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This line is right on. Ervin Santana is one of the most inconsistent pitchers in baseball. Some days he looks like a world killer and others he's a tomato can. Peavy had a decent bounce back year last season but this is not your dad's San Diego Peavy. He's not the same guy.
This has been the "Royals Year" for the past several. Alex Gordon has a great Spring but is not the star they thought he'd be. Butler can hit, no doubt. But if Hosmer does not return to 2011 form, this is not some magical line up. The fact of the matter is the AL Central spots 2-4 (Tigers should run away with the division) is up for grabs between these two squads and the Indians. None of these three are teams without serious question marks. Good luck regardless of which way you go.
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dimndimn | 11 |
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You want to give 17 points on a road NBA Team? What a seasoned capper. Good luck giving those kind of points. You may win this game but you cannot give points like this with any team especially on the road.
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ejnell_04 | 32 |
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this game 5 tough. The Lake Show has controlled tempo for most of the
series (obviously not Game 1), and could easily be up 3-1. The biggest
problem the Lakers face is the Mamba himself. Kobe is a great, great
player, but ANYTIME in the last 5 minutes when game is close, the ball is tossed to him and everybody watches. That kind of offense is so simple to defend..in fact, OKC has the easiest time defending the Lakers at the end of games when it should be tough. Kobe is NOT Kobe from 5 years ago - he's much more limited now and usually settles for tough fall away jumpers. Until he allows the offense to run through Bynum, EVERYTIME down the stretch, which is not happening anytime soon, the Lakers become insanely predictable on offense. Mike Brown is a horrid coach, and is clearly scared of Kobe. Let's face it, the NBA is run by superstars, and often times to the detriment of their teams trying to win games. This game could be an absolute blowout by Thunder or a game where Bynum insists on the ball, and gets a little selfish. If they can control tempo again, Lakers keep it close. But if the game is close at all, we all know the Lakers offense for the last 5 minutes. Good luck.
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johnnybones | 3 |
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the issue with the Rays is their offense is crap. Inconsistent at best. The Jays have been struggling at the plate. Tough game to call. Like you said, Price has been dominating vs. the Jays but I could care less about what he did 1-2 seasons ago. I am laying off this game but the Jays as a small home dog would be my play if I had to bet it. Good luck.
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d0pebo1 | 5 |
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Managing a baseball teams is 85% managing a bullpen. That's it. Some managers get more out of players than others, but for the most part, with the exception of crazy infield shifts that some managers employ more than others, it's managing pitchers. And 90%+ of them STINK at doing that. There is so much money invested in these players now that managers are scared out of their wits to let pitchers to past 100 pitches. It's insane compared to 20 years ago and further back. Myers had been perfect up until today but that was bound to change. It's idiotic to take a guy who is cruising out when he is not even to 100 pitches yet. How do you think Wandy feels? This has been the worst late bullpen stretch I can remember in recent baseball history, at least to open a season. BTW - Mills made ANOTHER mistake in the 12th taking Wright out when he was dealing. How's that righty/righty looking now? This will be just one of a LONG line of horrible pitching management decisions made this year. Just hope you're on the other end of some of them.
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brain_dead | 4 |
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I've was on wrong side of three blown saves a few weeks back..Bell, Sox Pen...twice in that 13 inning game, and theen Rocks bullpen in the 8th against the hapless Astros. Today lost on Reds, but laid off the other two, but closers are horrid this year thus far. Several of these guys should NOT be closers, Guerra being on in LA. Both Jansen and Lindblom are better pitchers. Mattingly will take forever to make a move, if he does at all. 80%+ of managing in MLB is handling your pitchers, and most guys in MLB stink at it.
In terms of Bell, he is proof it's a lot easier to close games for the Pads when there is no pressure to win than in Miami with such lofty expectations. He does not look the same and cannot throw strikes. Sorry to anyone who lost today on these games. Long season and you'll bet some back. |
DannySchayes | 23 |
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Wow - I have had about 1K in process of payout, and payout was already approved nearly two weeks ago. I had it coming through InstantCheck and I noticed over a week ago that InstantCheck had been dropped by Beted. I even have two emails in my inbox from May 23rd from beted saying my money would be funded by May 31st. I am now very sure that is not happening in this timely manner. I feel for people who had a lot of money with them, but let's see what happens.
