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Just a lil something to watch..Purposely posted late at K.O. GLTA Back later
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Old Mans take on Mich/Wash $$..Offense Brings Crowds Defense wins Championships..
in College Football Well it's been awhile as a few Back surgeries since last Feb. knocked the S**T out of me..It's been a long road but hopefully I'm back now..Just wanted to stop in and lend my take on tonights matchup tho..I don't know how good it will be but let's all hope we get our moneys worth..Really I'm thinking Mich. gets the respect they deserve tonight and basically here's why..This is the matchup of Offense vs. Defense.. Washington Huskies have a very good team that excells as a Underdog and I think the coach is 8-1 in the Dog role since he got there..But this will be the Best D they have seen all year and I just don't know how effective their running back will be after the injury at the end of the Tx. game..The Huskies have given up 26.9 pts. on the road this year and a little worse 27.7 the L3 games..They've given up an avg. 4.8 yards per run and over 140 yds. per game on the road..That doesn't play well tonight vs. a Mich. team averaging over 160 yds. rushing on the road and an a Mich. team completing over 65% of their passes..A friend e-mailed me this week after we discussed this game from numerous angles.."Offense brings the Crowd and Defense wins Championships": Mich. D is just Badd A$$..They're holding opponents to 150 passing yards and 90 rushing yards..They held opponents to 11 Pts. on the road and under 235 ypg..Also standing out is they only give up 135 Passing Yards on about a 56% comp. rate on the road..I believe the LBs. and Def. Line will have a huge night..LAST BUT NOT LEAST lets not forget Pennix played at Indiana before transferring to Wash and had no success vs. Mich. and Harbaugh.. I was never a fan of Harbaugh as some probably remember but I had to back him tonight..I got them at a better line much earlier in the week but I still think they're good..Could it be that the Harbaughs take down the coveted prizes in College and Pro FB this year?..I am on MICHIGAN... Michigan -4..... I Bet it early and often..Still love them up to a TD.. Not trying to sway anyone or change minds and this is certainly not wagering advice..Good Luck to all whatever you do..
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Been a slow start to the season but not that bad I guess.. College 4 - 4 ....-1.8 units..Pros 1 - 0 + 5 Units Looking at the early total on the Tx. A&M Game .. 3* Play on the UNDER 54.5.. 3 More later games I'm looking at and narrowed down to so will be back..BOL to all.. jj |
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Well still recovering from this spine surgery has been much tougher at my age..So it's been hard posting just with all the issues with it..Here's what I'm doing today..No huge plays yet but a few BB's today and a 5T Teaser..Sorry too much to do write ups but rest assured the work has been done 5* Bama - 7......BB 5* Arizona - 13....BB 4* Boston College + 14...Top Dog 4* UCLA/UTAH UNDER 51.5....Top Total NFL BB for Sunday...5* Seattle - 6 Teaser 7 Pts......2* Bama Pick, Zona - 6, BC +21, UCLA/UTAH UNDER 58.5, Seahawks Pick
2-2 so far this season missing last week...-.7 of a Unit BOL to all ..
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The "Old Man" is back for anogther season and recovering from Spine Surgery..
in College Football Hope this thread finds everyone doing well and starting to get into the opportunities that will definitely be coming..I simply enjoy this time of year and the months to follow..For any of you new folks listen and read are probably the best 2 pieces of advice I can give you..For any of us old folks that have over 50 years experience at this we too need to listen as you can never know too much..So lets get off and running today with the few plays I narrowed down to and best of luck to everyone no matter what you do.. 4* Western Kentucky - 13.. 4* Buffy/Wiscy UNDER 53.5 3* TX A&M -38 3*UTSA -122 (ML) Bonus BB Play 2* L.A.Angels - 119 2* Angels - 1.5 ? Hadnt updated yet.. Analysis will be back next week..Stay safe and enjoy the day..
