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I'm will be playing the Over based mainly on Fla scoring runs. I don't know enough about Buckner to play Fla at that price. Don't like playing these guys coming up that no one on the other team has seen before. If Buckner does get shelled, the over looks great because Ariz has the worst bullpen era this season. They were successful yesterday because Jackson pitched an 8 inning gem and the bullpen wasn't involved. Buckner couldn't go past 5, which means 4 innings of dreadful bullpen play. Bottom line, I was deciding between whether to play Johnson or the over and I went with the Over. Johnson is a solid play too though.
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Max_Power | 10 |
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It seems as if he leans towards Lee Dewyze. I think he prefers both guys left though.
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jhuffmm | 10 |
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5 dimes is awesome. Love the number of lines and the reduced juice lines. Great site. Really happy with it.
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gio66 | 12 |
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Does anyone else think that America won't vote for Crystal Bowersox to win? I'm seeing the field against sourbox at +135. This is so pathetic, but I think there is some value here. Her grill is so jacked up. How could America vote for her. Plus, everyone hates hippies. Any thoughts?
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jhuffmm | 10 |
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Does anyone else think that America won't vote for Crystal Bowersox to win? I'm seeing the field against sourbox at +135. This is so pathetic, but I think there is some value here. Her grill is so jacked up. How could America vote for her. Plus, everyone hates hippies. Any thoughts?
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jhuffmm | 2 |
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Quote Originally Posted by johnboy7541:
I'm with you on this jhuffmm. Although it looks like most of the public and even most of the covers is on Orlando. It's going to be a very different game in Atlanta and as you said the Hawks have always played outstanding basketball at home. 34-7 during the regular season and 3-1 both SU and ATS in the first round, with that one loss being the Game 5 collapse in the closing minutes against the Bucks. Atlanta showed the ability to compete against Orlando in the first half of Game 2, by taking a 9 point lead into the locker room. But ultimately just couldn't keep up with the fresher Magic team in the second half. The "fresh legs gap" (yes I believe I made that up) between the Hawks and the Magic is closing with the players on the Magic finally playing some game minutes. A second half collapse like the one seen in Game 2 should not happen again, especially with the game in Atlanta. On the road Dwight Howard will be more likely to get into foul trouble (he actually fouled out in the two road playoff games against Charlotte). If this does indeed happen, Atlanta could very well win by double digits. In game 2 when Dwight sat out with foul trouble in the second quarter, the Hawks were able to take control of the game and dominate. We could see ourselves in a similar situation tonight as Dwight Howard has been in serious foul trouble in 5 out of the 6 Magic Playoff games so far. With most of the public and seemingly most of Covers on the Magic, it's no surprise the spread is Orlando -2.5. But Atlanta should not be getting points at home to anybody. I'm taking Atlanta +2.5 and I see them coming out and playing some inspired ball at home. I'm in total agreement with all the points you have made. I think this is a team that is much better than everyone is currently giving them credit for and the line is favorable because of that. I definitely don't think they win this series by any stretch and I did bet against them twice this series; however, they are a team that brings it at home and should not be ever getting points from anyone in their arena. |
jhuffmm | 23 |
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Quote Originally Posted by GeorgeCarlin:
Ohio St does own you guys the last decade. Anyway, my two cents, Orlando is a good road team. But Hawks tried slow game, high tempo... I'm sure their outside shooting falls at home, so Hawks and over worth a long look. No feel on this one--flat. Orlando win would not surprise--they aren't fucking around like Cleve or the fakers. I agree on the over. It is definitely worth a look. These teams play solid defense, but when they face each other, the pace certainly quickens. |
jhuffmm | 23 |
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34-7 at home in the regular season is tied for 2nd best in the league one game back of Cleveland. So yes, they are great at home. "Just seen ur Avatar"? Typical Ohio St. illiteracy. You brought absolutely nothing interesting or thoughtful to the discussion.
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jhuffmm | 23 |
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I was just looking at the % of people betting Orl on the road against the Hawks tonight and its at 84% right now! This Atlanta team should never be getting points at home no matter how bad they've looked on the road. I actually bet Orl in the first two games. This game is a must take, and personally, I'm gonna jump on Atlanta plus 2.5 right now.
