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Great job with the leans man, but don't let that bug you that the plays you didn't make won.. You have your style and if I were you I would stick to that, because you have had success with it in the past.
I believe the #1 reason people do fail at this is lack of consistency & lack of discipline. The second you turn from Ur approach is the day that Ur favorite play cashes & all of your leans lose. You just gotta do what makes sense for you... Sports investing is so random, anything can happen in any given night. Here is an example for last night for me.. I had 6 plays, 5 in which were dogs -- I play ML dogs with a spread of 7 or less in both football & basketball for .5 unit along with my normal plays for 2 units.. Well anyways, I was on det+7.5 & Charlotte+8 , both won straight up but I didn't play on the ML, because they didn't make the cut of being less than 7. The 3 other dogs, Jazz+5, pacers+4, & Phoenix+3 all lost SU. So I go 3-2-1 on the night & 0-3 on MLs & made a small profit. My point of that story is there's a reason I don't play dogs SU that are more than 7, because I have data from the past couple seasons showing it not to be profitable.. There's a reason why you only play one play a day & that's because you have success doing it that way.. Just a bad couple plays this week, shake it off & move on to the next one. Good luck moving forward Russell, Nothing but success brother! |
RussellK | 115 |
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Russel, really like Ur approach.. I live in Minny & am a big Wolves fan, but this is a great spot to back the Mavs.. Wolves being as banged up as they are still have depth surprisingly.. not having Rubio & Love obviously hasnt hurt them to this point, but missing Roy, Buddinger & Barrea is going to be very tough for the t'pups... Without those 3 they still have AK, d-wil, pek & other key contributors like Dante Cunningham & ridnour, but missing 5 important pieces to your roster makes it hard to compete In this league..
Chase has really been playing well & JJ has been a huge spark for the wolves off the bench. I was at the opener where he single handedly beat the kings & they will for sure miss him. Mayo & the Mavs should blow my team out tonight. I have a couple questions about your approach & hopefully you have some time to answer... - what % of your BR do you play on each play? - does your season always start the 2nd week of the NBA season or do you start your approach the beginning of the NFL season? If you start during NFL how do you go about your 1 play per day approach? Do you have a point of the year when you decide to stop? I realized you said you don't play MLB so guessing you probably take the summer off. What is your target goal to be up at the end of the year? I really like your approach & interested to hear your answers to these questions if you have time. Thanks!! GL tonight Russel! |
RussellK | 115 |
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ML's
Tb+340 (.25u) Cin+140 (.5u) Mia+125 (.5u) Cle+120 (.5u) Jax+150 (.5u) 4 tm / 8 pt Teaser (+175) 1.5u Sf+1, Tb+17, no-1.5, chi+.5 |
ldub004 | 3 |
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ATS picks for week #3... GL everybody!
SD -3 (-15) 2u SF -6 (-08) 2u TB+8 (-08) 1.5u No-7.5 (-08) 1.5u Pitt-3.5 (-08) 1.5u Cle+2.5 (-02) 1u Jax+3 (-02) 1u Mia+2.5 (-03) 1u Cincy+3 (-01) 1u Det-4 (-08) 1u Chi-7 (-03) 1u |
ldub004 | 3 |
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GL.. Like the angle u are going at with those team totals.. GL sir!
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CalifDreamin | 6 |
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My take is that the secondary for Dallas Is much improved.. Brandon Carr is one of the best in the league & Claiborne will be good for years to come... Eli could throw 2 or more, but rainy night & not the same secondary. If I was playing either way I would be on the over, but a lot of variables to consider... GL!!!
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Dhalb27 | 2 |
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awesome job & very impressive track record in all sports.. keep it up si
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si1ly | 25 |
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hope your right.. i have them in a big teaser, have them down to 2.5 & that's the one that i'm really nervous about.. it all makes sense, just gotta hope the dream team shows up today against a terrible Zona D. GL
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HERMES | 7 |
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I'm normally not all hype at all & usually play just straight money management & play for the long-term, but found a teaser that I really like & gonna play it pretty large... GL to everyone
7-team 12.5 point Teaser (+205) -- 5dimes 1. Pittsburgh +8 2. Giants +16 3. Ravens +4.5 4. Rams +14.5 5. Buffalo +17.5 6. Philly -2.5 7. Cam Newton +9 $2,350 to win $4,817.50
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ldub004 | 5 |
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gl escobar.. very impressive stuff.. hope you reach your goal!!
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eskobar | 132 |
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look like some good plays.. keenum should have a field day in the dome.. Gl man
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cookies85 | 14 |
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grabbed tulane at 35, w/ you on ohio, but got it at 7.. other side on GT.. have a good night & keep up the winning week
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boomgames | 5 |
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Georgia Tech +1 (-108) 2u
Ohio -7 (-113) 2u Tulane+35 (-108) 2u GL everyone.. Have a good Thursday night
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ldub004 | 2 |
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2-1 +1.84 units... wow if I woulda swept the board tonight it would have been soo lucky!!
sju comeback, az 20 turnovers & still almost cover, but win su.. temple only wins by 3... I would have loved +6u, but for sure not complaining about +1.84.. g'night covers |
ldub004 | 5 |
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don't really trust my zona squad... they have talent no doubt, but super young. possible hedge at half on the spread
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ldub004 | 5 |
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man.. was sweating that sju game! what a comeback, shouldn't have won that one but ill take it... hopefully zona & temple take care of business
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ldub004 | 5 |
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like them both... GL
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PunaniPatrol | 7 |
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GL on ur plays... AZ is my fav. squad, but the way they played the other night scares me against this Dukes team.. GL man
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phat03 | 15 |
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GL hope you have a good night.. that SJU line scares me, but if they come out and play like they did 2h you should be good.. have a good season 5t4rs
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5t4r5align | 80 |
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if you don't mind.. how many games fell into these categories in your tracking the past 3 seasons? sounds like combining the 3 got you a record of 57-58% i will take that any day of the week!!
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vegasjack2 | 19 |
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