We're back for the final round of Covers' Football Contest Countdown for the 2021 season as we pick the five games most likely to be bet, against the spread, by football pool contestants for the NFL's Week 18 slate.
Hosts Adam Chernoff and Las Vegas Cris some important information: as this is Week 18, and with a staggered schedule, players could be rested at the last minute, so many of these lines could dramatically shift by Saturday's deadline to submit contest picks.
Check out all of Adam and LVC's selections below and find out which teams they landed on. They're here to help you decipher what the weekly picks will be when they go live every Thursday at 1 p.m. ET/10 a.m. PT — coinciding with the release of the Circa Million lines — and give you advice on what they expect to be the consensus plays.
Top betting contest consensus plays for Week 18
Adam and LVC felt believed it would be counter-productive to speculate on popular Week 18 selections as of Thursday, with many lines very likely to move a number of points between now and Saturday's submission deadline.
Both felt that Washington -7 and Green Bay -3.5 were potentially useful plays, but they strongly advise all contest participants to wait as long as possible before making picks, so as to have the most up-to-date information on who is suiting up.
Season-long correct selections: 28.
Top Week 18 consensus pick head-to-head
After winning 10 of the first 16 weeks, LVC has locked up the season-long top consensus pick head-to-head competition — and earned himself a steak dinner (and finally a visit to Golden Steer) courtesy of Adam!
[Adam and LVC's records were based on who chose the higher-selected game each week.]
Looking back
Adam and LVC's correctly predicted one of the five-most selected teams last week. Check out the Top 5 picks from Week 17:
- Packers -7 (vs Vikings)
- Rams -3.5 (@ Ravens)
- Titans -3 (vs Dolphins)
- Cardinals +6 (@ Cowboys)
- Steelers +3.5 (vs Browns)
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— Circa Sports (@CircaSports) January 2, 2022
Week 17 Selections
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Covers Consensus
Here are the Top 10 plays this week, according to our consensus numbers. Please note that these percentages are compiled from a number of different books, and can include variations in game-to-game spreads. Please visit our Covers Consensus page to see the consensus results at a specific odds number.
Why consensus is important for betting contests
Making winning picks is only half the battle when competing in betting contests! You're not just trying to get as many right as you can — you're also trying to separate yourself from every other contestant in the field.
Identifying the spreads most competitors are likely to bet on, and then isolating the ones that you feel strongly about (and ones you think are troublesome), is the biggest edge in gaining extra points on the competition — and not falling behind when the action doesn't go your way.
Watch the video below for our best NFL betting contest strategies and check out the full details on the best available NFL betting contests for the 2021 season.
Previous episodes
- Week 1
- Week 2
- Week 3
- Week 4
- Week 5
- Week 6
- Week 7
- Week 8
- Week 9
- Week 10
- Week 11
- Week 12
- Week 13 (not available)
- Week 14
- Week 15
- Week 16
- Week 17
