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This is very interesting, but here is my thinking. Bookmakers have a statistical model they use as well and in turn take into the fact the teams playing after the model spits out a final value.
Bettors see lakers/t wolves and think high scoring --- hence the added points to the model. On the other side they see bulls/76ers and think low scoring. Could be why you see your model says over for the "defensive" game and under for the "offensive" team or does the model already consider that? I've just confused myself |
firstLast | 53 |
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Lets get it going nuggz, the presents are under the tree ready to be opened
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nuggetmonster | 70 |
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Quote Originally Posted by football_007: They faced him last year. Here : ZACH MCALLISTER'S TEAM IS 0-1 STRAIGHT UP IN THESE GAMES. Date Runs Res Opp IP ER BB K's O/U ML Opp. Pitcher 09/20/2011 4 - 5 L CHW 5? 2 1 4 9 (P) 100 D Axelrod Thanks, like how the lineup is stacked with Lefties...Lefties are hitting .176 against Humber, if he can keep his control and not walk 6 this game Sox look like a good pick |
LETGOPACK1234 | 6 |
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I wanna pull the trigger with ya, but you know the Sox always seem to struggle with pitchers they've never seen.
Lineups yet? |
LETGOPACK1234 | 6 |
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Heat
Bulls/Sixers Under 175.5 1-1 (+0.80 Units) Heat was easy green...Feeling around Chicago is that Bulls lost that game- hopefully Rose's injury won't keep him out too long. Didn't look good though. 2 Units Thunder -7 (-120) Never been the biggest fan of this Thunder team, but the Thunder at home are going to be very difficult to beat. This team is ready to win a championship and it starts by knocking off the defending champs. Thunder by double digits tonight 2 Units Pacers -5.5 First Half A little weary about the full game spread for some reason, but would like to think the Magic will think about putting up a fight but then realize they just want this season over with. Pacers have been rolling, don't expect it to continue for too long this playoffs, but they did get the easiest first round match in the East. Pacers to take this first half at least by 6 |
kidcash15 | 3 |
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0-0 Playoff record
3 Units Large Heat -8.5----How do the Knicks get most of their scoring? Oh yea three pointers...I like the Heat to turn up the defense and they know if they keep them from reigning down the long ball they can win this easily. Playoff intensity in South Beach, I am a die-hard Bulls fan but I have to say I think Miami comes out and thumps em, especially with Chandler out they will be slashing through the lane all day. 2 Units Bulls/Sixers Under 175.5---Both teams played Thursday, so not really getting the complete rest they want and now they have to start there game at 12. Shafted on the schedule. This is going to be an intense defensive series if Philly is gonna have any chance, its going to be physical and chippy, so I am expecting an 87-77 Bulls victory and a defensive battle BOL |
kidcash15 | 3 |
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16-15 (+2.72) Sides
1-3 (-4.90) Totals 1-0 (+7.68) Parlays 18-18 (+5.50 Units) ----------POD 2-2 (-0.54)--------- Wednesday: 0-1 (-2.00) Thursdays Card: 3 Units POD Tigers +100 2 Unit Plays Cubs +135 Dbacks +108 White Sox -132 2 Unit Parlay to win 13.64 Units Brewers -125 Reds +1.5 (-160) Nationals -160 Mariners -155 BOL |
kidcash15 | 3 |
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Quote Originally Posted by DaGuruMan: PLAYED BOSOX 2...POSTED PADRE'S PIK 3 SECS APART FROM YOURS...LOOKS LIKE AIR-TITE PLAY !!!! Doesnt look like its gonna work out for us |
kidcash15 | 6 |
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Lets get it zeeba...wish I was on the Dodger train to start the year, think I may have taken em once
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kidcash15 | 6 |
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16-14 (+4.72) Sides
1-3 (-4.90) Totals 1-0 (+7.68) Parlays 17-14 (+7.50 Units) ----------POD 2-2 (-0.54)--------- Sunday: 1-3 (-4.16) 2 Units Padres +135 Took Bo Sox and won Pirates earlier, wont be added to the total Lets get em Clayton |
kidcash15 | 6 |
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Tin
Nice |
kidcash15 | 4 |
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BOL today MM, like the Reds as well, but I am not making em a play.
Get em |
ManassaMauler | 285 |
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15-12 (+6.38) Sides
1-2 (-2.40) Totals 1-0 (+7.68) Parlays 17-14 (+11.66 Units) ----------POD 2-2 (-0.54)--------- Saturday: 2-1 (+3.12) Sundays Card: 2 Unit Plays White Sox -103 Rays -105 Jays/Os Under 9.5 (-125) Cardinals -1.5 (+125) Sox go for the sweep...Sale is a stud. Lets get em today |
kidcash15 | 4 |
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13-11 (+3.26) Sides
1-2 (-2.40) Totals 1-0 (+7.68) Parlays 15-13 (+8.54 Units) ----------POD 2-2 (-0.54)--------- Friday: 2-0 (+4.60) Saturdays Card---DOG DAY 2 Unit Plays Angels +111 DBacks +132 Orioles +145 |
kidcash15 | 3 |
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Keep it going buddy...hopin my Sox take out the Tigers but I like what your on
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ManassaMauler | 318 |
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11-11 (-1.34) Sides
1-2 (-2.40) Totals 1-0 (+7.68) Parlays 13-13 (+3.94 Units) ----------POD 2-2 (-0.54)--------- Thursday: 2-1 (+8.56) Fridays Card--Ugly looking games today 2 Unit Plays Giants -1.5 (+130) Braves -120 BOL |
kidcash15 | 3 |
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GL Tin, lets get this Nats win |
tinfoils | 42 |
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Wow blow yourself lidge
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kidcash15 | 5 |
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10-10 (-2.20) Sides
1-2 (-2.40) Totals 11-12 (-4.60 Units) ----------POD 1-2 (-3.54)--------- Wednesday: 2-2 (0.00)---Got bailed out in the Oakland game and Angels first 5...surprised because nothing usually goes my way. Thursdays Card: 3 Units Nationals -105 POD 2 Units Marlins -106 2 Unit Parlay--wins 7.68 units Dbacks -135 Nationals +1.5 (-175) Twins/Angels Over 7.5 (-130) Still getting a feel for the teams. Lets hit em |
kidcash15 | 5 |
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Adding:
2 Units First 5---Angels -.5 (-125) |
kidcash15 | 5 |
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