nostradamus12

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nostradamus12
College Football > nostradamus week 8 > View Post

what's happening everyone...appreciate it.....good to see several other vet cappers piling up some nice records and cash....adding a few to probably wrap it up for the week.....

Auburn -15.5 (0.75)
So Florida -11 (-115) (0.75)
W Michigan -3 (-105) (0.5)
Navy +7 (0.5)
Mich St PK/Pitt +14.5 (teaser)(0.5)

Auburn 41 Arkansas 17 - Ark one of those teams that has fallen off allowing 5.0 YPC and might be close to packing it in....backup QB possibly making a couple mistakes against Auburn defense playing well and 5.6 YPPA

So Florida 37 Tulane 17 - USF offense will get some against still average...at best...defense and defense appears much more solid this year and good matchup with running defense allowing 2.4 YPR

W Michigan 38 E Michigan 27 - WMU offense rolling up some yards not really translating to points....own series lately and EMU off a level from last year

Navy 27 UCF 26 - tough going against UCF team annihilating people...however no one completely stops this option and Navy tough as dogs and rarely blown out


updated week 8

Missouri -14 (large) (2u)
WIsconsin -24 (1.25)
W Virginia -10 (1.25)
Tex Tech -4.5 (1,25)
LSU -7
Purdue -8
W Kentucky -10 (0.75)
Michigan +12 (0.75)
Colorado St -6.5 (0.75)
USC +4,5 (0.75)
Auburn -15.5 (0.75)
So Florida -11 (-115) (0.75)
Miss St -10 (0.5)
Boston Coll +7 (0.5)
W Michigan -3 (-105) (0.5)
Navy +7 (0.5)
Mich St PK/Pitt +14.5 (teaser)(0.5)



nostradamus12
College Football > nostradamus week 8 > View Post
Purdue 34 Rutgers 17 - Boilers much improved particularly on defense 5-1 ATS...RU also improved however rarely able to hang against decent teams

W Kentucky 34 ODU 16 - ODU not much of a home dog over the past couple years...WKU offense improving with 500+ passing and ODU allowing 4.7 and 7.3

Penn St 24 Michigan 20 - Wolves offense inconsistent..however only one DD loss over last 3 years (OSU) and defense 2.6/4.9 still one of the better around

Colorado St 41 NM 27 - CSU offense mostly rolling with 500+ in 5 of 7 and should move against NM defense....Rams run defense decent enough when not facing Alabama

USC 30 Notre Dame 26 - points seem good in toss up and tough to see this one not coming down to the end...QB experience and ability 

Miss St 38 Kentucky 20 - MSU offense and focus seem better this year...KY offense not particularly great

Boston Coll 20 VA 19 - VA not much history of double digit wins and BC running game and defense enough to keep it close


nostradamus12
College Football > nostradamus week 8 > View Post

USC - fair question especially after WSU loss....view the teams as pretty equal and better QB for USC...Irish might well win...tough seeing it double digits or more at least for me, GL bud

DP, SL, Wahoo - appreciate it fellas, keep it rolling this week & BOL

some scores....checking out a couple other numbers and total later.....

Missouri 51 Idaho 24 - yep MO defense pretty bad, hoping stepping down in class helps and have shown willing to run up points when able to...offense improving against better competition so figure some points possible...Vandals offense not that explosive giving them a shot to keep it under 30,,,might reduce some if Crockett cannot go

WIsconsin 45 MD 10 - Terps are a scrappy team....that seems to lose 3-4 QBs each year...get the sense though breaking down and with 4.5 YPR allowed probably get run over...Badgers defense rarely gives up many and MD mostly has not matched up well against including 52-7 loss here 2-3 years ago

W Virginia 44 Baylor 24 - Bears seem heading down last year's road...WV should get some points against defense allowing 5.6 YPR and 9.1 YPP so Baylor will need 30+

Tex Tech 48 Iowa St 31 - yeah seems off to lay points against team that beat TT 66-10 and won @ OU a couple weeks ago...Red Raiders playing well and have to believe looking for some payback after last year...and won here 66-35 last time here in '15

LSU 38 Ole Miss 21 - Ole Miss allowing 5.5 YPC sets up good matchup for LSU playing hard since Troy loss and improving some on offense...Rebels first cover with new coach last week something not quite right 



nostradamus12
College Football > nostradamus week 8 > View Post
under - thanks man, yeah definitely possible...Tigers should get their points...probably comes down the MO defense...such that it is, same here BOLthis week

nostradamus12
College Football > nostradamus week 8 > View Post
HK - appreciate man, good to hear it, BOL this week

BOG - glad to know we're not the only ones with Mizzou....even as bad as they've looked particularly on defense...offense coming around at least....will be looking at BYU as well, BOL bud

adding.....

