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UNDER UNDER UNDER...dont care if Wake is ruled out for Miami...everything points to this total being inflated and Vegas will beat all the Over freaks
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DaBestEver24 | 10 |
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looks like a winner to me...love the UNder and cant see how Saints lose either
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Baby_BA | 8 |
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Vegas loves you!! they rake up on the UNDER tonight. Very simple Under here....everything is leading into it...they are even saying on tv that Miami has 4 defensive starters questionable....Total goes up more but anyone with under 45 is just fine.
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trinhstl | 28 |
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against what defense??? Not Miami. Miami will get some stops on defense and this will SLOWER than what you think. Miami has got lucky in the redzone this yr....the only thing that bugs me is the 4 starters for Miami Defense that are not questionable
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Blackjay | 11 |
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agree on the... UNDER UNDER "UNDER saints DEFENSE will set the tone here..they havent given up more than 17pts yet and wont tonight either...which sets them up to work on their clock killing drives...Miami giving up more sacks than anyone..Watch out Tannehill!!!! here's a mind blowing stat, Saints Defense is only allowing 6.46 yards per attempt this season. To put that in perspective, 27 of the 34 QB's this season have a higher YPA than that this year. That's an incredible number. Tannehill has unlikely success, but that ends tonight....im telling everyone this will be slower than what you would 1st think with these offenses...UNDER 49 pts and Saints win
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Blackjay | 11 |
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UNDER is the safe play here although i think the Saints handle Miami.The bottom line is this. Saint's should win this by a touchdown or so, but it's going to be a much slower game than people think. Saints have the fourth longest time per possession per drive. The Saint's are running more than ever, averaging 27 rush attempts a game. Saints have gone UNDER every game this season! Both of these teams struggle to stop the run. This will be a reason both coaches run the ball, but neither team is good enough to sustain drives. It's a perfect combination. Miami's defense is much better than you may know. UNDER is the sharp play here.
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reiper | 6 |
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UNDER is the safe play here although i think the Saints handle Miami.The bottom line is this. Saint's should win this by a touchdown or so, but it's going to be a much slower game than people think. Saints have the fourth longest time per possession per drive. The Saint's are running more than ever, averaging 27 rush attempts a game. Saints have gone UNDER every game this season! Both of these teams struggle to stop the run. This will be a reason both coaches run the ball, but neither team is good enough to sustain drives. It's a perfect combination. Miami's defense is much better than you may know. UNDER is the sharp play here.
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SportsFreak69 | 39 |
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thanks everyone for the consenus picks on that Napoli Over....just hoping they hold on or atleast draw from here and I am in good shape! Love my afternoon soccer while at work!! Parlaying into the hoops games later is nice bc i can risk less on my straight wagers on the hoops later! Taking a little from each of you has been profitable for a month so wanted to THANK YOU ALL!! I spent much time on covers in the NBA forum tearing it up the entire playoffs so while i am a rookie over here I have respect on my hoops plays. Have little time to find these forums as I used the pick n roll section to post my plays last year and i just havent had time to help all those people with the NBA this year. HAMMERED THE MAVS LAST NIGHT AS EASY WINNER and feel almost as good about Pacers tonight. BEST OF LUCK TO ALL ALWAYS |
p_66 | 240 |
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THANKS!! i know nothing and tail you all and hit that Over...played Pk Napoli and a little on the Ml and half that on the draw so looking good now with the over hitting already!!!! If this works out right i will have nice parlays into Hoops later and have the parlays paid for also Napoli can hold on for the win...even a draw and im good!! thanks again everyone!
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CP84 | 4 |
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I have followed you before Mr Blonde..and i am sure i will be following again...and yeah i am playing Napoli PK into Pacers and Creighton for sure...nice meeting ya! GOOD LUCK!
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reiper | 5 |
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thanks sportyduke!! Yeah i learned about the Ml vs the spread line easy from betting on Hoops for 5 yrs. I just started playing around with soccer and yeah i like a pk em spread so a draw pushes and my parlay becomes a straight play and then i just have to play my straight play for less. I like getting some action into and I have done this for weeks now just reading all the great cappers in here!! Sure I usually play the consensus and if everyone love lets say (AC milan -1 or -1.5( then i will take the ml as i am not playing straight so dont care about juice just high chance of setting up my parlays.... so i just need a win to carry my parlay. I bet 500 a play on hoops and on these i honestly will do 50 a parlay..... they have all been getting through so then i can play less on that 7pm or 9pm hoops game bc i have the parlay(s). APPRECIATE THE ADVICE!!!
