smitler

Member Since:February 2009
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smitler
Streak Survivor > Brackson13's Streak > View Post
brackson13 from 11/30 to 12/20 you lost 12 in a row.  What, if anything, do you believe you were you doing wrong to lose so many, and what, if anything, did you change to go on the long winning streak?

smitler
Systems & Strategies > MLB SHUTOUT SYSTEM > View Post
What about Twins and Padres?

smitler
NFL Betting > test > View Post
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/pub?key=0AhVKY8GzoikLdFpFSEp2V2Z5ZVdoODNsYVczV2RHcGc&output=ods

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/pub?key=0AhVKY8GzoikLdFpFSEp2V2Z5ZVdoODNsYVczV2RHcGc&output=ods



smitler
NFL Betting > google doc test ignore > View Post
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/pub?key=0AhVKY8GzoikLdFpFSEp2V2Z5ZVdoODNsYVczV2RHcGc&output=html



smitler
NFL Betting > test > View Post
docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AhVKY8GzoikLdFpFSEp2V2Z5ZVdoODNsYVczV2RHcGc&usp=sharing

docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AhVKY8GzoikLdFpFSEp2V2Z5ZVdoODNsYVczV2RHcGc&usp=sharing

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AhVKY8GzoikLdFpFSEp2V2Z5ZVdoODNsYVczV2RHcGc&usp=sharing

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AhVKY8GzoikLdFpFSEp2V2Z5ZVdoODNsYVczV2RHcGc&usp=sharing


smitler
Systems & Strategies > test > View Post
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AhVKY8GzoikLdFpFSEp2V2Z5ZVdoODNsYVczV2RHcGc&usp=sharing

smitler
Systems & Strategies > ML_1.5_2.5 RD&HD Including Money Management > View Post
Trying to remember how to get a working link from google docs in here.

smitler
Systems & Strategies > test > View Post
I forgot how to post a working link from google docs.

smitler
Systems & Strategies > test > View Post
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AhVKY8GzoikLdFpFSEp2V2Z5ZVdoODNsYVczV2RHcGc&usp=sharing

smitler
Systems & Strategies > ML_1.5_2.5 RD&HD Including Money Management > View Post
QUOTE Originally Posted by smitler:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/pub?key=0AhVKY8GzoikLdFpFSEp2V2Z5ZVdoODNsYVczV2RHcGc&output=html



smitler
Systems & Strategies > ML_1.5_2.5 RD&HD Including Money Management > View Post
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/pub?key=0AhVKY8GzoikLdFpFSEp2V2Z5ZVdoODNsYVczV2RHcGc&output=html



smitler
Systems & Strategies > New Strategy > View Post
I am not a monster!! I mean tout.  The system is simple.

smitler
Systems & Strategies > New Strategy > View Post
bump

smitler
Systems & Strategies > 1st Inning Score Chase System > View Post
bump

smitler
Systems & Strategies > Who Had 1st Inning Score System last year > View Post
Are you guys talking about me?
First Inning score yes/no system?
If so, it had a bad run maybe a month into the system and I got too busy to play it.  I still think its a good system, just ran out of time to hone it.

smitler
Systems & Strategies > Fluke or system! > View Post
QUOTE Originally Posted by JEFFTHEHAT:
You decide:

Just toying with college hoops tonight and noticed from opening day until now if you bet the first game on the docket using SBR schedule and bet the dog for both halves you would be 48 wins and 8 losses x 3.31 units plus a singe unit loss from a first half loss and second half tie. This would net you as of tonight 12/8    20.52 units not impressive but decent for a 2 game chase.

Now if you turn this into a 4 game chase using one day for the first 2 halves and if need be the next day for the last 2 halves you will end up with.....
A) 24
B)16
C) 4
D) 4

So basically 48-0 I have only tested this year as I thought of it an hour ago. Tomorrow I will backcheck further to see if it holds up.