Tex Tech -4.5 (1,25)
LSU -7 
Purdue -8
W Kentucky -10 (0.75)
Michigan +12 (0.75)
Colorado St -6.5 (0.75)
USC +4.5 (0.75)
Miss St -10 (0.5)
Boston Coll +7 (0.5)

very odd BM numbers going to -111 or -112 and then some half point immediately after wager..strange have seen only on every few before....oh well...should do it for now...waiting on line movement or numbers on a couple others.....scores and thoughts tomorrow....BOL all




nostradamus12
College Football > nostradamus week 8 > View Post
75-52 (4-2) (+18.8)

11-5 (+4.5) last week....OT cover with Michigan....has not happened for years so guess we were due...numbers up early.....still getting some in.....

Missouri -14 (large) (2u)
Wisconsin -24 (1.25)
West Va -10 (1.25)

just missed WV at 9.5......

nostradamus12
College Football > nostradamus week 7 > View Post

shakey - good to see you bud, BOL

skip - may end up wishing we did the same, GL this week

adding one other small play to wrap things up.....time to check out some week 8 for Sun night....


Tex Tech-WV over 74.5 (0.35)



nostradamus12
College Football > LONGHORNHOOSIER, WEEK 7, 2017 > View Post
what's happening LH....liking WV and MSU....BOL bud

nostradamus12
College Football > nostradamus week 7 > View Post
probably wraps up the week....adding......

Florida St -7 (0.75)
Mich St-Minn under 41 (-115) (0.75)
UCLA -1 (0.5)
Utah +13 (0.5)

time to check out next week's matchups....also start thinking about some college hoops...wait what....

nostradamus12
College Football > nostradamus week 7 > View Post

what's going on fellas....appreciate it

doc - that's how we see it with UNC as well, GL bud

MR - ....being opposite Wahoo and BOG in the same week can't be good, BOL bro

BOG - not crazy about going against Auburn...believe LSU defense strong enough to keep to lower 20s...err not sure they can score though, we'll see...best of luck bud

few scores and thoughts....checking out 3-4 sides and total later....

Oklahoma St 52 Baylor 20 - Bears have hung around 2 TDs with Duke and KSU and get the feeling this week the dam busts open on them similar to some last year....payback spot and defense 5.3 YPR and 7.9 likely in for some problems

Michigan 31 Indiana 17 - not really seeing UM losing 2 in a row or Harbaugh going down to Hoosiers even if improved some...matchup somewhat similar to early road trip to Purdue....Wolves defense more solid than IU used to

Wisconsin 41 Purdue 14 - Badgers running game should work here and defense similar to Boilers earlier Michigan matchup allowing 2.8 YPR and 6.0 YPPA

W Kentucky 34 Charlotte 10 - WKU offense not nearly the same this year however 49ers passing offense 4.9 YPPA

Miss St 41 BYU 10 - Cougars defense is hanging in there however eventually breaks down with offense doing nothing

Virginia 34 UNC 23 - Heels have a lot of injuries and appear to have packed it in....UVA showing signs of life this year

Tulane 41 FIU 20 - Green Wave suddenly has a pretty amazing running game 5.7 and 293 a game....FIU not the type to change much there

App St 38 Idaho 17 - ASU running game should work here against Idaho 183 YPG....ASU defense much more solid

Boise St 27 SD St 24 - BSU better on the road last couple years and have enough run defense 3.1 to force SDSU to throw more

LSU 20 Auburn 19 - tough matchup over the years even when one has the clear advantage....LSU able to run with no passing game in LY 18-13 loss..defense getting healthier and still stronger than most allowing 5.8 YPPA....then again we could be wrong

