Profile | Entries | Thread Author | Posts | Activity |
---|---|---|---|---|
Dan, did you figure out the record for A, B and C games for those series?
|
Danrules24 | 682 |
|
|
Thanks for doing the work keeping this system going Dan, a lot of us appreciate it. This year is by far the worst I've seen this system perform and yet you should still be breaking about even with the 6 losses. I know breaking even is not the goal here, I just think this year was an aberration, I hope you keep it alive again next year. Plus, there's still a few weeks left, we could still end up slightly ahead. If that's the worst year this system ever has I guess it's not that bad.
|
Danrules24 | 682 |
|
|
I'm curious about one thing The_Man. You show how many units would be won for each cutoff opening line to conclude that -130 is optimum, but that's assuming what kind of betting strategy? Would also be good info to know.
|
therizz | 738 |
|
|
Today: OTT -160 A DAL at -125 so not official |
therizz | 738 |
|
|
That actually is pretty interesting The_Man, good work. I like the leeway this kind of knowledge gives when you make a bet early in the day and then the odds change so it's no longer official. Do you still chase it or not? Well, without knowing how series that started with other odds backtested, I would probably just write off the loss as a mistake bet, but now I might feel confident enough to chase anyway. I'd be really interested to know exactly how betting puckline on all these series would work out. With the vastly better odds, it could be at least as good as an underdog system if it panned out. |
therizz | 738 |
|
|
Edm wasn't a play because that was the 2nd game of their homestand.
|
therizz | 738 |
|
|
@The_Man OK, but I interpret that a little differently. It seems to me that series starting out at -180 or higher odds are even more sure of a play rather than not being plays at all. In fact, PHO won their B game 3-0 in the series in question if I remember correctly, so a puckline win. Anyway, I agree that it doesn't hurt to back off from making a bet that you're not sure of, nobody ever went broke that way, but the PHO series was still an official play, whether you felt good about it or not. |
therizz | 738 |
|
|
PHX B System to date: Overall Record: 49-1 A games = 33-17 B games = 11-6 C games = 5-1 losses=1 |
therizz | 738 |
|
|
Where did people get the idea that odds greater than -180 means it isn't a play? I've seen a few comments like this now, but I don't where the idea came from. By the way, it's therizz's system, he invented it. PHX B |
therizz | 738 |
|
|
Nashville tonight at -140 is looking iffy, check the odds close to gametime, you never know. St. Louis is looking like a play at -160
|
therizz | 738 |
|
|
Hey everyone, I had some computer issues for a while and couldn't post. Glad to see this board is being kept alive and well. In fact, you guys seem to be keeping way better track of it than I was when I was trying to do it. I kind of knew I'd be lousy at keeping track of a system properly, I just didn't see anyone else doing it and I remembered it being a really good system from last year, didn't want to see it get forgotten. Bos A Wsh A |
therizz | 738 |
|
|
Canucks are at -165 now, looking safe as a play. VAN A |
therizz | 738 |
|
|
PIT A with PHI's B win the other day, that makes the system record 40-0 A games = 26-14 B games = 9-5 C games = 5-0 losses= The next potential series I'm seeing is VAN on the 13th |
therizz | 738 |
|
|
This system is only based on the first game of a homestand, which for BUF was the other night against BOS. It didn't qualify on account of the odds. BUF might be a good bet tonight (they smoked BOS 6-0 despite being underdogs), but it's not a system play.
|
therizz | 738 |
|
|
Shoot, I just noticed we missed a play on the NYR on Feb. 5 which was an A win. system to date: 38-0 A games = 25-14 B games = 8-5 (PHI pending) C games = 5-0 losses= I'm going to try and see if I can up with this better from here on. |
therizz | 738 |
|
|
The updated system record so far this year: system to date: 37-0 A games = 24-14 B games = 8-5 (PHI pending) C games = 5-0 losses= |
therizz | 738 |
|
|
DET is opening a homestand tonight starting with EDM. Odds -240 right now.
plays: DET A tomorrow: PHI B |
therizz | 738 |
|
|
The closing line is what was backtested. It's one of the drawbacks to this system. When the odds are borderline, you need to check close to gametime to make sure it's still a play. I hope Ottawa wins tomorrow for the sake of everyone who bets it, but it will have nothing to do with the record of the system this year.
|
therizz | 738 |
|
|
Ottawa was not a play. According to covers, the A game closed at -127 against the Islanders. Chase at your peril.
|
therizz | 738 |
|
|
LA C tonight TB is at -175 right now, so looking good. Check odds close to gametime. For now, looks like: TB -175 A system to date: 34-0 A games = 22-12 B games = 7-5 C games = 5-0 losses= |
therizz | 738 |
|
If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so. It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly. Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality. Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it. As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.