away and he will be with his family. My prayers go out to him and his family. I like the over in this game. Bears offense put up 30 last week and look comfortable in the second year of Mike Martz offense.New Orleans is New Orleans and put up 36 last week. Urlacher not playing will have a big impast. this defense is built around him. He had an interception and a fumle revovery returned for a TD. Over 47.5 |
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Soldier fiels turf has been replaced and is very patchy. It will not be a fast surface to play on. Bears will play stingy D and eat clock by feeding the ball to Forte. I'll take the Bears getting points and home and the under. Bears +2 / under 40.5 |
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Quote Originally Posted by gamboholic:
i believe you are wrong. You are right that vegas makes money on juice for sure. But line moved from 4.5 to because heavy money was coming in for Chi not Indy. So to have gamboholics like ourselves take the most easiest pick. Chicago. In reality its rigged, Indy wins outright. This is pretty much their game 4 and if they dont win tonight, their hopes of winning this series at all is demolished. Thank me later. Indy +4 but no need because they win outright! +160 Think you need to re think ur conspiracy theories |
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Quote Originally Posted by gamboholic:
i believe you are wrong. You are right that vegas makes money on juice for sure. But line moved from 4.5 to because heavy money was coming in for Chi not Indy. So to have gamboholics like ourselves take the most easiest pick. Chicago. In reality its rigged, Indy wins outright. This is pretty much their game 4 and if they dont win tonight, their hopes of winning this series at all is demolished. Thank me later. Indy +4 but no need because they win outright! +160 |
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Quote Originally Posted by gamboholic:
Looks to easy to pick Chicago.. line drops from 4.5 to 4? Vegas is begging the suckers to pick Chicago. Indy wins outright. This is a rediculous comment . The line moved from 4.5 to 4 because heavy money was coming in on Indy. Vegas makes their money on juice it's not in their best interest to have too much money on 1 side or the other. |
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Here's some food for thought. 87% of the betting public is on the Saints. Yet the line has only moved a half point from openeing? Cowboys 4-0 ATS at home on Thanksgiving, Cowboys 5-0 ATS in their last five Thursday games and 15-5 ATS in their 20 November games. I dont even like the Cowboys but I'm siding with the books on this one! Dallas +4 (buying a 1/2 point at 15%) HAPPY TURKEY DAY!! |
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Philli is 10-4 ATS in their last 14 at Dallas . They are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 playoff games and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 as road playoff team. Dallas 1-5 ATS in thier last 6 playof games. 1-4 ATS in their last 5 as a favorite. Also taking in to consideration the emotional tilt twards Philli as it has shown the majority of teams who are blown out tend to cover the following week at a very high percentage rate. Additionally it is very difficult for division rivals to sweep. Finally teams such as Dallas which are huge public favorites are always overvalued. I'm playin this one safe and teasing Philli and the over. Philli avg 31 ppg going in to last week before Dallas shut them out. They are the 5th highest scoring offense in the league. i beleive revnge will play a big role for Philli. Dallas will put up at least 20. I see this being a shoot out. both teams 11-0 and 11-1 respectively on the over when scoring over 20 points. (6 pt tease) Philli +10 /Over 38
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All are sensible picks, however multiple team parlys are a kiss of death. The books love them. Just take your picks and make straight bets. Beef up your bets on Philli and Balt and take the points. Jets and GB on the money line. Build your bank roll for the Superbowl and then double it on the game. Take your winnings and buy yourself or your girl something nice. You may hit a multiple team parlay once in a blue moon but you'll break yourself trying to do it. Good luck whatever you do though |
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Quote Originally Posted by Mr. Insight:
Boy all the fish are jumping at this BAMA team.... Texas large here... Good luck all Well that statement made absolutely NO sense. The line has moved a full point from opening from Bama -5 to Bama -4 becuse the public is pounding Texas. The 20 people posting in this forum is not going to have an effect on this game. This is why I rarely post in these forums anymore. I remember when you could come on this site to get valuable capping info from experienced cappers. Now it's mostly just a bunch of hoo haws offering opinions and picks with no facts that back up their statements. Stuff like " MY TEMAS GOING TO ROLL HERE BECAUSE THE OTHER TEAM SUCKS! BET YOUR WHOLE BANK ROLL BECAUSE I SAID SO! HEE HAW! This doesn't apply to everyone but anyone who has been reading and posting for a long time knows wht I mean. Time to start searching for a new website this one has been over run ny amatures! Sorry to take up space on the forum but had to vent. I'm really sick of this. You read through pages and pages of bull shit to get maybe 5 or 6 valid posts. |
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Quote Originally Posted by nbrothEon:
I understand how the line movement works, what i meant was that i dont understand why everybody in on the bulls like you also say. Thx for explaining anyways Everyone is pushing the Bulls because they have had a much more difficult schedule. Sac's loses have been to OKC,ATL,SA &NO only one of those teams have a winning record (ATL 9-2). Bulls loses have come agasinst much better teams MIA, BOS, DEN, TOR none of which have losing records and combine for a record of 27-13. For a bench mark you look at the fact both teams have played San Antonio. Chicago beat them by 7 points and held them to 85 points total (92-85). Sacramento lost by 19 points and surrendered 113 points (94-113). Sacraments has not given up any less then 97 points to any team this year! They have won 4 straight but those wins have come against Houston, OKC, Golden State & Utah whon are a losy 18-21 combined. Finally Sacmento has no one to guard Derick Rose and Brad Miller will be at a high level playing against his former team. Andres Nocioi will be out for Sac with a hip injury. The spread may be over valued now at -3 but a good bet is Chicago SU on the money line. I sure wouldnt bet against them! |
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Quote Originally Posted by Jumptown_Johnny:
Once per season, Cleveland shocks the world. Tonight they do it again. Any given Monday . . . (H) DAWGS (ML) +450 WOW , If you're so willing to give your money away then can I have some? |
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Baltimore sitting at 4-4 the need this win to be over .500 and stay in the playoff race. Cle season is over they have nothing to play for. Baltimore has the statistical and emotional edge/. Cle averaging less then 10 ppg going up a tough Balt defense. Have to go big on Baltimore. I bought .5 point for -120 Baltimore -10 |
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I heard when he called her on the cell phone the code word for the coast is clear was SUEY! SUEY! What the hell all the money that guys got and that's what he decides to cheat on his wife with?! He must not have been getting ANY action at home! |
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The Bears will control the clock and keep this game close buy using Matt Forte to grind the ball vs Atalntas lacking rush defense. This game will not play out as the shoot out every one thinks it will. 70% of publis action on Atlanta with sharp action coming by way of Chicago with in the last hour.
Bears +4
Under 46
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Excellent points made for both teams on this thread.This is a difficult play. Miss average margin of victory is 22.5. Alabam's margin of victory is 25.6 with a slightly more difficult schedule. However 4 of the 5 games played for Bama have been n their home field. Ole Miss has only played 1 home game this year the other 3 games they have played have been on the road.
I'm going with a 6 point tease on this one.....
Ole miss +10 & Wisc +22
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Going with the Badgers +16.5 is giving OSU too much credit. Wisc. has the better QB. OSU has the better defense I think the big factor in this game is the fact forecast shows thunder storms tomorrow. Points will be hard to come by. Covering more then 2 TD's in that weather will be very difficult for OSU to do vs the Badgers.
Wisc +16.5
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I can confirm one casino which will remain anananous took in 80% of 80,000 bets on the side of Ole Miss through 3:00 pm this aternoon. Heavy sharp action came in at 2:30 that drove th line to 4.5, since then there has been acton on SC but wagers for Ole Miss are approx 2-1 greate then SC.
Good or bad take it for what it's worth.......
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