Navy 41 Memphis 37 - Tigers run defense 4.6 not strong enough to contain this running game....so points look worth a shot in high scoring game down to the wire

UL-Lafayette 43 Texas St 20 - ULL defense fairly bad....improved last week against Idaho and TSU offense 124th in points scored



nostradamus12
College Football > WEEK 7 > View Post
great work bud.....hit it big this week BOL

nostradamus12
College Football > week 7 > View Post
fantastic work tide, all the best this week bud

nostradamus12
College Football > Blowoutgm's Week 7 plays! 60-21-1 YTD 11-2-1 in week 6 > View Post
good lord man nice YTD...., keeping it rolling and BOL

nostradamus12
College Football > LIONMONSTER NCAA Week 7 Football Picks > View Post
solid card.....wanted the Horned Frogs at FG, probably still works.....best of luck LM

nostradamus12
College Football > NFL SUNDAY + WEEK 7 LINE GUESSES/LEANS/WAGERS/ > View Post
nice work buddy, keep working and rolling

nostradamus12
College Football > Week 7 Money > View Post
UCF has keep the pedal down in a few games already....all the best this week my friend

nostradamus12
College Football > nostradamus week 7 > View Post

avenue

Oklahoma St -23 (1.25)
Michigan -5 (1.25)
Wisconsin -16
W Kentucky -16
Miss St -21
Virginia -3 (0.75)
Tulane -11 (0.75)
App St -10 (0.75)
Boise St +7 (0.75)
LSU +7 (-115) (0.75)
Navy +5.5 (0.5)
UL-Lafayette -14.5 (0.5)

waiting on some numbers to move and totals.....best of luck


nostradamus12
College Football > nostradamus week 7 > View Post

64-47 (4-2) (+13.3)

11-7 (+2.0)....damn it already week 7...tough believing Marshall and WKU point totals....did take a couple close ones...waiting on numbers


nostradamus12
College Football > nostradamus week 6 > View Post
skip, C10 - good seeing you guys around, best of luck this week

some scores and thoughts....late this week got sidetracked with some  things.....time to check out next week's slate....

Texas Tech 51 Kansas 24 - TT recalls playing terrible here in 30-20 win....KU not really holding anyone under 40 and CMU threw for 467 so...

Toledo 41 E Mich 17 - Rockets own series winning last 10 and 8-2 ATS....seem like they could be ready after week off and loss to Miami

No Illinois 45 Kent 10 - Kent offense is pretty bad so we're giving them a defensive TD and FG to get 10

Notre Dame 44 UNC 20 - seems like something is going on in Chapel Hill chemistry and injuries...might be close to packing it in and large drop at QB from last year

Auburn 48 Miss 17 - Ole Miss possibly close to done as well....seems unlikely they'll stop Auburn offense and Tigers defense playing well

Marshall 41 Charlotte 14 - appears the herd has regrouped some since last year's problems....not much HF advantage for the 49ers

W Kentucky 48 UTEP 14 - Miners were already fairly bad before losing some QBs....looks like a good spot for WKU offense to get back to last year's form

App St 37 NMSU 17 - kind of goes against how each has played so far however ASU defense much better and should be able to get running game going

W Michigan 38 Buffalo 21 - still believe WMU is step above most of the MAC....Bulls don't win often

Fresno St 43 SJST 17 - looking like SJST has already packed it in....Fresno improved from last year and QB play

Pitt 26 Syracuse 23 - still believe Panthers are the better team....Browne getting more confident

Kentucky 37 Missouri 30 - neither pass defense any good 7.8 and 8.4 YPPA and MO offense just as good or better so matching scores most of the way

TCU 31 W Virginia 26 - WV offense averaging 5.8 YPR and 9.0 YPPA so feeling they can score enough to hang around

LSU 20 Florida 19 - expect LSU to be ready after last week and 2 players only meetings...not convinced FL offense that good 

Memphis 31 UConn 24 - yep some hesistant taking the Huskies although were tied before falling apart and blowing the cover last week...Tigers defense nothing great this year