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Thanks Mac, great to see you..I'll start getting around more often again with foots coming up.. jj |
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Been awhile but still cruise the forums when I can..Foots only a few short weeks away so anticipation is building..Anyhow here's a few I like enough to parlay and play straight tonight.. 6:40..Detroit + 125....Good matchup for the tiggers here tonight..Pads sit 6 games under 500 costing backers 17 units while Det 22-15 overall vs. below 500 teams turning 6 units profit at home..I've watched their rookie starter Olson start shaky but grow thru the month of june throwing the 11'th best era in that time..He's figuring it out while the Pads continue to be one of the big disappointments.. 7:00...Red Sox -110....I know Senga just pitched a good game vs. the Dodgers giving up 1 er and striking out 9..But the Sox are hungrier now and streaking 7 of 8 and making a bid in a very tough division..Yanks, Jays, Orioles,TB..Look for the Sox to find a way to take this series opener.. 8:05 Dodgers +105....Texas has come back from the break hot and streaking winning all 6 and increasing their lead to 4 games..LA took the first 2 off Balt and has maintained its lead over Arz..Value to me on the Dodgers in this spot..Two pitchers struggling before the break and both coming back after with solid outings.. 10:10 Seattle -115. Play on Miller here at home where hes 5-1 in 7 starts with a 2,84 era..I'll be hoping for a few parlays alive here.. Good luck everyone and hope all is well.. jj |
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@LionsIn2023 Van's thread and I respect that..Briefly, just may have something to do with both of us being here over Two Decades and the camaraderie that comes with that..
Van keep up the good work..My skin just isn't thick enough..Much respect my brother.. Cashed my future on Philly winning the NFC and now on to the SB.. JJ |
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Howdy Van, well I'm not writing this but the wife is for me today since I'm not home..Asked her to post at 2:50..I agree the games to me aren't worth any huge wagers.. My futures are in Great Shape though..I did a bunch of props today ..
Today just small to watch.. 3:00 pm.....Philly - 2 ....Really surprised to see so many jump to the Niners after the Dallas game when so many didn't give them a chance..ps; not intended for anyone that had reason's more then the 49'ers played no one .. 6:40 pm...KC+ML..Got on them early Tuesday am in that small window..I just don't see this as a close game either way..This is more of a hedge to my Cinn. SB Future..I think Either one can and will win big today..Just cant see a close game in my simulations.. So I guess we're opposite and wish us both the best of luck.. Thanks again my Friend for all you do here and for the Animal Shelters.. BOL to everyone else no matter what your wagers are today jj |
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Van, hey buddy we all have them days and you're too good a capper to let these losses get ya down..My hearts with the Bengals being in Ohio and they looked really good and the niners come thru for me..I'm just really happy for Denise and family as we've all been friends for a very long time..Dates back to when Carmen and Eddy put the SB winning team together..They had a harder time then we all thought they would but Dak and McCarthy performed as anticipated..Glad we were both on the Eagles my friend but KC let me down.. Anyhow I'll come back next week to compare our analysis and see where we agree or not..Hey look how Philly performed for us..I'm more then likely going to be at the Game in Philly but as of now I only know where my heart will be..Keep up the good work my friend and I'll see you later in the week..
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Hey Van what a refreshing read for a change..One of the best I've seen in our over Two Decades here..Very refreshing and insightful so hopefully the folks who will carry the banner for the next 20+ years will read and then re-read..I certainly won't be one as I've now surpassed 50 years in sports investing and must admit it certainly turned from a hobby gambling to a very profitable career..I took my lumps and bruises as most of us have but like you, was never too proud to admit my mistakes and try to learn from them as well as many knowledgeable people along the way..I must give members like you, Train, Mac and others the respect you all deserve for posting week in and week out sharing your experience with this forum and trying to keep it the way it was way back in the "Wagerline" days..( For those who don't know that was covers before they became covers).. Will never forget the days of the Vegas conventions or those who walked the halls here before passing on..Also will never forget how Train would give out a Dog Parlay paying a Jillion to one and some folks wanting him to win one every week..Ahh yes Covers and WL will always be etched in memory for the sites they once were before all the negative attitudes started rolling in..Those were and can be the days again when members realize we're not in a competition against each other but here to help each other make money and have fun doing it..Train already said this but I don't believe it can be said enough..Sorry for the long post in your thread my brother and for my walk down memory lane..I thank you guys in advance for helping to make those memories for me and only hope I'll be around for years to come but got to face that age is catching up to me.. Now unfortunately I'm going to respectfully disagree with a few of the