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i want to add to the question, ML ers say: "this team has a 35% chance of winning at whatever +410 you gotta love that." where the hell did you get 35%. i bet horses too, but i still dont know where you get a % for the under dog to win.
do you just say hell i think duke beats unc 2 out of 10 times on a nuetral court so 20% or do you actually have a system or formula for these percentages?
im drunk so that might come off wrong, i have the ultimate respect for people that cap this way, and really want to know.
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Turbo21 | 34 |
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lindetrain, i agree
i picked louisville yesterday, and some schmoe said, you must not have seen the boise game.
i was like what the hell does that have to do with anything. definetely treat each game seperate.
i didnt know anyone would take one fav because some other team covered before about a week
ago, but ive seen a lot of it around here.
nd/lsu has nothing to do with fla/osu
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Joe Public | 70 |
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heres one i like, colin cowherd calls it the sunday qb.
i just look for a qb that might be able to will his team to victory, regardless of what happens he wont let his team lose. or a big mismatch at the qb spot.
it is more about the heart and leadership than the arm to me. chris simms-no......major applewhite-yes
flutie-yes....jeff george-no
its a coincidence that the #1 qb in the upcoming draft is playin tonight but ill use him as an example.
if lsu is up 10 and getting pressure on b. quinn, is he gonna step up and play his best game ever, like vince did? or is he gonna get mad at his line and make bad decisions like manning does?
i think the latter, but cowherd would say take the better pro.
hope that was readable, good thread & discussion fellas.
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Joe Public | 70 |
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Yeah Im gathering youre a decent capper/great politician
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Rizzo | 75 |
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Quote Originally Posted by Ragone15:
this is my question except sober.
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Rizzo | 75 |
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I take public numbers with a grain of salt and see the "smart money" why dont I ever go say 6-6 for a week ? Im either 10-2 or 2-9 does everybody feel this way? Why does the public either win big or lose big?
I feel like a coin flip shouldnt be better than an amatuer but I know it is? I can figure this out in about 10 years but I'd appreciate the answer from a pro.
thanks
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Rizzo | 75 |
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Quote Originally Posted by CRISIS:
mine is THE GR88TEST SHOW ON TURF, cause i have harrison holt and andre johnson along with buldger alexander j wilkens and balt and indy on d Is that pronounced Greighty-eightest show on turf?
Brilliant.
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uscsom09 | 76 |
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My name is Leroy's Browns like the song, bad bad Leroy Brown, but my favorite name is Smakterville SpamJavelins. Thats classic. It leads to some pretty clever trash talk.
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uscsom09 | 76 |
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