Va Tech 28 Boston Coll 20 - sense is VT could be flat after last week...BC offense possibly improving

Boise St 26 BYU 10 - neither playing up to usual....give Boise offense a better shot to move than BYU with 5.4 YPPA...115th

Minnesota 27 Purdue 24 - gophers have matched up well lately....running game and defense should keep it close or be enough for upset

nostradamus12
College Football > nostradamus week 6 > View Post
missed the one on ND line drop Winston......probably due to Wimbush being questionable with foot.....hopefully he can go

nostradamus12
College Football > nostradamus week 6 > View Post
what it is fellas....appreciate it.....got buried in some things so not able to do much on scores last couple weeks..... catching up tomorrow on the handful of other threads we check out 

upside - yeah scary taking MO...more playing against UK blowing many out....dicey though agreed
doc - agree plenty of work and degeneracy left

tide - thinking the same that it seems like a good spot for the Tigers....and possibly getting healthier on D


adding a couple small plays....

Minnesota +4 (0.5)
Boise St -9 (0.35)
.just might do it for the week....best of luck 

nostradamus12
College Football > nostradamus week 6 > View Post
53-40 (4-2 large) (+11.3)

13-6 (+5.4) last week...wait what......best of luck all

Texas Tech -17 (1.5)
Toledo -13 (1.25)
No Illinois -23 (1.25)
Notre Dame -17 
Auburn -20 
Marshall -15
W Kentucky -17 (-115)
App St -10 (0.75)
W Michigan -9 (0.75)
Fresno St -15 (0.75)
Pitt +4 (0.75)
Missouri +14 (-115) (0.75)
W Virginia +12.5 (0.75)
LSU +6 (0.75)
UConn +14 (0.5)
Boston Coll +16.5 (0.5)


nostradamus12
College Football > nostradamus week 5 > View Post
what it is fellas....time to get right this week....with a little luck

LH - hope things are good, UH should be ready after last week's loss and have much more faith Cougs’ capable QB Allen than Temple’s QBs combined for 8 of 26 with 4 ints. in 43-7 loss at USF), BOL this week bud

doc - hmm...yeah many kinds really...from back in the day .pearl jam, aerosmith, LL cool J , snoop, etc....lately been on to breaking benjamin, shinedown, theory of a deadman....good luck this week bro

adding a few to probably wrap things up for the week.......

Penn St -17 (0.75)
Vandy-Florida under 42 (0.75)
So Carolina +9 (0.5)
Iowa-Mich St under 45 (0.5)
Georgia-Tenn under 48 (0.5)
Auburn -2.5/Okla St -3 (teaser) (0.5)




nostradamus12
College Football > nostradamus week 5 > View Post
40-34 (3-2 large) (+5.9)

9-9 (-0.3)..really just not good....survived much cash damage though...loaded up some this week...kind of liking the situations and match-ups....famous last words

Arkansas -16 (-115) (large) (2u)
Ohio St -29( 1.5)
Notre Dame -23 (1.5)
Wisconsin -13 (1.5)
Florida St -7 (hook) (1.25)
USC -4 (1.25)
Texas -5 
Oregon -15 
Kentucky -14
No Illinois +12 (0.75)
Colorado St -7 (-115) (0.75)
Air Force PK (0.75)
UConn +19 (0.5)
Troy +19.5 (0.5)

waiting on line movement on a couple others and some totals....best of luck all

nostradamus12
College Football > nostradamus week 4 > View Post
what's happening, appreciate it 

adding some small plays...should wrap things up for the week

Utah -3 (0.5)
Tulsa -11.5 (0.5)
Colorado +11 (-115) (0.5)
Ball St +7.5 (0.35)

updated week 4

Ohio St -39 (large) (2u)
West Va -20 (1.5)
Louisville -38 (1.25)
Wake Forest -4 
Michigan -8.5
Florida St -11 (-115)
Alabama -18 (-115)
LSU -23.5 (0.75)
Texas Tech +6 (0.75)
UCF +4 (-105) (0.5)
Toledo +13.5 (0.5)
Air Force +4.5 (0.5)
Utah -3 (0.5)
Tulsa -11.5 (0.5)
Colorado +11 (-115) (0.5)
TCU-Oklahoma St over 68.5 (0.5)
Oregon-Arizona St over 74 (0.5)
Ball St +7.5 (0.35)


nostradamus12
College Football > nostradamus week 4 > View Post
reducing/offset LSU down to 0.75.....hate to do it since it cost some juice....too many defensive injuries and suspensions.....adding a couple totals.....

