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Thread Author Aussieguy Post Entries
Mr_SUREBOL
Mr_SUREBOL
welcome back mate.
Amazing how all of a sudden all the hard wood fans are back
Hope it's a prosperous season for you and everyone else around here. Cheers and my Best sishes brother
AUSSIE  
Aussieguy
Aussieguy
Yeah truly incredible. I guess moral of the story, Don't mess with the trend.
Aussieguy
Aussieguy
i guess not
Aussieguy
Aussieguy
will this be the final score NOW??? we can't afford not even a FG...........................
Aussieguy
Aussieguy

I'm confused here, if it opened at 42 and people are slamming the over, would that not mean that the line would go up and not down. Is this one of those cases of reverse line movement.....

That's where public consensus and Sharp Syndicates collide. Their money keeps this number down.

AC yeah you can't be anymore correct about the law of averages coming into effect here. I'm hoping the push last week was the beginning of another trend. Hopefully it goes one better this week, but I also appreciate pipedoctor's post where he mentioned Manning MNF=Over! It's a valid point for sure and I've taken into consideration.

This is just a "couldn't resist" wager, as we count down 24 more hrs. There'll be a couple of picks in the Pick 'n' Roll section tomorrow.

Good luck everyone and let's hope this baby stays well and truly UNDER   

Aussieguy
Aussieguy
Quote Originally Posted by wasabitobiko:



You sure you don't mean over 84% on the OVER?..  That's what I'm reading.. and the line opened at 42 and has moved south to 40..

That would support fading the public Auss..



You're perfectly correct mate. My bad. That should read 84% on the over, rather than under. Just my typo.
Aussieguy
Aussieguy
23W-15L YTD
Has the MNF Under draught been broken yet?! Well you wouldn't think so when the MNF Over sits so pretty at 8-0-1 this NFL season!!!!!! Therefore, would I be way too stupid to take a stab at the Under here???? Or is it more like a sucidial case, where one is stabbing his own self by taking this Under?!
Whatever the case, all i know is that Tennessee boast the stingiest defense, allowing just 66 points during their last six games, and they rank third in the league in total defense, where they've given up just 268.5 yards per game (179 through the air and 89.5 on the ground).
I also find it quite interesting that over 84% of the bets taken so far have been on the under, yet the total hasn't budged at all. I don't think it'll move much either. ...  Sharp money has been on the under
Pick: UNDER 40.5 for a 2.5 Unit play
 Good luck
AUSSIE

 

Aussieguy
Aussieguy
Miami +0.5 H/T 2 Units  
SD v Saints UNDER 23 H/T 3Units
Tampa @ Dallas UNDER 20 H/T 2Units
Seahawks +5.5 6Units
 
A very good and profitable Sunday Football for me, but sincere apologies to everyone who didn't get onto the last one
 Best of luck with the rest of your pending wagers guys
AUSSIE
Aussieguy
Aussieguy
Yeah I thought you did miss this NMP! otherwise would have heard from you .   very sorry mate.  I feel for you (and cubboy and whoever else) having to leave with 1-2  and 3 Units down for the day. And then miss out on a 6 Unit play. What can you do mate. Sorry all I can say.  
Have good day (or night) everyone
 
Aussieguy
Aussieguy

let it go cub. Just take my word on this. Yes, really sad you missed this one, but have some patience brother. (I know easier said than done!) But really have some patience and don't chase.

THere's MNF, and then like I said, NBA is just 1 day away. It's a long season.  

Take care mate  

Aussieguy
Aussieguy

No mate, I'm done in the bullpen for the year.

Let's get this and then from here on, it's Hoops season. But first things let's cash this Seahawks' pick. .....  It'll need to be more than a huge effort by the 9ers for us to lose this, but never say never I guess.

Let's go Seattle  

Aussieguy
Aussieguy

kudos Seahawks probably couldn't have asked for a bloody better start myself.

Hope they keep this shit goin. Let's get the paper here ...

Aussieguy
Aussieguy
without bumping my other thread, let me just say we were extremely unlucky on that previous Miami half time bet. Extremely unlucky. That should have been money... 
But what can you do.
Good luck everyone AND Let's get the paper here.
I'm out  
Aussieguy
Aussieguy
Quote Originally Posted by phark:

Only reason I like Sea is that Joe Public is all over SF, SF wins by a fg

Not just that, but also it's a terrible terrible line given the attrocious form of Seattle. They've been way too slow off the block, and that's why the line is where it's at. In the eyes of everyone is a very "do-able" job for SF to win by a "mere" TD or "just" by a couple of FG 

(if that makes any sense at all!)

Aussieguy
Aussieguy
The visiting team certainly has the edge here. This is great price offered on Seahawks. SF's defense is virtually non-existant and I expect Wallace to improve last week completion rate against SF tonight. Lastly, it is not easy to beat teams twice in a row ....
Playing it large this one
SEAHAWKS+5.5 for 6Units
AUSSIE
Aussieguy
Aussieguy
Down over 3 units1W-2L
Aussieguy
Aussieguy
21W-13L YTD
Again my sincere apologies, but as I said in the College Forum also, just very strapped for time at the moment, and this short one will have to do.
 
BILLS @ MIAMI. I am making this bet, Due to the opening Vegas line, current book movements and the betting trends that have emerged.
Pick: MIAMI DOLPHINS +0.5 Half Time Bet only 2 Units
 
SD v NEW ORLEANS This is a HUGE game for both teams. Very high expectation placed on both before the season kicked off and both have dissapointed everyone this far.  Who wants this more? I guess they both do, but Hopefully getting used to Wembley and the dewy turf there and all the nerves should keep the first half to a low scoring affair
Pick: UNDER 23 Half Time Bet only 3Units
 
TAMPA @ DALLAS Dallas is reeling at the moment, and Tampa should play them tough. Again, no interest in sides here, and no opinion who will cover, but I'm playing this due to the opening and the consequent current line moves.
Pick: UNDER 20.5 Half Time Bet only 2 Units
Good luck to all of us who play these
AUSSIE
 
  
Aussieguy
Aussieguy

Quote Originally Posted by NOMOREPPARLAYS:

Missed your plays these last couple of days.  Must be busy with family and preparing for the new NBA season.  Best of Luck.
Yes mate, busy with kids sports being a shuttle service and scouting around for the NBA season as I have to send Covers my daily plays. And because of the time difference b/w us and them, that puts some extra unpleasant pressure on me having to come up pretty early with my daily Picks. Hopefully, it doesn't upset or screw up my routine! On top of that pretty busy configuring and managin my own site as well.

So yeah there you have it.  I've been betting my selections but haven't been able to post here. As I've said before, I feel bad (like I did today) to just slam a pick here and not justify that particular bet! So I'd rather not post at all. Obviously, not that it'll make a difference on the outcome of the bet, but it just gives you and whoever else some idea as to why I'm betting this play and then you can weigh it for yourself if it's worth tailing it or now! Do you know what I Mean?

Anyhow, we nicely cashed this 4 Unit baby with plenty of time to spare!

On to the hard wood now on Tuesday   Hopefully we keep travelling the same way and the same pace if not better

Cheers crooked and krtinberg and everyone else.  I'm out for the rest of the day

Best of luck with the rest of your plays  

 

Aussieguy
Aussieguy
15W-9L YTD
 
Sorry no time for a write up on this ...
 
Pick :  OVER 42 4Unit play
AUSSIE 
 
ESPNTED
ESPNTED
The LakerShow will make us some sweet cash this season buddy. Well done mate. Nice bet and even better, a GREAT win
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