tjohnsont

Member Since:November 2009
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tjohnsont
NFL Betting > Everybody on Pitt? > View Post
QUOTE Originally Posted by plays4all:

If they don't rig the game for Pitt, I think NE will blow them out. I am counting on it being a rigged game. So that is why I am going with Pitt. But I have to say Pitt is my weakest play this week.

People talk about Pats and their easy schedule. But I am pretty sure pats would have a winning record, regardless of schedule.


The weak schedule argument is not good since the Pats have gone to the playoffs consistently and competed with playoff teams with no issues.  It would be different if we were talking about gateway teams or startups like Raiders or Houston.  

If anything, a weak schedule is beneficial since it will have less wear and tear.

GB has the weakest SOS.   Pats had a tougher SOS than GB and Pitt.

tjohnsont
NFL Betting > What exactly is action reverse? > View Post
QUOTE Originally Posted by Ed-Collins:
Parlay has no juice?  Of course parlay's have juice.  The juice is HIGHER on most parlays than the juice is on straight bets, which is the main reason why you should never be playing parlays in the first place.

It's all about reducing the house edge.

A two team parlay, as you pointed out, usually pays about 2.6 to 1.  The true odds of a two team parlay are 3 to 1.  The difference is your juice.

Yes I know that.  Payouts are all lower than real odds.  The point is to show a simple example between the parlay and reverse where the reverse there is juice added on top of your bet while the parlay it's included.



tjohnsont
NFL Betting > What exactly is action reverse? > View Post
2 team parlay- bet $100 win both win $268, lose one or both lose $100 total

2 team action reverse- bet $100 win both win $400, lose one lose $100, lose both lose $200

parlay no juice, action reverse has juice.  

Hope that helps.  

tjohnsont
NBA Betting > a gift from Sportsbook after the election ???? > View Post
Even if Utah wins, why would they be favored?  

That makes no sense unless you are trying to be smart and say cuz they gonna win so they should be favored.

tjohnsont
NBA Betting > Time for LA to get off their high horse and come back to reality > View Post
QUOTE Originally Posted by Branimal817:
Your right The extremist. Game over beat team wins every time. They shouldn't even play just cancel the game!!

I don't think they can cancel games for that reason.

You wouldn't have this game to watch and bet on if they did.  

tjohnsont
NBA Betting > HUGE PLAY > View Post
QUOTE Originally Posted by Freepicks34:

Maybe i will lose but atleast i would have a chance not by 40 pts hahahahha

Doesn't matter how much you lose by.  A loss is a loss.  




tjohnsont
NFL Betting > Vegas has to be losing $ > View Post
Are you a bookie?  

tjohnsont
College Football > I'd lost so much and bookie want his money and you don't have it !!! > View Post
QUOTE Originally Posted by walbanger:

Are you serious? Calm down dude! People like you make me sick. This guy made a bad mistake....a very bad one, but no reason to make him feel worse.

You naive.  

tjohnsont
NBA Betting > THUNDER UP!!!!!!!!!! > View Post
QUOTE Originally Posted by For_The_Books:
HOW U KNOW AM YELLING THRU THE COMPUTER?

HE HACKED INTO YOUR WEBCAM??  

tjohnsont
College Football > texas vs baylor > View Post
QUOTE Originally Posted by Pecador:
Wait a minute,   Let me get this straight and also let you explain stupid to me.

You think Baylor should be -7.5 and you pay -120 to bet TX. +3.5 ????????   Interesting theory.

I don't know who is going to win but your post is making my head spin.  I've seen so much stupid on this forum over the years but this is unique and stands alone in crazy.  Are you sure that's what you said because maybe you can blame a schizophrenic problem.

If you and the other guy on here doesn't understand what he is getting at then that means you two still have alot to learn.  

