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It makes no sense why the spread is this small; it should be about 18. Something is up.
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Covers | 121 |
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The edge goes to Baltimore. |
Covers | 39 |
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Take LSU I have got a suspicion that the bookies suspect that LSU is not motivated to play this game. I have no idea how this line is set a -1 in favor of LSU. I know Texas A&M had a great season but they do play in the Big 12. It seems the line should be set at about -7 not -1. I guarantee Texas A&M did not see a defense that runs this well all year in the Big 12! |
Covers | 159 |
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Potential here for this to be a trap game for Virginia Tech. They just beat Miami at Miami, and are now thinking about next weeks ACC Championship game in Charlotte. They may not cover the -24 against their cross state rival.
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Covers | 9 |
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Do not forget the seniors on this Nebraska team have not forgotten the 76 points Kansas tagged them with in 2007. Expect no mercy.
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Covers | 12 |
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This is a coin flip. Spotting the Skins 3 pts is huge since 1/3rd of NFL games are decided by 3 pts or less. Bookies haven't budged an inch despite over 70% action being on Philly. Something is up here.
Take the OVR. Assume the line is right and Philly wins by FG. The OVR is 4-1 in Philly wins.
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Covers | 112 |
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The O\U is very deceptive. The OVR appears very attractive with NE being 6-2. However, Pittsburgh has only once this season had the line set at 45, and only once has more than 45 points been scored in a Steeler game. Staying away from the O/U on this one.
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Covers | 52 |
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Somebody knows something I don't know. The public is buying NE, but the line moves from -4 to -5. I am taking Pittsburgh.
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Covers | 52 |
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Somebody knows something I don't know. The public is putting their money on the Rams, but the 49ers have maintained the line or even expanded it from 5.5 to 6.0.
Play the Under. The Under is 2-0 in 49er wins, and 3-1 in Rams loses.
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Covers | 20 |
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Normally giving an NFL team a margin of 3pts is huge. However, Seattle is horrible on the road, and rarely are within a TD away from home.
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Covers | 19 |
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Be careful here Dallas has only lost twice by more than 14 pts all year. The bookies know. No NFL team is a 14 pt favorte, but the wild card is that we don't know where the Cowboy's are emotionally and mentally after getting their coach fired.
However, play the OVR here. The OVR is 4-2 in Giants wins, and 6-1 in Cowboy's loses. |
Covers | 34 |
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This maybe the best 2-6 vs 0-8 match-up I have ever seen! Both teams will be motivated and play hard in what should be a competitive game.
However, the only thing that appears obvious is to play the Over. The last 5 of Lions have gone Over.
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Covers | 37 |
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This is a coin flip.
The public is with the Jets. However, about 1/3rd of all NFL games are decided by a FG or less. So the bookies are risking very little by giving 3 pts to the Browns.
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Covers | 30 |
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Be careful here. Something is up when 80% of the public is with TB and the line does not give an inch. The Bookies know something I don't know, and maybe its the TB has only been able to win once by more than 7pts all season.
However, 5 of the 6 Carolina loses have gone under. Their offense is horrible! Play the under.
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Covers | 29 |
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Be careful on this one. Nothing is an accident with the bookies, setting the line at -7 to -9 as they have done. This has given them lots of margin for error. While the Bungels have been dreadful, they have only lost one game by more than 8 pts all year.
The value here maybe the O/U. 5 of the 6 losses with Cincinnati have gone over due to their struggling defense.
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Covers | 27 |
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The Over is very attractive here.
The point spread is very tight as it should be since Miami is 0-3 at home. However, the real value maybe playing the Over. The O/U for TN is 5-3 overall, and Miami is 3-0 at home.
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Covers | 31 |
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The public is buying Minnesota. However, Minnesota is 0-4 on the road, and has lost 4 of their last 5 trips to Solider Field. Bookies always do their homework before setting the line, don't bet against them here.
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Covers | 22 |
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Something is up here. If it was as lopsided as it appears they would have moved the line to +4 to +7. When Houston visited Oakland on 10/3 they set the line at +3.5 and Houston won a very tight game. Houston has lost on the last 4 trips to Jacksonville. Jacksonville has also had 2 weeks to get ready for this one, while Houston suffered some tough loses to Indy and SD. My guess is this an accurate line, and it truly is a coin flip.
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Covers | 38 |
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I have never seen a team with a 7 game losing streak be -200 fav; somebody knows something I don't know. KC is in complete disarray. Public is buying KC. I will take the Tribe. |
Covers | 7 |
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It is going to be wild today in Chicago. The wind will be blowing out at 25 mph. I feel bad for the pitchers. No lead will be safe.
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Covers | 16 |
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