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jhuffmm | 23 |
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Yeah, miserable night if this over doesn't go through and my under 8.5 in Tor/Chi WS gets murdered in the bottom of the 9th with a solo shot to tie the game at 4-4.
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tasco2222 | 14 |
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Yeah, I have the over, which is already completed and I'm really hoping I don't get whored.
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hammer22 | 7 |
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I'm a Hawks fan and they actually match up quite poorly with the Magic at 2 key positions: PG and C. Horford has gotten better at defending Howard but is still quite overmatched, which forces Pachulia to play increased minutes. Though he is serviceable, he's not in our ideal lineup by any stretch. Bibby is completely overmatched by Jameer Nelson in speed and defensive prowess. Nelson being on the floor will force Johnson and Crawford to do more of the ball handling, which again is not ideal for the Hawks. My recommendation to you is if you would like to play the Hawks, wait until after Game One. If they lose your price will increase dramatically reducing your overall risk. If they win (which won't happen), you know you're on to something and can feel secure playing them at close to even money with Home Court advantage. |
flyp | 11 |
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I'm a Hawks fan and I think we're at the point now where we have to assume futility on the road in the playoffs until they prove otherwise. I also think they will struggle out of the gate coming off of the game 7 victory just 2 days earlier. Plus, this is a team we struggle with in the regular season anyways and haven't beaten on the road since opening game 2008 (which is also the last time they won ATS against them on the road) I would have played the Magic if I had gotten a more favorable number around 6.5/7, but will be staying away entirely and waiting to game 2.
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FR3SH-like-UgHH | 21 |
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I took the Wr's/TE's over 2.5 and Trent Williams to be picked ahead of Okung at +250. The Skins appear to be taking Williams and the odds were better on him going ahead of Okung than him getting picked under 5.5.
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cave0707 | 12 |
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Never mind, had it reversed. Just noticed it.
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uconnca | 48 |
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Take +600 over 2 on the # of qb's to be picked in round one. There is almost no chance it goes under and both McCoy and Tebow could find there way into the 1st. At the very least its a push. |
uconnca | 48 |
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replied to
Ready for another monster bet that could end the same way that nets/cards game ended 2 days ago?
in MLB Betting
I'm on the opposite but good luck to you.
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allstarbets | 29 |
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Quote Originally Posted by Sparky10191:
1&3) I've learned to stay away from trends about guys pitching well against opposing teams. The Rangers, Angels and Red Sox historically hit Pettitte well...and none have done that thus far. Jamie Moyer domiantes the Marlins but gives up 5 in the first inning last time. Verlander dominated the Indians but gave up 5 runs in the 1st inning last Sunday. The Twins don't hit Greinke well...they hit him pretty easily the last time they faced him. It's actually a stat I now hate using. But that's my thoughts on that. Thanks for your insight. Went with St.L ML, Sox/Rays Under, Royals ML, Cubs ML and Angels RL. |
Sparky10191 | 117 |
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Quote Originally Posted by atlheatholder:
SF/SD Over 7.....? Thoughts.... I'm liking this to happen, hoping Frisco gets that Kershaw crap outta their system and bangs out 4 or so runs. I think the Padres will give Cain a workout of sorts and get 3 or 4 out of him as well.... Yeah I agree. 7 seems really low. Both teams have hit these pitchers well. |
Sparky10191 | 117 |
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A couple thoughts: 1) I think the Nat/Colo over is shaky. Both ptchers have struggled, but have pitched well in the past against these teams. Would stay away. 2) St.L ML is a solid play. I think there's a ton of value in Penny right now because the cards pitching staff is so brilliant that a new pitcher will assuredly be undervalued. 3) Giants seems shaky to me because both pitchers have struggled in the past against their opponents. The Over at 7 seems ludicrous to me given the Opp BA against Cain and Richard. I'd play that. 4) I love the Cubs tomorrow with the Mets bullpen still recovering from the long game Saturday and a shaky pitcher on the mound. 5) Lastly, completely agree with you on KC, but will risk playing the whole game. |
Sparky10191 | 117 |
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