It's as obvious as day what his point is.

tjohnsont
College Football > BETTING QUESTION > View Post
Doesn't always mean much .  That situation happens all the time.  

tjohnsont
College Football > Unbelievably dumb question > View Post
Oregon closed favored. Oregon wasn't doing much. Cal was moving the ball at will. Oregon 2nd half favored being down when they are favorites is the norm.

tjohnsont
College Football > Cancel The Season > View Post
Jealousy?

tjohnsont
NFL Betting > *****advice*** best way to build a bankroll???! > View Post
QUOTE Originally Posted by Jrod6:
I usually bet a flat $2,500 but usually only once or twice a week. Not smart or professional at all but when I hit a hot streak life is good

$2500 is fine depending on your bank roll.  Some guys bet twice as much or more so your bet is normal.  

tjohnsont
NFL Betting > How the hell did the Jets ever cost me all of that money a few weeks ago beating Buffalo on the road > View Post
Revenge from last season  

tjohnsont
NFL Betting > *****advice*** best way to build a bankroll???! > View Post
Yea exactly what Butta said.  If you gonna lose let them take your money slowly.  And vice versa.  
   

tjohnsont
NFL Betting > "Fade the Hilton" Week 6 > View Post
QUOTE Originally Posted by lanmaster:
how so

How not so

tjohnsont
NFL Betting > "Fade the Hilton" Week 6 > View Post
I think they did ok last week and the contra actually had a losing record.  Let's see how it works out this week.  

tjohnsont
NFL Betting > Fade everything I say > View Post
So that means no retirement?

tjohnsont
Website Promotions > FYI, Lang is on ULL -10 > View Post
QUOTE Originally Posted by jmgp94:
who is lang?

K D Lang?   Didn't know she bets much less give picks

tjohnsont
College Football > MINNESOTA INJURY REPORT > View Post
QB for MD looks out also.

tjohnsont
College Football > Why Do # of Post Make you and Expert???? > View Post
QUOTE Originally Posted by thorpe:
I don't think anyone says a lot of posts makes someone an expert.

But if someone has very few posts, then I would say he can't be an expert.  Anyone can make a new user name and claim he has won 20 out of his last 25 bets (unposted).

And if you make enough user names, eventually one of them will luck into a good record over a small number of posted games.

It is the guys who have been here for several years with consistent results that are the experts (and even these guys will have down months and down years)



I have never seen anyone on here call themselves an expert and I have never seen anyone call themselves an expert from the simple fact of how many posts they make.

This guy is obviously a troll and tout.  More than likely he is trying to throw people off the guys that have been winning on here  

tjohnsont
College Football > Why Do # of Post Make you and Expert???? > View Post
Vegas knows just like Washington knows. Or go ask Washington. Or Wall Street. You make yourself sound stupid by trying be smart when those words are used by many people. It's like saying take it upstairs when the building is only one story. You are condescending. It's a figure of speech people use. You are a genius so you shouldn't act like you don't understand the terminology.

tjohnsont
College Football > Miami is going to blow FSU out the door > View Post
QUOTE Originally Posted by phoshow:
-2 is an easy cover to make.  Mark Richt is showing Georgia who stupid they were letting him go.  Pay is a b_____!  

FSU has plenty of issues and I can't imagine anyone taking them.

but GL to all.

Only been 4 games beating 3 cans and an always overrated GT team yet you think Richt has done the unthinkable.  

At least wait until they start beating good teams to make that statement.  

tjohnsont
College Football > Stanford @ Washington [Don't overthink this] > View Post
QUOTE Originally Posted by nerfthis:
"going all in tonight on stanford"

so is sixty-four percent of the public, BOL 

Higher percentage on Houston and Tex tech yesterday and the lines dropped to 27.5 and look what happen.   Just saying....

tjohnsont
College Football > NCAA Football : Week Five > View Post
QUOTE Originally Posted by tjc42c:
i dont think you understand how units work

How does it work?

tjohnsont
College Football > I give up.... > View Post
You should quit if you think teams play the same week in and week out 

tjohnsont
College Football > What are your thoughts on the new format for posters? > View Post
Look up.   Shows your join date and posts.

tjohnsont
College Football > COVERS SHILLS!!!!!!!!!!!!!! > View Post
So what's your pick?

tjohnsont
College Football > COVERS SHILLS!!!!!!!!!!!!!! > View Post
If I was a shill and picking winners (losers for you guys) I wonder why I would be on here instead of at the casino laying big bets.
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