Pac-12 tournament quarterfinal odds, predictions and NCAA basketball best bets

Mar 14, 2019 |

The Pac-12 tournament rolls into its second day at T-Mobile Arena on the Las Vegas Strip, and perhaps somewhat oddly, the No. 1 seed is in the first of Thursday’s four quarterfinals. Covers helps you unlock the Pac-12 tourney odds with must-read betting notes on all four games.

SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA TROJANS VS. WASHINGTON HUSKIES

Odds: Washington -5.5, 136 at DraftKings Sportsbook
Start Time: 3 p.m. ET, T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas
Season Series: WAS 1-0, WAS 1-0 ATS, 0-1 O/U

Washington finished at the top of what most would agree was a bad Pac-12 heap, and therefore got a bye into the quarterfinal round. The Huskies (24-7 SU, 16-14-1 ATS) ended the regular season on a sour note, losing at home to Oregon 55-47 as 5.5-point favorites. In fact, Washington has failed to cover four in a row and six of its last eight.

Southern Cal had a much longer skid to the regular-season finish line, going 2-7 SU and ATS in its last nine games. But the ninth-seeded Trojans (16-16 SU, 14-18 ATS) got back on track by beating No. 8 seed Arizona 78-65 as 2-point underdogs in Wednesday’s opening round.

Perhaps the more interesting aspect of this game is the total. Washington was a solid Under bet all season at 21-10, and the total has gone low in five of the Huskies’ last six neutral-court games. Long-term, Washington is on a 42-15 Under run in Pac-12 play (73.7 percent), and USC is 23-10 to the Under in its last 33 conference games (69.7 percent). So the Under is definitely worth a good look today.

 

COLORADO BUFFALOES VS. OREGON STATE BEAVERS

Odds: Oregon State -2, 139 at DraftKings Sportsbook
Start Time: 5:30 p.m. ET, T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas
Season Series: OREST 1-0, OREST 1-0 ATS, 1-0 O/U

Oregon State snared the Pac-12’s No. 4 seed, and with it the last of the opening-round byes, despite losing four of its last six games. The Beavers (18-12 SU, 18-11-1 ATS) finished the regular season with an 85-77 road win over Washington State as 6-point faves.

Fifth-seeded Colorado already has a tourney game under its belt, topping No. 12 seed California 56-51 as 10-point favorites Wednesday. That put the Buffaloes at 9-2 SU and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games.

The Buffs also ran their Under streak to 18-7 (4-1 last five), with the win over Cal falling miles short of the 137.5 total. On Oregon State’s ledger, the total has gone low in eight of the Beavers’ last nine neutral-site contests. Much like the USC-Washington tilt, the Under 139 merits strong consideration in this game.

UCLA BRUINS VS. ARIZONA STATE SUN DEVILS

Odds: Arizona State -4.5, 156 at DraftKings Sportsbook
Start Time: 9 p.m. ET, T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas
Season Series: ASU 1-0, ASU 1-0 ATS, 0-1 O/U

UCLA has the rich and storied history, but won’t even sniff the NCAA Tournament this year unless it makes a highly unlikely run through the Pac-12 tournament. The seventh-seeded Bruins (17-15 SU, 13-19 ATS) did, however, get a Round 1 win, dumping No. 10 seed Stanford 79-72 as 1.5-point ‘dogs.

No. 2 seed Arizona State earned a bye after winning five of its last six regular-season games (4-2 ATS). And when ASU and UCLA connected during the regular season, the Sun Devils (21-9 SU, 16-13-1 ATS) posted an 84-73 road victory as 1.5-point pups.

With the Pac-12 having a down year, to put it mildly, Arizona State knows the conference is likely a two-bid league at best in the NCAA Tournament. A loss here could leave ASU as the odd team out. Consider the rested and motivated Sun Devils -4.5 against the spread tonight.

 

OREGON DUCKS VS. UTAH UTES

Odds: Oregon Ducks -4.5, 137 at DraftKings Sportsbook 
Start Time: 11:30 p.m. ET, T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas
Season Series: ORE 1-0, ORE 1-0 ATS, 1-0 O/U

This could well be the best game of the day, and if Arizona State stubs its toe, the winner of this matchup could work its way into consideration for the Pac-12’s second NCAA bid.

That said, Oregon might just be a sneaky-good-enough No. 6 seed to run all the way to the Pac-12 title and snare the automatic berth. The Ducks (20-12 SU, 16-15 ATS) have taken flight at the right time, winning and cashing five in a row. That includes an absolute drubbing of No. 11 seed Washington State in Wednesday’s opening round, as Oregon rolled 84-51 laying 11.5 points.

Prior to that, Oregon capped the regular season by beating tourney No. 1 seed Washington 55-47 on the road catching 5.5 points.

Utah went 3-1 SU and ATS in its last four regular-season games to snag the No. 3 seed and a first-round bye. But when the Utes (17-13 SU, 15-15 ATS) had home court against Oregon on Jan. 31, the Ducks emerged with a 78-72 win as 2.5-point underdogs.

In fact, Oregon has dominated this rivalry ever since Utah entered the Pac-12 in 2011, going 14-1 SU and 11-2-2 ATS. Flying with the Ducks -4.5 would seem a prudent play in this matchup.

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