The Prez

NCAAF Power Rankings: Week 9

By The Prez - Covers Expert

There are some minor rumblings in the Top 5, but the major moves come in the middle of the Week 9 power rankings. Cincy, Georgia Tech and Pitt move by leaps and bounds.

College Football - Top 25

Week 9 Rank Last Week Change Team W-L
(ATS) 		Power Rating Team Comments
1 1 no change in rankings Florida 7-0
(3-3-0) 		-20.75 If the Gators don't play better than they have in the past few weeks, especially a frustrated Tim Tebow, they could well be upset this weekend by Georgia ? which had an extra week to prepare.
2 3 move up in rankings1 Alabama 8-0
(5-3-0) 		-18.52 So maybe the Tide aren't invincible either after being very fortunate to win at Tennessee. The bye week came at the right time, and the SEC West title is likely on the line in two weeks against LSU.
3 2 move down in rankings1 Texas 7-0
(2-4-1) 		-18.13 What should be the final true test of the regular season comes in Stillwater on Saturday night. And the Horns have owned the Cowboys under Mack Brown.
4 4 no change in rankings Boise State 7-0
(5-2-0) 		-16.15 Unfortunately for Boise State, it fell behind TCU in the BCS standings and likely will continue to lose ground to the Frogs. Kellen Moore by all rights should be a Heisman finalist.
5 5 no change in rankings Oregon 6-1
(5-2-0) 		-16.10 All that hard work Chip Kelly and Co. have put in to turn the season around goes right out the window if the Ducks can't beat USC on Saturday. It?s a shame that game is on the same time as Texas-OSU.
6 15 move up in rankings9 Cincinnati 7-0
(5-2-0) 		-15.70 Tony Pike is iffy to get back for this week's game against Syracuse, which is the Bearcats' final away game until Dec. 5 at Pitt in a possible Big East de facto title game.
7 7 no change in rankings Iowa 8-0
(5-2-0) 		-15.10 I still say the Hawkeyes are more lucky than good and won?t be convinced otherwise. Huge potential-letdown game this week against Indiana.
8 9 move up in rankings1 Texas Christian 7-0
(4-3-0) 		-15.05 TCU passed that BYU test with flying colors. Really only one more stands in the way of a BCS berth: home to Utah on Nov. 14.
9 22 move up in rankings13 Georgia Tech 7-1
(5-2-0) 		-15.00 The Yellow Jackets should send Clemson a thank-you card (see Virginia Tech). They go out of conference this week at Vandy, but with only Wake Forest and Duke left, the ACC Coastal looks like Georgia Tech's.
10 10 no change in rankings Southern California 6-1
(2-5-0) 		-14.31 If Oregon State can put up 36 points and nearly 500 yards of offense on the Trojans, what is steamrolling Oregon going to do to that unit?
11 8 move down in rankings3 Virginia Tech 5-2
(3-4-0) 		-14.10 That Miami loss to Clemson actually hurt Virginia Tech, because the Hokies lose a head-to-head tiebreaker with Georgia Tech but probably would have won a three-team tie.
12 11 move down in rankings1 Louisiana State 6-1
(3-4-0) 		-13.68 The Tigers completely control their destiny in the SEC, and a national title shot is not out of the question. Look for them to struggle some against Tulane this week with Alabama next after that.
13 16 move up in rankings3 Penn State 7-1
(4-4-0) 		-12.98 Pretty impressive performance in the Big House by PSU, where it hadn't won since 1996. Major trap-game potential this week against Northwestern with Ohio State the following week.
