Six best ways to bet the 2018 NBA Draft odds

Jun 19, 2018 |

It's time for more awkward celebrations and ridiculous suits!

The NBA Draft takes place this Thursday at New York's Barclays Center, with this year's edition boasting one of the more intriguing classes in memory. A clear No. 1 has emerged – but there's plenty of uncertainty behind him, beginning with the No. 2 pick.

Here are six draft props to consider (odds courtesy Bet365):

Luca Doncic Draft Position: 2.5

Over  -188
Under  +137

With the Phoenix Suns all but guaranteed to select big man and local star Deandre Ayton with the first overall pick, the drama begins at No. 2, where the Sacramento Kings are currently slated to pick. With the choice likely to come down to either international star Luka Doncic and sensational Duke forward Marvin Bagley III, it would be silly for the Kings to go with anyone other than Doncic. The 19-year-old has been playing in the ACB League with professionals for years, and hasn't looked the least bit out of place. Doncic is ready to make the Kings a lot better right now – and they know that, which makes the under price a steal.


Marvin Bagley III Draft Position: 3.5

Over  -400
Under  +275

There's a great chance that, five years from now, Bagley is the best player to come out of the draft by a comfortable margin. Even if the Kings decide they need a playmaking guard more than they need a versatile forward, there's little chance Bagley slips past a Hawks team that is desperate to replace the frontcourt scoring it lost with the departures of Al Horford and Paul Millsap. Atlanta was also one of the worst rebounding teams in the league this past season, and Bagley will provide significant improvement in that area. This is as close to a draft slam dunk as you'll find – so play it safe and take the over.

Pick: OVER

Jaren Jackson Draft Position: 3.5

Over -225
Under +162

Jackson's exact draft position has been one of the hardest to pin down. On one hand, the versatile big man has shown flashes of immense potential. On the other, his collegiate numbers weren't that great (outside of blocked shots) and he doesn't have the same offensive chops as the two bigs listed above. Jackson is a sure-fire top-six selection – but the chances of him going ahead of any of the first three guys on the list aren't good. And if a top lottery team is willing to take a shot on Michael Porter Jr. instead, Jackson could fall out of the top five altogether. The over is the strong play here.

Pick: OVER

Mo Bamba Draft Position: 4.5

Over -225
Under +162

Had the draft order fallen differently, we might be talking about Bamba as a top-three pick. But with each of the top four teams in desperate need of players who can provide scoring punch, there's little chance Bamba will fit the bill. But for teams in the market for a defensive anchor, Bamba is the player of their dreams; the Texas standout averaged a ridiculous 3.7 blocked shots per game last season while finishing 12th in rebounds per game. That makes him a terrific fit for teams like Chicago or New York; unfortunately for Bamba, those teams pick seventh and ninth, respectively. This over is a near-lock.

Pick: OVER

Michael Porter Jr. Draft Position: 6.5

Over +120
Under -163

Porter is a bettor's nightmare. Tabbed as a potential No. 1 pick heading into the season, a serious back injury curtailed his campaign and sent his draft stock into a tailspin. Any number of lottery teams would love to have a talent like Porter on the roster – but as we've seen in drafts past, those teams need to be patient as Porter continues to recover. Teams at the top of this draft are leaning toward sure things, which means that Porter could very well fall into the high-single-digits or low-teens. With his ultimate landing spot a total mystery, you're better off taking the superior odds and praying he doesn't go in the top-six.

Pick: OVER

Trae Young Draft Position: 6.5

Over -120
Under -120

Three teams in the top six could use an electrifying guard talent – and with the Kings likely zeroing in on Luka Doncic to fill that void (if they don't go with Bagley instead), that leaves Memphis and Orlando as likely landing spots for Young. The Oklahoma product drew comparisons to Russell Westbrook with his scoring prowess, incredible passing vision and rebounding ability, but he's still raw and mistake-prone. The Grizzlies and Magic both offer soft landing spots for Young, giving him every opportunity to cut his teeth as an NBA point guard while providing maximum playing time. He shouldn't slip further than No. 6.


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