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richsox24 | 82 |
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I wish you all luck, but these are the exact same comments I read last time out vs. Josh Johnson. Halladay certainly pitched will enough to win that game and his O let him down, but a road pitcher against another top tier pitcher at -120 is, in my opinion only, not good value.
The Phils aren't exactly tearing the cover off the ball, and their pen..'eh. I see Phils winning this game too but putting up 120 for a road fave doesn't seem so enticing. Good luck though. |
BigOC | 18 |
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as long as one goal is scored in regulation, you win money, because you are winning 135 or if you got it earlier at 145) and only losing 100 on the Detroit bet.
Earhog - how much did you put on each? |
Earhog | 21 |
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yeah, just placed it on beted. I have 2 bills on each. Let's go Wings - drop one in back of the net in first 5 minutes!
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Earhog | 21 |
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my book has the same lines. Is there some kind of precedent for no goals being scored in a situation like this? I don't think so. Seems too fishy to me.
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Earhog | 21 |
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I believe just over 13% of baseball games over past 7 years are one run affairs, so these numbers are right about on, if oddsmakers are looking to be right around 50% for each team against the number.
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jtin103779 | 11 |
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Dallas bad on the road? What? Mavs and Heat had the two best road records in the NBA this year. Lakers are crazy inconsistent. You don't know who shows up. Kobe has "old" legs - guy has been in the league forever. I think Lake Show wins series, but I think it's closer than people think. Another factor to consider, Peja has GREAT history at Staples center and against the Lakers. The guy has looked bad, but could have a game or two where he drops 4-5 bombs.
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25INSANESULLY | 30 |
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gobengals, can you add me as a friend? I just did it. I am with you on all three picks and especially would love to PM you about the SC/Cal game. I have that at -6 for Cal, and am loving this early line. Thanks.
JB |
gobengals | 5 |
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Can't bet Dodgers right now. All the info out here in LA says that nobody talks in the clubhouse, 90% of the guys have given up (except for Colletti and a few players), and the McCourts are the joke of MLB. This team is in shambles like is usually not seen in pro sports. They are incredibly talented, but that's it. Sorry to the LA backers, but tread carefully when betting on this mess of a team the rest of the way out.
And, yes, Torre is one of the worst managers in baseball. Horrible manager. My three year old could have managed those late '90's Yankees teams. A nice man who can handle big personalities but is an awful manager of games. |
Absolutxedge22 | 87 |
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7 way parlays - awesome man. Why don't you just send me the $100 bucks and I will waste it myself.
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parlaymasternum | 21 |
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Keepitstrict,
Good luck today and this month. Can you elaborate on the 60.3% winning percentage. How many of that 60.3%, or rather, the 39.7% of losses were favorites with higher than 1/1 vigs? |
keepitstrict | 15 |
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high vigs my man, but good luck. At those vig rates, 63% will break you even. Phils have been horrible on the road, but good luck.
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AJ_Heels | 6 |
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Go chalk!
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Cougar_Bait | 6 |
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Check out Weaver's home splits. The guys is lights out at home, is a top strikeout pitcher, and always tougher to win on the road. And the Rangers, besides Friday night's game, have not been hitting that much. Certainly the Angels haven't either, but Weaver is hardly ever a home dog in Anaheim. This line is set just about right as he should be against Lee.
BTW, with all do respect, I completely disagree with baller909 on the over. The Under is the play if you are playing the total on this one. Last week this same pitcher match up went 3-2 in Arlington, and one of those runs was unearned. There were not many scoring chances either way. While bullpens completely screw up the totals, Lee almost always pitches complete games now, and Weaver is a workhorse too. I expect him to go at least 7. The totals line last week started at 8.5 in this game, which I posted, on my blog, as my biggest line mistake of the year in Vegas. It went off at 8, and like mentioned, finished 3-2. All you need in one of these two aces to deal tomorrow and the under will win. I can see a 3-2, 2-1, or even 4-1 game for either team. Good luck however you play tomorrow. |
bronxdude | 6 |
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