TCU-Oklahoma St over 68.5 (0.5)
Oregon-Arizona St over 74 (0.5)

checking out a couple other sides and totals to wrap things up over the next couple days

nostradamus12
College Football > nostradamus week 4 > View Post
appreciate it fellas....line movement mostly favorable so far....doesn't matter that often however did last week with TCU and Ohio St based on closing number....

tide - what's happening ...yeah actually was looking GA hoping for FG somehow as overreaction to MSU rout last week but 6-6.5 instead....tough to see Miss St winning outright however they are rolling ATS by wide margins and hot so we'll stay away, best of luck this week bud

checking out some totals and considering 1-2 others


Ohio St 61 UNLV 10 – Rebels allowed 300+ rushing to Howard....so what maybe 400 for the Buckeyes known to hit 50+ four times last year and sensing this might be the week OSU goes off

West Virginia 48 Kansas 17 – WV offense looking fairly with Grier at QB (11 TDs) and running game averaging 5.4 YPC and took last two in series 48-21 and 49-0

Louisville 55 Kent St 7 – look for the Cards to take out some frustration from last week. KSU unable to throw (16 completions this year…what) and UL has plenty of practice against running QBs

LSU 44 Syracuse 13 – may scale back this one some as unsure about Tigers offense if Orange able to stop the run. LSU had 268 rushing in ’15 in NY though and might be more this time if crazy Ed has them ready to go after humiliation last week

Wake 26 App St 14 – WF seems to have turned the corner with passing game (8-1 TD INT) and solid running game. ASU offense not so explosive with 5 of 6 TD passes against Savannah St and lost 45-10 here last year against ACC

Michigan 34 Purdue 17 – number projected around 16 before last week’s results so looking at some possible value there….err unless the Boilers are that good….as the late great Dennis Green would say if you want to crown them then. RIP coach.

Florida St 38 NC State 17 – NCS has had better of the series (although was dominated here in ’15 34-17) and frosh QB making first start for the Seminoles so what the hell sense does this make. Believe Blackman will hold his own and believing FSU will be ready to bust someone in the mouth after not playing since early Sept

Alabama 33 Vandy 7 – Dores offense not the type to give AL much problem and also expect a better effort from Tide defense this week after lazy effort last week. So that probably leaves it to how many Alabama offense puts up….seeing many FGs and eventually wearing down a decent defense


Texas Tech 41 Houston 38 - TT QB playing well and 79% comp albeit against marginal defenses and suspect able to trade scores all day and win outright…..seems UH offense not as explosive under Allen

UCF 23 MD 20 – similar to FSU guessing UCF will be ready to play after long layoff and QB looked improved in first game….expecting a tight game…probably comes down to Knights ability to contain Terps running game averaging 8.0 YPR….fairly solid 3.8 allowed last year so we’ll see

Miami 31 Toledo 26 – feel like Toledo offense can move against most teams…..and significant experience advantage at QB enough to keep it close

Air Force 20 SD St 17 – AF can hang with most teams….mainly banking on SDS coming out flat after big win over Stanford…AF lost in SD 27-24 with 300+ rushing against tough defense




nostradamus12
College Football > QB's plays week 4 > View Post
nice work, good to see we're both on some Red Raiders, BOL buddy

nostradamus12
College Football > WEEK 4 lines and leans.... > View Post
great work as usual.....on three of those including kinda off the radar WF pick up, now maybe on the radar after a few of us here have them,  and looking at SMU as well....good early grab there probably TD or more by kickoff....best of luck bro

nostradamus12
College Football > Week 4 > View Post
what's up my man....nice work....feeling better about the Tide seeing you on them....funny was having 2nd thoughts about LSU even before reading this, might reduce/offset some although hate to do it since it costs money....wow hard to believe BC getting that many, might do something small there as well, all the best and let's make some cash
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