selections that there seems to be much love for..Bet you didn't see that coming..Lol..These are just opinions and not meant as any official plays or advice.. NFC Playoffs; Philly : I like even tho I was on the G-Men last week Dallas : I just can't agree with here..49'er offense has been rolling along with over 38 pts. averaged their L 4 games..These 2 D's have been ranked 1 and 2 this season at Football Outsiders in DVOA..49'ers averaged giving up just 16 pts at home this season and Dallas has played to the Under 6 of 9 games on the road..Both of their strengths have come from running the ball which may be a task vs. a Niner D only giving up 3.4 YPC..I don't think Dak and his WR's have played to last years form and if they want to here they have to be able to run..If they do then they may handle the 49er DB's..Dallas can't afford to get behind here with Purdys' fairytale story..McCarthy is stubborn and sticks to his game plan usually not making necessary adjustments..Lastly Jerry tweeting on the 16'th if you're in the stadium and can kick c'mon down we got a jersey for you.. Jags ; on them last week but was still the wrong side and only the biggest comeback in Playoff history along with the biggest meltdown gave me the win..Pretty much 2 miracle games in a row got them here and as much as I like Lawrence just can't see them staying with Mahomes and Co..So a fumble return vs. Tenn and last week where they did nothing offensively for 6 of 8 quarters got them here and just can't see another miracle against the Chiefs.. Buffy/Cinn no opinion.. Best of luck Van to you and everyone else with all your wagers.. jj |
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Hey CM, good to see ya..Little sweat but good day I guess.. So Far Giants BB is W Det/Jackie over 51.5 is a W. Ravens blow the 3T Teaser for a Loss.. Now will wait for tonight.. GLTA jj |
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Haven't posted in awhile, seems like I hardly get a chance to get here anymore other then to read.. Hopefully all is well for the Covers Family and hope to have a few winners today..Lets get to it:
N.Y.Giants + 2.5 Best Bet.... Totals; Dallas/Indy OVER 44.5....Figure we need about 10 from the Colts Det/Jackie OVER 51.5...Crazy games in Det.. Teaser; Cowboys -4.5,Ravens -3, Jets/Minn OVER 38 #T Teaser Good Luck to All;; jj |
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Hey Van you give Watson a better chance of starting then I do..I'd say 25-75 he does..As far as sitting rather then playing the Brownies did pay him all that money knowing all the baggage that came with him as well as the odds he'd be sitting awhile..As far as the PO's my numbers have them with a < 6 % chance of making it..I don't put much stock in rumors either but they started swirling a few weeks ago that he wouldn't be playing which would make more sense if he's the future of the Browns..But hey like you said what do any of us know..Anyhow best of luck to Brown's fans who are hoping he plays and no offense meant to anyone.. jj |
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..haven't really had much time to get to the site this year and cutting it close now..Say hello to everyone and a few plays for tonight.. Tenn - 10 ...Public loving Kentucky and I just don't believe they have the horses to stay with Tenn.. Mich. St + 23.5 I never trust Harbaugh and will take the points.. USC - 14..After 2 weeks to remember the Utes loss I hear them growling in the secondary.. Stanford + 16.5..I don't see a Bruin blowout here so I'll ride with the Cardinal.. Good Luck all and enjoy your evening..
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!'st post last week went 2 - 1 winning with Top Dogs Seattle and New England outright and Losing with the Ravens.. Tonight's matchup just may surprise and be a good game..The Cards get back Hopkins but lost Brown..The Saints look like Dalton gets another shot..The Cards are only avg. 227 YPG in the air with just over 5 yds a throw..The short game fits the Saints Dalton and I don't see Komara getting that many rushes but I do think he'll get some screens and dump offs.. Couple other tid bits I'm looking at are the Cards are 7 - 9 after an ATS loss and Kingsbury is 3 - 13 ATS as a Home Favorite..The Saints are 75 - 44 on the road off an ATS loss .. So yes it's another Top Dog.. Saints + 2.5 Saints + 140 ( ML ) Adding the Under 43.5 to the mix in some smaller Teasers and Parlays.. Best of luck to all.. jj |
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Well not too good yesterday with Posted plays here both ML Parlay, and Straight Plays..So going back to posting some of my Favorite Stronger Plays and a 5T Teaser for fun.. Ravens - 5.5 ...Going up most places but was still able to get this..FAV. PLAY today.. Top Dogs, Pats +3, Seattle +3 5T Teaser... .Pitt + 16 Green Bay - 1.5 Green Bay OVER 39.5 Vikes...+3 Eagles..Pick em Best of Luck Everyone.. jj |
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So tonight I'm doing a ML Parlay and a few different variations.. East Caro 5- Utah -3 Air Force OVER 50 Nevada -6 Adding The Ravens for Sunday vs. the Giants BOL to all jj |
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Hey fellas good to see all of you.. Bama total not looking good.. Kent St., Ok St.,And Cuse doing the job so far.. Looking for 4-2 or 5-1 today so we'll see..Couple I'm really liking tonight yet.. BOL to all jj |
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Found a little time so make my second post of the season.. Alabama Under 67- Okla St. + 5 Kent St..+7- East Carolina -6 Utah - 3 Syracuse - 3 Good Luck All
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