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phil-4.5
comments are suggestions are welcome
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jamdat21 | 5 |
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ima follow you lets get some money
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redsxfn3321 | 210 |
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im gonna start following you im on your side
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SirCharles88 | 32 |
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whats your pick for tomorrows game??im losing money fo the past two weeks lets dominate vegas
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sm102279 | 135 |
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whats your pick for tomorrows game??im losing money fo the past two weeks lets dominate vegas
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sm102279 | 135 |
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without stuckey do you think they can cover
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jamdat21 | 7 |
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without stuckey do you think they can cover
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jamdat21 | 7 |
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anyone knows why they give was +7.5any suggestions or comments
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jamdat21 | 7 |
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rob the book or got rob any info
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jamdat21 | 1 |
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gl
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CapperE | 7 |
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i like the thunder i got 7-1 tonight wit an incomplete portland ill say okc can cover it easily
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TheSituation559 | 5 |
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why heat
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Kc_A | 55 |
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why u go wit miami not philly????
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GZ27 | 8 |
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can u give me some formula to beat the spreads thanks
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jamdat21 | 1 |
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Quote Originally Posted by si1ly: These are the updated relative point spread rankings as of March 10th, 2012. I've included in this thread separate power rankings for home and away. We're deep enough into the season that teams have played a statistically relevant amount of games both at home and away. This model works the same as before except the power rankings are derived using only home splits and only away splits respectively. This means you no longer need to adjust for home court advantage: just take the differential between the home team's PSR and the away team's PSR and you have your true line (less adjustment for intangibles). These numbers are the result of a complex formula that gives different weights to the metrics that most accurately predict the outcome of a basketball game (the big 4 are eFG%, TOR, ORR, FTR among other things). While I'm not willing to divulge the specific formula I've come up with I am willing to explain a little about how it works. This formula effectively converts each of the aforementioned stat categories into a separate value that represents the number of points that a team is better or worse than their competitor (specific to each stat). I do this by using the differential between the offensive and defensive rates for each of these stat categories. I then apply a relative weight to each of these differentials depending on how significant an influence that stat has on determining the winner. This also normalizes the numbers so they can be compared from one team to another. eFG% is the most important - it has about 45% relative weight in my model. ORR and TOR each have about 18% weight and FTR about 7%. There are a few other metrics that I look at, but don't have more than 5% weight. Add up all the individual stat point spread adjustments and you get your total point spread ranking for a team. hi can u explain this to me whats those tor eFG im new here so can anyone explain it thanks so much
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si1ly | 69 |
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replied to
!!!!!!!!!!!! NBA Friday SuperPick !!!!!!!!!!!! Advance Forecast !!!!!!!!!!
in NBA Betting
ill go for memphis all the way
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Kc_A | 26 |
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