14 6 move down in rankings8 Ohio State 6-2
(6-2-0) 		-12.50 We may get to see Ohio State lay another egg in a BCS bowl, as the Buckeyes completely control their destiny in the Big Ten and are probably the only team that can trip up Iowa. A tune up for Penn State this week against New Mexico State.
15 18 move up in rankings3 Oklahoma 4-3
(3-3-1) 		-12.25 The Sooners' dominating effort over Kansas, in the Jayhawks' house, showed yet again how much better the Big 12 South is than the North.
16 17 move up in rankings1 Brigham Young 6-2
(4-4-0) 		-11.96 Cougars may not lose another game the rest of the way, but that pounding by TCU means there really isn't much to play for ? other than beating rival Utah in the regular-season finale.
17 19 move up in rankings2 Mississippi 5-2
(5-2-0) 		-11.68 The Rebels looked better than they have all season in beating Arkansas 30-17. Ole Miss finally made good use of Dexter McCluster, who had 260 combined yards from scrimmage. Struggling Auburn shouldn't be much challenge this week.
18 13 move down in rankings5 Kansas 5-2
(2-4-0) 		-11.64 When does basketball season start? Jayhawks just can't seem to beat one of the South powers. Big 12 North title not out of reach ? which just means another big loss in the conference title game.
19 14 move down in rankings5 Miami 5-2
(5-2-0) 		-11.58 Hugely disappointing loss to Clemson for Miami, likely killing the Canes' hopes of reaching a BCS bowl. The UM defense has allowed at least 30 points in three of four ACC games so far.
20 27 move up in rankings7 Pittsburgh 7-1
(5-2-0) 		-11.20 The Panthers might be undervalued down this low, as they are looking better and better every week. Dion Lewis looks like a future Heisman winner. Pitt is off this week before facing Syracuse. Then comes the gauntlet: Notre Dame, at West Virginia, Cincinnati.
21 20 move down in rankings1 Oklahoma State 6-1
(3-2-1) 		-10.70 Star RB Kendall Hunter might return to action this week in the huge game with Texas, although he'll be limited to maybe 10 carries. Think the Cowboys have the NCAA appeals committee on speed dial this week to get Dez Bryant back too?
22 24 move up in rankings2 Notre Dame 5-2
(2-5-0) 		-10.30 The Irish could just as easily be 7-0 and among the Top 5 in the polls as they could be 1-6 with Charlie Weis already out the door. Notre Dame gets Wazzu in San Antonio this week. It will still feel like an Irish home game support wise.
23 23 no change in rankings Utah 6-1
(2-5-0) 		-9.56 The Utes have won four in a row since giving Oregon all it could handle. But their entire season rests on the TCU game in a few weeks.
24 25 move up in rankings1 West Virginia 6-1
(2-4-0) 		-9.30 Why is no one talking about Noel Devine for the Heisman? The Mountaineers were actually outplayed by an obviously emotional UConn team this past weekend, but Devine saved them. Devine is the only player in the country with at least 900 yards, 10 touchdowns and a 6.0 (or better) average yards per carry.
25 12 move down in rankings13 Nebraska 4-3
(5-2-0) 		-9.10 The Huskers losing at home to Iowa State had to qualify as the biggest shocker of last weekend. Of course, if you turn the ball over eight times, you can lose to an NAIA school.
Return to the Current Week's rankings