So it doesn't matter that Vermont was not the dog (-2.5) for second half?

smitler
Systems & Strategies > Fluke or system! > View Post
I understand now. Thanks.

smitler
Systems & Strategies > Fluke or system! > View Post
I'm confused. 
By rotation do you mean 7:00 pm games?
Because last night was Boise St and it was the last game of the night.

smitler
Systems & Strategies > Fluke or system! > View Post
Shouldn't System 2 be USC +4?

smitler
Systems & Strategies > 1st Inning Score Chase System > View Post
Seems like a lot of "A" losers.  Anybody know how this system would fare if it was faded?

smitler
Systems & Strategies > 1st Inning Score Chase System > View Post
DG have you looked back at the 23-0 official record to see what would have happened if you chased the opposite essentially taking the +money?

smitler
Systems & Strategies > 1st Inning Score Chase System > View Post
Looks promising. Good job DG. 

My system involved more of a money management focus on taking the biggest dog in every time slot. Had a long losing streak midway through the second season and took up too much time.

Gonna get on board today.

smitler
Systems & Strategies > MLB RPI SYSTEM 2012 > View Post
Why so silent? Did this system move elsewhere?

smitler
Systems & Strategies > MLB RPI SYSTEM 2012 > View Post
Just a friendly reminder that you were 10-0 on those 5 plays if you had ML on the good team and +1.5 on the bad team.

I missed out on all the plays of course.

May the system prosper.

smitler
Systems & Strategies > MLB RPI SYSTEM 2012 > View Post
6/10 was a 4 game series. Hou won game 4.
6/24 Only a +2.5 would have salvaged a win.
7/4-7/6 Bal lost all 3 to Tex by huge margins (that was prolly a b2w  play)
Don't bet on shit teams a week before the break.
7/7  +2.5 would have won
7/22 +2.5 would have won
8/5 +2.5 would have won

That's the only way those series could have won.

Thanks for posting them.  There is just no guaranteed system.



smitler
Systems & Strategies > MLB RPI SYSTEM 2012 > View Post
QUOTE Originally Posted by Danrules24:

I knew I wouldn't be able to sleep until I back tested the +1.5 RL against 2011 picks.


There would have been 5 series losses last year. 3 of these were Houston, which also won 4 C games (scary thought). Not sure what five 3 game chase losses would do to the bankroll, but I'm thinking not good. Of course it depends how you bet and if you try making losses up.


The again this year, the +1.5 Rl is undefeated and if I'm not mistaken, no series went to a C game.



Please tell us the starting date and the teams that were involved with those 5 losses.

smitler
Systems & Strategies > MLB RPI SYSTEM 2012 > View Post
QUOTE Originally Posted by slc5610:
Smitler- so every rpi qualifier you chase the dog runline?


I play both the ML and the RL each with its own labby line.

For example on June 18:
TEX ML
SDG RL

Both are winners as the score was 2 to 1.  It doesn't happen very often, but its nice when it does.
If TEX had won by 2 then SDG would be played out for a RL win or ML if favored.
The "anti-b2w" side of it is undefeated so far this season doing the RL.

I like doing it that way because the 1st bet is always fun.  You will not lose that much and also have a chance at winning them both.

smitler
Systems & Strategies > MLB RPI SYSTEM 2012 > View Post
Playing the dog +1.5 is undefeated so far this season.

smitler
Systems & Strategies > ADG28 1st inning > View Post
RUN FOR Z HILLS!!!!!
Books adjusted about two weeks ago and did a fine job of destroying the 1st inning dog plays listed on my document.
The dogs are dead. 
Good new for fav players as they have squeezed the lines. Dogs are generally around +100, +110 and favs are now -110, -120.

Commented on the noticeable readjustment two weeks ago, but didn't think it would matter.  I was dead wrong.

Good luck.

smitler
Systems & Strategies > New Strategy > View Post
+50.16 units.
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