Tuesday's MLB League Championship Series Betting Preview and Odds

Oct 16, 2017 |

It should be a tremendous day of baseball Tuesday with a pair of crucial games hitting the field. The Yankees will host the Astros for Game 4 of the ALCS, followed by the Dodgers and Cubs at Wrigley Field in Chicago for Game 3 of the NLCS.

Houston Astros at New York Yankees (HOU +130, NYY -140, Total: 8.5)

Astros lead series 2-1

The New York Yankees woke up offensively just in time on their home field and hope to build on a big night when the Houston Astros visit for Game 4 of the American League Championship Series on Tuesday. The Yankees managed only two runs while losing the first two games but exploded for eight runs in the first four innings on Monday before going on to post a critical 8-1 triumph.

Aaron Judge, who was 4-for-31 with 19 strikeouts in the playoffs coming into Monday's contest, and Todd Frazier (2-for-15 in the previous five games) each belted a three-run homer to break out of postseason slumbers as New York avoided playing another elimination game. Sonny Gray will try to help the Yankees even the series and keep Jose Altuve under control as the AL batting champion is 11-for-30 lifetime against him and hitting .481 with three homers in the postseason. Houston will counter with Lance McCullers Jr., who struck out 132 batters over 118 2/3 innings during the regular season but is looking for his first victory since June 24. The Astros, who led the majors in several offensive categories this campaign and averaged six runs along with 12.3 hits in the AL Division Series, have managed five runs and 15 hits over the first three games against the Yankees.

TV: 5:08 p.m. ET, FS1

WEATHER REPORT:



PITCHING MATCHUP: Astros RH Lance McCullers Jr. (0-0, 6.00 ERA) vs. Yankees RH Sonny Gray (0-1, 8.10)

McCullers makes his second career playoff start and first this postseason after giving up two runs and three hits over three innings of relief against Boston on Oct. 8. The 24-year-old Tampa native, who gave up two runs over 6 1/3 frames in his other playoff start in 2015, went 7-4 with a 4.25 ERA during the regular season but was winless in his last eight turns. Didi Gregorius is 5-for-8 against McCullers, who went 1-0 with a 2.38 ERA in two starts versus the Yankees during an eight-game stretch this year in which he went 5-0.

Gray has had plenty of rest since permitting three runs on three hits and four walks over 3 1/3 innings against Cleveland in the ALDS for his eighth loss in 12 decisions since joining the Yankees. The 27-year-old Vanderbilt product is 2-3 with a 5.65 ERA in five starts at Yankee Stadium this year and gave up five runs over five innings in a loss to Houston on June 20 while with Oakland. Gray is winless in three career postseason outings, but he pitched well for the Athletics during the 2013 playoffs (2.08 ERA in two starts).

TRENDS:

* Astros are 40-18 in their last 58 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
* Astros are 1-7 in McCullers Jr.'s last 8 starts.
* Yankees are 20-7 in their last 27 home games.
* Yankees are 1-7 in their last 8 League Championship games.
* Over is 7-1 in McCullers Jr.'s last 8 starts overall.
* Home team is 19-9 in Guccione's last 28 games behind home plate.

View full list of betting trends for this matchup here.

COVERS CONSENSUS: The public is leaning toward the home chalk Yankees with 52 percent of the picks. Over is picking up 70 percent of the totals wagers. View full consensus data here.



Los Angeles Dodgers at Chicago Cubs (LAD +100, CHC -115, Total: 8)

Dodgers lead series 2-0

The Los Angeles Dodgers have yet to lose in the postseason and are two wins from reaching their first World Series since 1988. The defending World Series champion Chicago Cubs have three straight home games beginning Tuesday to try to prevent them from getting any closer.

The Cubs have had the Dodgers’ number at Wrigley Field recently, winning two of three there during last year’s NLCS and taking two of three when the Dodgers visited in April. Los Angeles’ pitchers have dominated this series, though, allowing only three runs through two games as the bullpen has combined for eight scoreless frames and allowed one baserunner and no hits. “I think up to this point we've done everything we can to put ourselves in a good position, but there is a long way to go,” Dodgers manager Dave Roberts told reporters. “It’s definitely noted how resilient that club is over there. They're going to do everything they can to win a game, and we're going to do the same.” To get back into the series, the Cubs will have to get the big bats in the middle of their lineup going as Chicago is hitting .117 in the series and stars Kris Bryant and Anthony Rizzo are a combined 1-for-14 with six strikeouts.

TV: 9 p.m. ET, TBS

WEATHER REPORT:



PITCHING MATCHUP: Dodgers RH Yu Darvish (1-0, 1.80 ERA) vs. Cubs RH Kyle Hendricks (1-0, 3.27)

Darvish won his only start in the NLDS, allowing one run and two hits while striking out seven over five innings to beat Arizona for his first win in three postseason starts. The 31-year-old went 4-3 with a 3.44 ERA in nine regular-season starts after the Dodgers acquired him from Texas, and has allowed only two earned runs over his last four starts dating to the regular season. Darvish faced the Cubs last season while with the Rangers and allowed two runs over 4 1/3 innings in a loss at Wrigley Field.

Hendricks is 2-1 with a 2.60 ERA in nine postseason starts, but wasn’t at his best in Game 5 of the NLDS against Washington, allowing four runs --and two homers -- over four innings. The 27-year-old helped the Cubs clinch last year’s NLCS by throwing 7 1/3 scoreless innings against the Dodgers a year ago. Hendricks is 2-1 with a 3.15 ERA in three regular-season meetings against Los Angeles.

TRENDS:

* Dodgers are 1-10 in their last 11 League Championship road games.
* Cubs are 16-5 in their last 21 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
* Under is 6-0-1 in Dodgers' last 7 vs. National League Central.
* Under is 6-1 in Cubs' last 7 playoff home games.
* Under is 24-6-1 in Hendricks' last 31 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
* Under is 12-2 in the last 14 meetings in Chicago.

View full list of betting trends for this matchup here.

COVERS CONSENSUS: The public is leaning toward the home chalk Cubs with 60 percent of the picks. Under is grabbing 55 percent of the totals wagers. View full consensus data here.



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