College Football - Teams 26-119

Week 9 Rank Last Week Change Team W-L
(ATS) 		Power Rating  
26 21 move down in rankings5 Auburn 5-3
(4-4-0) 		-8.80
27 28 move up in rankings1 Stanford 5-3
(5-3-0) 		-8.49
28 30 move up in rankings2 Texas Tech 5-3
(4-3-0) 		-8.18
29 26 move down in rankings3 South Carolina 6-2
(5-3-0) 		-8.07
30 34 move up in rankings4 Tennessee 3-4
(4-3-0) 		-7.77
31 29 move down in rankings2 Arizona 5-2
(3-4-0) 		-7.21
32 32 no change in rankings Boston College 5-3
(5-2-0) 		-6.65
33 33 no change in rankings South Florida 5-2
(3-3-0) 		-6.44
34 31 move down in rankings3 Missouri 4-3
(3-4-0) 		-6.18
35 35 no change in rankings Wisconsin 5-2
(3-4-0) 		-5.64
36 37 move up in rankings1 Michigan 5-3
(5-3-0) 		-5.59
37 39 move up in rankings2 Houston 6-1
(5-1-0) 		-5.41
38 45 move up in rankings7 Clemson 4-3
(5-2-0) 		-5.33
39 38 move down in rankings1 Arkansas 3-4
(3-3-0) 		-5.31
40 41 move up in rankings1 Connecticut 4-3
(7-0-0) 		-5.21
41 40 move down in rankings1 Oregon State 4-3
(3-3-0) 		-5.14
42 36 move down in rankings6 Florida State 3-4
(2-5-0) 		-4.99
43 44 move up in rankings1 California 5-2
(4-3-0) 		-4.79
44 46 move up in rankings2 Navy 6-2
(5-3-0) 		-4.77
45 43 move down in rankings2 Michigan State 4-4
(3-4-0) 		-4.68
46 52 move up in rankings6 Kentucky 4-3
(4-3-0) 		-4.55
47 47 no change in rankings Rutgers 5-2
(3-4-0) 		-3.78
48 54 move up in rankings6 Temple 5-2
(5-1-0) 		-3.44
49 49 no change in rankings Arizona State 4-3
(3-3-0) 		-3.37
50 48 move down in rankings2 Georgia 4-3
(2-5-0) 		-3.35
51 61 move up in rankings10 Central Michigan 7-1
(6-1-0) 		-3.23
52 42 move down in rankings10 North Carolina State 3-4
(2-4-1) 		-3.19
53 50 move down in rankings3 UCLA 3-4
(3-4-0) 		-3.08
54 51 move down in rankings3 North Carolina 4-3
(2-4-0) 		-2.83
55 55 no change in rankings Tulsa 4-3
(4-2-1) 		-2.72
56 57 move up in rankings1 Air Force 4-4
(3-4-0) 		-2.59
57 62 move up in rankings5 Virginia 3-4
(4-2-0) 		-2.47
58 58 no change in rankings Northern Illinois 4-3
(4-3-0) 		-2.45
59 53 move down in rankings6 Wake Forest 4-4
(3-5-0) 		-2.29
60 56 move down in rankings4 Washington 3-5
(4-4-0) 		-2.12
61 60 move down in rankings1 East Carolina 4-3
(2-4-0) 		-1.98
62 59 move down in rankings3 Northwestern 5-3
(2-5-0) 		-1.75
63 67 move up in rankings4 Nevada 4-3
(3-4-0) 		-1.74
64 65 move up in rankings1 Duke 4-3
(3-1-1) 		-1.62
65 66 move up in rankings1 Troy 5-2
(5-2-0) 		-1.31
66 70 move up in rankings4 Fresno State 4-3
(5-1-0) 		-1.28
67 64 move down in rankings3 Indiana 4-4
(5-2-0) 		-1.11
68 68 no change in rankings Mississippi State 3-5
(4-3-0) 		-0.88
69 63 move down in rankings6 Baylor 3-4
(3-4-0) 		-0.67
70 71 move up in rankings1 Texas A&M 4-3
(3-3-1) 		-0.61
71 75 move up in rankings4 Iowa State 5-3
(5-2-0) 		-0.43
72 69 move down in rankings3 Minnesota 4-4
(3-5-0) 		-0.25
73 72 move down in rankings1 Idaho 6-2
(7-1-0) 		-0.25
74 73 move down in rankings1 Colorado 2-5
(4-2-0) 		0.47
75 81 move up in rankings6 Southern Mississippi 5-3
(3-4-0) 		0.49
76 76 no change in rankings Louisiana Tech 3-4
(3-4-0) 		0.55
77 82 move up in rankings5 Central Florida 4-3