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reiper | 5 |
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This has been me. I hate to force and SBG global stinks for soccer betting. The only match it shows for me is the Napoli/Chelsea. I follow you most of you often and like to use some of the safer soccer plays to parlay into my specialty of HOOPS! I am trying to get action onto the Pacers tonight so I was looking for one of the -300 Pk em on a heavy fav to toss in to help buy a point on a few hoops game. It has worked well but today i NEED HELP PICKING A WINNER ON NAPOLI MATCH!!! I know nothing about soccer so i should stay away but dont mind a small risk to reduce my play on later stuff. Wish i had more to choose from from SBG but this is it. HELP!!
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reiper | 5 |
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glad to see so many on Hornets today as i hope the line slides in my favor. Pounding Pacers myself. Like Creighton in a blowout also but not much time yet to dig deeper.
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reiper | 3 |
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nice points and i agree on the under and here is some of my thought messed with several copy and pastes of stuff i agree with for 1 long write up! ENJOY THE MARLBORO BUD!
The Thunder ran in head first into a Dirk Nowitzki tornado on Thursday. Dirk scored, 48 points and he look practically unstoppable. Dirk has change his offensive approach and he will have another good shooting night. He no longer hovers around the 3 point line, in game 1 he did not attempt a 3 pointer, plus she shatter the single game free throw record going 24-24. These stats show that Nowitzki is playing aggressive, which puts tremendous pressure on OKC defense. The Thunder tried 6 different match ups on Dirk and he won every battle.Tonight Dirk should see double teams early and often. This strategy will back fire on the Thunder because Nowitzki is 7 feet tall and he can pass over the double team. Leaving players like Jason Terry and Peja Stojakovic open is not smart idea. Jason Terry stated "if they start to double Dirk, I will be licking my chops", meaning he will make them pay by knocking down open shoots. Dallas won by 9 points and they played horrible defense. Durant scored 40 points and shot over 50% from the field. Dallas defense will play better tonight, even after allowing 112 points in game 1, they have held opponents to 93 points in their last 5 games. Dallas has done everything in their power to remove the image of them beginning soft. Tyson Chandler is the leader of the "tough" movement. When Tyson is in the paint the Mavs play with confidence because they know they have an enforcer on the court. Dallas depth is becoming an issue for the OKC. When JJ Barea and Jason Terry check into the game the Mavs become a better and faster. Terry and Barea scored 45 points in game 1. The Dallas bench outscored the Thunder bench 50-22. Both benches will be the x factor in this series because Nowitzki and Durant scoring will cancel one other out. OKC can afford to watch their reserves get outscored so handily. With only 12 home loses this entire season Dallas has protected home court. They are undefeated at home during the playoff and 9-0 ATS in their last 9 home games. Dallas will take a two game lead into Oklahoma this weekend. Quote Originally Posted by mkbini:
Very hard game to cap. Sidewise and total wise too. I was leaning towards OKC +5.5 and ML and Under 200. But needed few more pieces to complete the puzzle. Now the puzzle is complete. Under 200.5. Why: for three obvious reasons: the refereing in a first game was met with tons of criticism about blowing the whistles little too many times turning the match in a free throw duel rather thana basketball match, therefore, tonight the refs will let the game to be played in a more physical way and will try to interfere less than in game 1. The second reason is that the superstars will not have such high shooting percentages as in game one. Those are professional teams where success of one is a failure of other and where offense has been fatastic, the defense has been catastrophic and the coaches will adjust defenses knowing the refs too will let the defenders defend. The third reason is public money, which is all over the over in a very high percentages while all 3 of the online sources I use show that 78% of the public is on Over. Ik, that might not exactly indicate how much money is there rather than quantity of people betting, but anyway you put it, much more money is on over and the line has hardly moved only by half a point. Thats indication for me about where the vegas monds are at. I might have a post later on sides, I just need to check couple more sources to figure the equation. The problem with the sides is that I have to decide who wins here, if Dallas - they'll cover - and if OKC, they will win outright, meaning ML GL meantime NBA Playoffs on covers.com 10-0 sides and totals, 2-1 parlays Total +17.12 units up NBA Playoffs on pregame.com 13-0 sides and totals, 2-1 parlays Total +20,470 units |
mkbini | 44 |
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I finally have found my way into the grown up forum mkbini!! hahaha. I cheated though and searched by your screen name just now! I have not even looked around here yet but i did read your write up and AGREE totally. Time to keep the streak alive for ya! if not then game #2 has serious value. HOW the heck do you get into the penalty box. i brought you a pack of smokes! catch up with you later bro
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mkbini | 51 |
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