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LSU & ALA scores in common SEC play. MissSt 19-6, 24-7 Fla 41-11, 38-10 Tenn 38-7, 37-6 Aub 45-10, 42-14 Miss 52-3, 52-7 Ark 41-17, 38-14 Pretty crazy how closely they mirror. |
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Tough to call a side on this one, especially not knowing which QB will start for FSU. Even if SC controls the ground, its defense is succeptable through the air regardless of who's slinging it. I figure both teams are good for mid-20's, one of em will likely drop 30+. I like the over for this reason. Even if it falls short I expect no less than 48 pts in this game. I'll take my chances.
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Just read the NC's RB Elzy is ineligable for this game. That leaves them with Draughn and little else in the backfield. Was initially leaning toward NC given its players are a bit more experienced, but now I'm not so sure. If Draughn re-tweaks his ankle or Tenn bottles him up effectively, then NC could be forced to throw it more. That could help this game go over. I don't buy into the whole home game philosophy for Tenn, I think the proximity of both makes that a draw. And though the argument that Tenn's last four games were against lesser competition has some validity, it should not be overlooked that the wins also coincided with a shift in their QB play. Frankly, I don't think either team will win this one by controlling the run. Both teams have some big receivers. The winner will have to have success in the air. I'm leaning toward the over. |
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interesting that 5 of the last 10 matchups have been decided by 4 or less. Even more interesting that in 9 of the last 10 matchups the team that has passed for the most yards has won the game. |
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Here’s an interesting thought. Remember when several weeks ago someone from the Niners said that they were going to win still win the division this year? And everyone laughed. Well, as it turns out they can still actually win it. And even though they suck, it’s not totally unimaginable. Starting tonight they have 4 divisional games and games @GB and @SD. Assuming they lose to GB and SD, if they win those division games they will finish 7-9 with a 5-1 division record.
Then if Seattle (currently 5-6 and 3-1) goes 2-2 in its remaining non-SF games (Car, Atl, @TB, StL) and St. Louis (currently 5-6 and 1-2) also goes 2-2 in its remaining non-SF games (@AZ, @NO, KC, @Sea), so that each finish 7-9 as well….Then SF wins the division by virtue of a better division record. Given how dumb that division is I can see it happening – That is, if SF finally grows a pair. Starting tonight. |
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Well, I don't follow basketball much; but in any sport when I see a line that looks too easy, everyone on one side, and that team in a potential lookahead spot, i either go the other way or stay away. I'm staying away from NO in this case cuz this really does look like a complete mismatch, but I like the under based on various averages, trends and the refs.
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Quote Originally Posted by stalker:
What are you talking about? Why would I care what players did in college? This is the pros. I live in the present not the past and it's obvious which team (Pitt) is running better, which player (Mendenhall) is running better and which defense is stopping the run better right now. Just because you know the names Rice, McGahee, and McClain doesn't mean they form a better trio of running backs this season. The Ravens haven't been able to rush the ball all year and just let the Browns run all over them for 173 yards last week. It's not like the Steelers haven't faced good running backs either. They held Turner to 42 yards and Chris Johnson to 34 yards. And why are you even bringing up McClain? The guy hasn't been used as a real running back in 2 years. He gets 2 carries a game. And McGahee is pretty much only used in short yardage/goal line situations. Another stat or piece of information you wouldn't care about is that Mendenhall is actually healthy. Ray Rice didn't practice Wednesday and isn't going to be 100%. Against the Steelers D I would worry about that because the only way they're beating them is by throwing it. And the way Flacco's been throwing it this year I wouldn't be worried about that if I was Pittsburgh either. It's obvious you like the Ravens in this game and that's fine. I just didn't and don't understand your arguments which is why I use stats to back up mine. It makes a little more sense when you can back up what you're saying with numbers
Jumping into the middle of arguments is fun. I also like Mendenhall. He was on my fantasy team last year and I would have loved to draft him again this year if he'd been available. I also like stats. Stats are fun. But it's important to remember that they are relative; especially early in the season. Here's a few about Mendenhall 36 - number of yards gained in last game against Ravens. 95 - number of yards gained the game before. 113 - number of yards he gained in the second half against TB after Steelers had a huge lead were clearly looking to run out the clock. He gained 143 the entire game. 69 - number of yards he gained against Ten. 50 - number of yards picked up in overtime for a TD on a busted defense by Atlanta. He gained 70 yards the first 4 quarters. Yes I'm on Baltimore for this game. Both teams are going to try and control the ground game. Balt just happens to have more options in that respect. The key is which team can make a few clutch passes when needed. Batch looked ok last week, but he was facing a depleted TB secondary and got a circus catch by Wallace (also on my fantasy team this year and last). Flacco looked like shit against Cincy (my defense) but I beleive he'll make the plays that will determine the outcome of this game. Baltimore's the dog. They don't have to blowout a very good Pitt defense to cover. |
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Quote Originally Posted by greek04champs:
PITTS is 51-4 when win straight up away off non division opponent.Stats and trends from Marc Lawrence 2007 nfl playbook. That's great and all if it were 2008. But I'd prefer some more up to date numbers. Have they maintained that trend over the last few years? |
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Quote Originally Posted by masatos:
WTF? That guy should be banned from this entire site for posting such an awfully retarded comment. Vince Young has yet to develop into a real starting quarterback. Eli Manning has a superbowl ring. Wake the hell up, dude. Seriously. Stop drinking so much on Sunday morning and stop falling in love with highlight reels. Even my mom knows Vince Young isn't for real.....sheesh you people make me laugh.. is that why vince young won every single game since he was put on the team from last season but the indy game and the pits game?? goo research ur shit and then come talk.. You forgot about the loss to SD on Christmas last year. They've only played three playoff teams from last year during that stretch and only beat AZ on a last minute drive in a game when Leinart started in place of Warner. Ten has also played 8 of its last 13 games at home. Alot of those games have finished close. Now I'm not ready to call Den a playoff caliber team, but I think they match Ten in points output. Certainly enough so that they cover this spread. |
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Apparently the game is being played in Detroit at Ford Field. I still kinda like the points, but I'm probably gonna lay off this game now due to this and the fact the the number is dropping. |
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Quote Originally Posted by pro-z:
just tell me one time the titans won by more than 6 points against the texans? and shouldnt the loss last week for the texans mean they are a better team from fixing mistakes? u don't think of that
Ummm.... Have you looked at the past results between these two teams. Yes, sometimes its been close, but the last two years in Nashville the Titans have won by 19 and 8 points respectively. Though I have a few hesitations I'm on Tennessee for this matchup. I think that the extra rest/prep time, strong running attack, and home opener advantage will be more than enough advantages to allow Tenn to cover the 7 points. Also watch how Collins enjoys throwing to a healthy Nate Washington. |
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I'm thinkin under
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I'm thinkin OVER as well. I think both Offenses matchup well against the opposing Defenses for some decent points scored. light play though. It's still too early to make a truly educated read. Plus I'm not entirely sure why the total dropped from the opening number.
GL to all
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