(5-1-0) 		0.92
78 80 move up in rankings2 Purdue 3-5
(4-4-0) 		0.96
79 74 move down in rankings5 Colorado State 3-5
(2-5-0) 		1.10
80 83 move up in rankings3 Kansas State 5-3
(4-3-0) 		1.40
81 78 move down in rankings3 Maryland 2-6
(2-5-1) 		2.01
82 79 move down in rankings3 Toledo 4-4
(4-4-0) 		2.01
83 85 move up in rankings2 Marshall 5-3
(5-2-0) 		2.02
84 77 move down in rankings7 Illinois 1-6
(1-6-0) 		2.27
85 84 move down in rankings1 Syracuse 3-4
(4-3-0) 		2.50
86 86 no change in rankings Texas El Paso 3-4
(3-4-0) 		2.88
87 89 move up in rankings2 Western Michigan 4-4
(2-6-0) 		3.36
88 88 no change in rankings Bowling Green 3-5
(3-5-0) 		3.45
89 87 move down in rankings2 Vanderbilt 2-6
(3-4-0) 		3.56
90 92 move up in rankings2 San Diego State 3-4
(3-4-0) 		3.72
91 93 move up in rankings2 Wyoming 4-3
(5-1-0) 		4.07
92 90 move down in rankings2 Louisville 2-5
(2-4-0) 		4.41
93 100 move up in rankings7 Middle Tennessee St. 4-3
(4-3-0) 		4.46
94 91 move down in rankings3 Alabama-Birmingham 2-5
(2-5-0) 		4.54
95 94 move down in rankings1 Ball State 1-7
(3-5-0) 		4.58
96 95 move down in rankings1 UL Monroe 4-3
(5-2-0) 		4.80
97 97 no change in rankings Buffalo 3-5
(4-4-0) 		5.00
98 101 move up in rankings3 Utah State 2-5
(5-2-0) 		5.23
99 105 move up in rankings6 Arkansas State 2-4
(2-3-0) 		5.52
100 106 move up in rankings6 Kent State 4-4
(5-2-0) 		5.59
101 99 move down in rankings2 Hawaii 2-5
(2-4-0) 		5.66
102 103 move up in rankings1 Army 3-5
(2-6-0) 		5.67
103 102 move down in rankings1 San Jose State 1-5
(2-4-0) 		6.27
104 104 no change in rankings Memphis 2-5
(2-5-0) 		6.29
105 98 move down in rankings7 New Mexico 0-7
(1-6-0) 		6.63
106 109 move up in rankings3 Southern Methodist 3-4
(4-2-0) 		6.81
107 112 move up in rankings5 Florida Atlantic 2-4
(2-4-0) 		7.31
108 107 move down in rankings1 UNLV 3-5
(2-5-0) 		7.48
109 96 move down in rankings13 Rice 0-8
(1-6-1) 		7.68
110 115 move up in rankings5 Ohio 5-3
(5-3-0) 		7.79
111 111 no change in rankings UL Lafayette 4-3
(2-4-0) 		8.01
112 108 move down in rankings4 Akron 1-6
(3-4-0) 		8.02
113 114 move up in rankings1 Florida International 1-6
(3-4-0) 		8.46
114 113 move down in rankings1 New Mexico State 3-5
(3-5-0) 		8.65
115 110 move down in rankings5 Tulane 2-5
(2-5-0) 		8.95
116 117 move up in rankings1 North Texas 1-6
(3-4-0) 		11.12
117 116 move down in rankings1 Washington State 1-6
(4-3-0) 		11.39
118 119 move up in rankings1 Eastern Michigan 0-7
(2-5-0) 		13.01
119 118 move down in rankings1 Miami (Ohio) 0-8
(3-5-0) 		13.44
120 120 no change in rankings Western Kentucky 0-7
(2-5-0) 		13.73
Return to the Current Week's rankings

Power Ratings compute offensive and defensive statistics into one number for each team, while accounting for factors like recent performances and strength of schedule. Power Ratings can be used as a baseline for relative spread index to compare current or future match-ups between two teams. The relative spread does not account for non-statistical factors like home-field advantage, recent injuries, game time decisions, rivalries, publicity, and weather.

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